Stage
Regular Season - 15
Regular Season Table
Derby 23 ·
Bolton 15
Team Overview
Derby (Home stats)
Games / Record
6
W-D-L: 0-2-4
Goals For / Against
4 / 10
Avg: 0.67 / 1.67
Bolton (Away stats)
Games / Record
6
W-D-L: 2-2-2
Goals For / Against
9 / 11
Avg: 1.50 / 1.83
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Championship fixture.
League-position context
Derby: #23 · 6 pts · GD -11
16 pts off the top 2. 11 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts from safety.
Bolton: #15 · 14 pts · GD -3
8 pts off the top 2. 3 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts clear of the relegation zone.
8-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Derby last 5 home
Points1/15
Weighted index9
Goals2-8
Record0-1-4
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.
Bolton last 5 away
Points7/15
Weighted index58
Goals9-11
Record2-1-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Derby trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 67% · Over 3.5 17% · 1H BTTS 33%
Bolton trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 67% · Over 1.5 67% · Over 3.5 67% · 1H BTTS 33%
Scoring reliability
Derby clean sheet at home0%
Bolton clean sheet away33%
First-goal patterns
Derby win after scoring first0%
Bolton win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Derby 25% · Bolton 50%
Avg first goal minute:
Derby 24.5' · Bolton 14.5'
Vs league average
Derby score at home0.67 vs 1.59
Derby concede at home1.67 vs 1.30
Bolton score away1.50 vs 1.30
Bolton concede away1.83 vs 1.59
Derby score 58% below league average, while Bolton score 16% above league average.
Defensive side: Derby are 28% above league average at home, and Bolton are 15% above league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.20
At this venue setup: 4.00 goals on average across the last 3.
Derby goal timing (home)
1H scored: 75%
2H scored: 25%
Danger: 0-15
Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
0
76-90+
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45
3
16-30
2
76-90+
2
0-15
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
Bolton goal timing (away)
1H scored: 44%
2H scored: 56%
Danger: 61-75
Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
61-75
3
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
76-90+
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+
4
0-15
2
61-75
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
