Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia

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🕒 Sun, 20 Sep 2026 21:00 Europe/London 🧑‍⚖️ No Ref Info 🔁 Regular Season - 28 🏁 not started
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Atletico Paranaense 4 · Bahia 6

Team Overview

Atletico Paranaense (Home stats)

Games / Record

10
W-D-L: 7-2-1

Goals For / Against

17 / 6
Avg: 1.70 / 0.60

Points

23
Avg: 2.30

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

2
Bahia (Away stats)

Games / Record

9
W-D-L: 4-2-3

Goals For / Against

11 / 13
Avg: 1.22 / 1.44

Points

14
Avg: 1.56

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

2

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.30
PPG
1.56
1.70
GF
1.22
0.60
GA
1.44
40%
O2.5
56%
50%
BTTS
56%
70%
Score 1st
44%

League-position context

Atletico Paranaense rank4th
Bahia rank6th
Atletico Paranaense points30
Bahia points27
Atletico Paranaense: #4 · 30 pts · GD +6
4 pts off the top 2. 5 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Bahia: #6 · 27 pts · GD +2
7 pts off the top 2. 2 pts above the play-off edge. 7 pts clear of the relegation zone.
3-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Atletico Paranaense last 5 home

W D D W W
Points11/15
Weighted index69
Goals7-2
Record3-2-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Bahia last 5 away

D L D L W
Points5/15
Weighted index24
Goals6-8
Record1-2-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

Atletico Paranaense trend breakdown

Over 2.540%
BTTS50%
BTTS + O2.540%
1H Over 0.570%
Also: Over 0.5 90% · Over 1.5 70% · Over 3.5 20% · 1H BTTS 30%

Bahia trend breakdown

Over 2.556%
BTTS56%
BTTS + O2.556%
1H Over 0.589%
Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 67% · Over 3.5 33% · 1H BTTS 22%

Scoring reliability

Atletico Paranaense score at home80%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet at home40%
Bahia score away78%
Bahia clean sheet away33%

First-goal patterns

Atletico Paranaense score first70%
Atletico Paranaense win after scoring first86%
Bahia score first44%
Bahia win after scoring first75%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Atletico Paranaense 0% · Bahia 50%
Avg first goal minute: Atletico Paranaense 26.6' · Bahia 22.8'

Vs league average

Atletico Paranaense score at home1.70 vs 1.53
Atletico Paranaense concede at home0.60 vs 1.12
Bahia score away1.22 vs 1.12
Bahia concede away1.44 vs 1.53
Atletico Paranaense score 11% above league average, while Bahia score 9% above league average.
Defensive side: Atletico Paranaense are 46% below league average at home, and Bahia are 5% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.60
BTTS60%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.00 goals on average across the last 5.

Atletico Paranaense goal timing (home)

1H scored: 47% 2H scored: 53% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 6
46-60 4
76-90+ 4
16-30 1
31-45 0
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
31-45 1
46-60 1
76-90+ 1
0-15 0
61-75 0

Bahia goal timing (away)

1H scored: 55% 2H scored: 45% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 3
76-90+ 3
16-30 2
61-75 2
0-15 1
46-60 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 3
46-60 3
61-75 3
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
31-45 1

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games15
Home Wins6
Draws3
Away Wins6
Over 2.5 Goals6 (40.0%)
BTTS7 (46.7%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games7
Home Wins5
Draws0
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals2 (28.6%)
BTTS2 (28.6%)

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Head-to-Head History by Season