FIXTURES
LIVESCORES
NEWS

Argentina Liga Profesional race map

Argentina Liga Profesional Season Predictor 2021-2022

A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.

Title Favorite River Plate
100.0% average title probability
Biggest Model Split River Plate
Gap score 0.0 between the two models

Race Storylines

Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.

1 live title contenders

Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.

0 clubs still fighting for top 4

These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.

0 teams in real drop trouble

Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.

High-Leverage Fixtures

The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.

No remaining fixtures are available for a race-heat watchlist.

Full Simulation Tables

The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.

This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Liga Profesional. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.

Simulations 1
Remaining Fixtures 0
Goal Model Base 1.35 / 1.05
Form Model Base 1.35 PPG

Model Comparison

# Team Current Pts Goal Exp Pts Form Exp Pts Goal Finish Form Finish Goal Title Form Title Goal Top 4 Form Top 4 Goal Bottom Finish (25-26) Form Bottom Finish (25-26)
1 River Plate 54 54.0 54.0 1 1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 Defensa Y Justicia 47 47.0 47.0 2 2 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 Talleres Cordoba 46 46.0 46.0 3 3 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 Boca Juniors 41 41.0 41.0 4 4 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 Velez Sarsfield 39 39.0 39.0 5 5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
6 Estudiantes L.P. 39 39.0 39.0 6 6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
7 Colon Santa Fe 39 39.0 39.0 7 7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
8 Huracan 38 38.0 38.0 8 8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
9 Independiente 38 38.0 38.0 9 9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Lanus 37 37.0 37.0 10 10 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Gimnasia L.P. 36 36.0 36.0 11 11 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Union Santa Fe 34 34.0 34.0 12 12 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
13 Aldosivi 33 33.0 33.0 13 13 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 Argentinos JRS 32 32.0 32.0 14 14 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Racing Club 32 32.0 32.0 15 15 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Rosario Central 32 32.0 32.0 16 16 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
17 Godoy Cruz 31 31.0 31.0 17 17 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
18 Platense 31 31.0 31.0 18 18 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
19 Newells Old Boys 28 28.0 28.0 19 19 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
20 Banfield 27 27.0 27.0 20 20 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
21 San Lorenzo 27 27.0 27.0 21 21 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
22 Central Cordoba de Santiago 26 26.0 26.0 22 22 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
23 Patronato 25 25.0 25.0 23 23 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
24 Sarmiento Junin 24 24.0 24.0 24 24 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
25 Atletico Tucuman 22 22.0 22.0 25 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
26 Arsenal Sarandi 21 21.0 21.0 26 26 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities

There are no remaining fixtures to simulate for the goal-strength model.

Points-Form Fixture Probabilities

There are no remaining fixtures to simulate for the points-form model.