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Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG

Atletico Paranaense
— - —
Atletico-MG
🕒 Wed, 07 Oct 2026 21:00 Europe/London 📍 Arena da Baixada 🧑‍⚖️ No Ref Info 🔁 Regular Season - 29 🏁 not started
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 29
Regular Season Table
Atletico Paranaense 3 · Atletico-MG 8

Team Overview

Atletico Paranaense (Home stats)

Games / Record

12
W-D-L: 7-4-1

Goals For / Against

21 / 10
Avg: 1.75 / 0.83

Points

25
Avg: 2.08

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

2
Atletico-MG (Away stats)

Games / Record

13
W-D-L: 3-2-8

Goals For / Against

11 / 15
Avg: 0.85 / 1.15

Points

11
Avg: 0.85

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

8

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.08
PPG
0.85
1.75
GF
0.85
0.83
GA
1.15
42%
O2.5
31%
58%
BTTS
23%
67%
Score 1st
23%

League-position context

Atletico Paranaense rank3rd
Atletico-MG rank8th
Atletico Paranaense points36
Atletico-MG points33
Atletico Paranaense: #3 · 36 pts · GD +7
7 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Atletico-MG: #8 · 33 pts · GD +0
10 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 9 pts clear of the relegation zone.
3-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Atletico Paranaense last 5 home

D D W D D
Points7/15
Weighted index47
Goals6-5
Record1-4-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

Atletico-MG last 5 away

L D D W L
Points5/15
Weighted index29
Goals3-5
Record1-2-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

Atletico Paranaense trend breakdown

Over 2.542%
BTTS58%
BTTS + O2.542%
1H Over 0.567%
Also: Over 0.5 92% · Over 1.5 75% · Over 3.5 25% · 1H BTTS 33%

Atletico-MG trend breakdown

Over 2.531%
BTTS23%
BTTS + O2.523%
1H Over 0.562%
Also: Over 0.5 92% · Over 1.5 54% · Over 3.5 23% · 1H BTTS 8%

Scoring reliability

Atletico Paranaense score at home83%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet at home33%
Atletico-MG score away38%
Atletico-MG clean sheet away23%

First-goal patterns

Atletico Paranaense score first67%
Atletico Paranaense win after scoring first75%
Atletico-MG score first23%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Atletico Paranaense 50% · Atletico-MG 14%
Avg first goal minute: Atletico Paranaense 27.6' · Atletico-MG 22.3'

Vs league average

Atletico Paranaense score at home1.75 vs 1.59
Atletico Paranaense concede at home0.83 vs 1.14
Atletico-MG score away0.85 vs 1.14
Atletico-MG concede away1.15 vs 1.59
Atletico Paranaense score 10% above league average, while Atletico-MG score 26% below league average.
Defensive side: Atletico Paranaense are 27% below league average at home, and Atletico-MG are 27% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.00
BTTS60%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 1.20 goals on average across the last 5.

Atletico Paranaense goal timing (home)

1H scored: 40% 2H scored: 60% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 6
76-90+ 6
46-60 5
16-30 1
31-45 1
61-75 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
31-45 2
61-75 2
76-90+ 2
46-60 1
0-15 0

Atletico-MG goal timing (away)

1H scored: 67% 2H scored: 33% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 5
16-30 2
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
46-60 1
61-75 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75 4
16-30 3
0-15 2
46-60 2
31-45 1
76-90+ 1

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games21
Home Wins8
Draws2
Away Wins11
Over 2.5 Goals5 (23.8%)
BTTS7 (33.3%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games10
Home Wins3
Draws2
Away Wins5
Over 2.5 Goals1 (10.0%)
BTTS3 (30.0%)

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Head-to-Head History by Season

2026-2027 Season
05 Apr 2026 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1
2024-2025 Season
08 Dec 2024 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 16 Nov 2024 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 0
2023-2024 Season
02 Sep 2023 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 1 30 Apr 2023 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1
2022-2023 Season
07 Aug 2022 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 2 - 3 17 Apr 2022 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 0 - 1
2021-2022 Season
16 Nov 2021 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 0 - 1 01 Aug 2021 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 2 - 0
2020-2021 Season
12 Dec 2020 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 0 - 1 18 Nov 2020 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2
2019-2020 Season
24 Nov 2019 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 0 - 1 17 Aug 2019 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 0
2018-2019 Season
10 Sep 2018 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 3 - 1 13 May 2018 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 2
2017-2018 Season
01 Oct 2017 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 0 - 2 14 Jun 2017 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 0 - 1
2016-2017 Season
21 Aug 2016 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 22 May 2016 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 1
2015-2016 Season
03 Sep 2015 Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense 0 - 1 24 May 2015 Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG 1 - 0