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Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia

Atletico Paranaense
— - —
Bahia
🕒 Sun, 20 Sep 2026 23:30 Europe/London 📍 Arena da Baixada 🧑‍⚖️ Anderson Daronco 🔁 Regular Season - 28 🏁 not started
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Atletico Paranaense 3 · Bahia 6
Referee Stats
Anderson Daronco
9 matches · 5.33 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 5.33
Reds avg 0.33
Penalties avg 0.44
Over 4.5 cards 78%
Home wins 56%
Draws 11%
Away wins 33%

Team Overview

Atletico Paranaense (Home stats)

Games / Record

12
W-D-L: 7-4-1

Goals For / Against

21 / 10
Avg: 1.75 / 0.83

Points

25
Avg: 2.08

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

2
Bahia (Away stats)

Games / Record

11
W-D-L: 5-3-3

Goals For / Against

17 / 18
Avg: 1.55 / 1.64

Points

18
Avg: 1.64

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

2

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.08
PPG
1.64
1.75
GF
1.55
0.83
GA
1.64
42%
O2.5
64%
58%
BTTS
64%
67%
Score 1st
45%

League-position context

Atletico Paranaense rank3rd
Bahia rank6th
Atletico Paranaense points36
Bahia points34
Atletico Paranaense: #3 · 36 pts · GD +7
7 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Bahia: #6 · 34 pts · GD +4
9 pts off the top 2. 1 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
2-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Atletico Paranaense last 5 home

D D W D D
Points7/15
Weighted index47
Goals6-5
Record1-4-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

Bahia last 5 away

W D D L D
Points6/15
Weighted index51
Goals10-10
Record1-3-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

Atletico Paranaense trend breakdown

Over 2.542%
BTTS58%
BTTS + O2.542%
1H Over 0.567%
Also: Over 0.5 92% · Over 1.5 75% · Over 3.5 25% · 1H BTTS 33%

Bahia trend breakdown

Over 2.564%
BTTS64%
BTTS + O2.564%
1H Over 0.591%
Also: Over 0.5 91% · Over 1.5 73% · Over 3.5 45% · 1H BTTS 36%

Scoring reliability

Atletico Paranaense score at home83%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet at home33%
Bahia score away82%
Bahia clean sheet away27%

First-goal patterns

Atletico Paranaense score first67%
Atletico Paranaense win after scoring first75%
Bahia score first45%
Bahia win after scoring first60%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Atletico Paranaense 50% · Bahia 50%
Avg first goal minute: Atletico Paranaense 27.6' · Bahia 20.8'

Vs league average

Atletico Paranaense score at home1.75 vs 1.59
Atletico Paranaense concede at home0.83 vs 1.14
Bahia score away1.55 vs 1.14
Bahia concede away1.64 vs 1.59
Atletico Paranaense score 10% above league average, while Bahia score 36% above league average.
Defensive side: Atletico Paranaense are 27% below league average at home, and Bahia are 3% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.60
BTTS60%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.00 goals on average across the last 5.

Atletico Paranaense goal timing (home)

1H scored: 40% 2H scored: 60% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 6
76-90+ 6
46-60 5
16-30 1
31-45 1
61-75 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
31-45 2
61-75 2
76-90+ 2
46-60 1
0-15 0

Bahia goal timing (away)

1H scored: 54% 2H scored: 46% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 3
61-75 3
76-90+ 3
0-15 2
16-30 2
46-60 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 4
46-60 4
61-75 4
31-45 2
76-90+ 2
0-15 1

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games15
Home Wins6
Draws3
Away Wins6
Over 2.5 Goals6 (40.0%)
BTTS7 (46.7%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games7
Home Wins5
Draws0
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals2 (28.6%)
BTTS2 (28.6%)

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Head-to-Head History by Season

2026-2027 Season
01 Apr 2026 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 3 - 0
2024-2025 Season
24 Nov 2024 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 10 Jul 2024 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 1 - 3
2023-2024 Season
12 Nov 2023 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 16 Jul 2023 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 2 - 0
2021-2022 Season
09 Oct 2021 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 0 - 2 25 Jun 2021 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1
2020-2021 Season
20 Jan 2021 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 0 27 Sep 2020 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 1 - 0
2019-2020 Season
05 Oct 2019 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 1 - 2 12 May 2019 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 1 - 0
2018-2019 Season
02 Sep 2018 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 2 - 0 29 Apr 2018 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 0 - 0
2017-2018 Season
13 Aug 2017 Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 4 - 1 14 May 2017 Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 6 - 2