Bahia vs Sao Paulo

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🕒 Wed, 28 Oct 2026 21:00 Europe/London 📍 Arena Fonte Nova 🧑‍⚖️ No Ref Info 🔁 Regular Season - 33 🏁 not started
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 33
Regular Season Table
Bahia 5 · Sao Paulo 8

Team Overview

Bahia (Home stats)

Games / Record

10
W-D-L: 4-4-2

Goals For / Against

16 / 11
Avg: 1.60 / 1.10

Points

16
Avg: 1.60

Clean Sheets

2

Failed to Score

0
Sao Paulo (Away stats)

Games / Record

12
W-D-L: 2-2-8

Goals For / Against

10 / 18
Avg: 0.83 / 1.50

Points

8
Avg: 0.67

Clean Sheets

1

Failed to Score

4

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.60
PPG
0.67
1.60
GF
0.83
1.10
GA
1.50
60%
O2.5
42%
80%
BTTS
58%
60%
Score 1st
17%

League-position context

Bahia rank5th
Sao Paulo rank8th
Bahia points34
Sao Paulo points32
Bahia: #5 · 34 pts · GD +4
9 pts off the top 2. 2 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Sao Paulo: #8 · 32 pts · GD +3
11 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 8 pts clear of the relegation zone.
2-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Bahia last 5 home

W W D L D
Points8/15
Weighted index69
Goals8-7
Record2-2-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

Sao Paulo last 5 away

L L L L L
Points0/15
Weighted index0
Goals4-10
Record0-0-5
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Bahia trend breakdown

Over 2.560%
BTTS80%
BTTS + O2.550%
1H Over 0.590%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 100% · Over 3.5 10% · 1H BTTS 20%

Sao Paulo trend breakdown

Over 2.542%
BTTS58%
BTTS + O2.542%
1H Over 0.575%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 75% · Over 3.5 8% · 1H BTTS 8%

Scoring reliability

Bahia score at home100%
Bahia clean sheet at home20%
Sao Paulo score away67%
Sao Paulo clean sheet away8%

First-goal patterns

Bahia score first60%
Bahia win after scoring first50%
Sao Paulo score first17%
Sao Paulo win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Bahia 67% · Sao Paulo 30%
Avg first goal minute: Bahia 24.3' · Sao Paulo 31.5'

Vs league average

Bahia score at home1.60 vs 1.58
Bahia concede at home1.10 vs 1.15
Sao Paulo score away0.83 vs 1.15
Sao Paulo concede away1.50 vs 1.58
Bahia score 1% above league average, while Sao Paulo score 28% below league average.
Defensive side: Bahia are 4% below league average at home, and Sao Paulo are 5% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals3.20
BTTS60%
Over 2.580%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Bahia goal timing (home)

1H scored: 56% 2H scored: 44% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 5
31-45 4
16-30 3
0-15 2
46-60 1
61-75 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 3
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
16-30 1
46-60 1
61-75 0

Sao Paulo goal timing (away)

1H scored: 22% 2H scored: 78% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60 3
61-75 2
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
31-45 1
16-30 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 5
46-60 5
76-90+ 5
16-30 3
61-75 3
0-15 0

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games17
Home Wins3
Draws7
Away Wins7
Over 2.5 Goals7 (41.2%)
BTTS8 (47.1%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games8
Home Wins3
Draws2
Away Wins3
Over 2.5 Goals5 (62.5%)
BTTS4 (50.0%)

Bahia vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head History by Season