Stage
Regular Season - 19
Regular Season Table
Atletico-MG 8 ·
Bahia 6
Team Overview
Atletico-MG (Home stats)
Games / Record
11
W-D-L: 6-4-1
Goals For / Against
19 / 15
Avg: 1.73 / 1.36
Bahia (Away stats)
Games / Record
11
W-D-L: 5-3-3
Goals For / Against
17 / 18
Avg: 1.55 / 1.64
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.
League-position context
Atletico-MG: #8 · 33 pts · GD +0
10 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 9 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Bahia: #6 · 34 pts · GD +4
9 pts off the top 2. 1 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
1-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Atletico-MG last 5 home
Points11/15
Weighted index73
Goals10-5
Record3-2-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.
Bahia last 5 away
Points6/15
Weighted index51
Goals10-10
Record1-3-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.
Atletico-MG trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 82% · Over 3.5 45% · 1H BTTS 27%
Bahia trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 91% · Over 1.5 73% · Over 3.5 45% · 1H BTTS 36%
Scoring reliability
Atletico-MG score at home91%
Atletico-MG clean sheet at home18%
Bahia clean sheet away27%
First-goal patterns
Atletico-MG score first64%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first71%
Bahia win after scoring first60%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Atletico-MG 50% · Bahia 50%
Avg first goal minute:
Atletico-MG 27.9' · Bahia 20.8'
Vs league average
Atletico-MG score at home1.73 vs 1.59
Atletico-MG concede at home1.36 vs 1.14
Bahia score away1.55 vs 1.14
Bahia concede away1.64 vs 1.59
Atletico-MG score 9% above league average, while Bahia score 36% above league average.
Defensive side: Atletico-MG are 20% above league average at home, and Bahia are 3% above league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.20
At this venue setup: 2.20 goals on average across the last 5.
Atletico-MG goal timing (home)
1H scored: 38%
2H scored: 63%
Danger: 61-75
Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
61-75
6
76-90+
4
16-30
3
0-15
2
31-45
1
46-60
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+
8
31-45
3
46-60
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
61-75
1
Bahia goal timing (away)
1H scored: 54%
2H scored: 46%
Danger: 31-45
Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45
3
61-75
3
76-90+
3
0-15
2
16-30
2
46-60
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30
4
46-60
4
61-75
4
31-45
2
76-90+
2
0-15
1
