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Atletico-MG vs Gremio

Atletico-MG
— - —
Gremio
🕒 Sun, 16 Aug 2026 20:00 Europe/London 📍 Arena MRV 🧑‍⚖️ Bruno Arleu de Araujo 🔁 Regular Season - 23 🏁 halftime
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 23
Regular Season Table
Atletico-MG 8 · Gremio 17
Referee Stats
Bruno Arleu de Araujo
11 matches · 4.36 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 4.36
Reds avg 0.18
Penalties avg 0.18
Over 4.5 cards 64%
Home wins 36%
Draws 36%
Away wins 27%

Team Overview

Atletico-MG (Home stats)

Games / Record

11
W-D-L: 6-4-1

Goals For / Against

19 / 15
Avg: 1.73 / 1.36

Points

22
Avg: 2.00

Clean Sheets

2

Failed to Score

1
Gremio (Away stats)

Games / Record

10
W-D-L: 0-4-6

Goals For / Against

5 / 13
Avg: 0.50 / 1.30

Points

4
Avg: 0.40

Clean Sheets

2

Failed to Score

5

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.00
PPG
0.40
1.73
GF
0.50
1.36
GA
1.30
64%
O2.5
30%
73%
BTTS
50%
64%
Score 1st
0%

League-position context

Atletico-MG rank8th
Gremio rank17th
Atletico-MG points33
Gremio points24
Atletico-MG: #8 · 33 pts · GD +0
10 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 9 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Gremio: #17 · 24 pts · GD -4
19 pts off the top 2. 9 pts off the play-off line. 0 pts from safety.
9-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Atletico-MG last 5 home

D W W W D
Points11/15
Weighted index73
Goals10-5
Record3-2-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Gremio last 5 away

L D D L D
Points3/15
Weighted index18
Goals1-4
Record0-3-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

Atletico-MG trend breakdown

Over 2.564%
BTTS73%
BTTS + O2.555%
1H Over 0.582%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 82% · Over 3.5 45% · 1H BTTS 27%

Gremio trend breakdown

Over 2.530%
BTTS50%
BTTS + O2.530%
1H Over 0.540%
Also: Over 0.5 80% · Over 1.5 70% · Over 3.5 0% · 1H BTTS 20%

Scoring reliability

Atletico-MG score at home91%
Atletico-MG clean sheet at home18%
Gremio score away50%
Gremio clean sheet away20%

First-goal patterns

Atletico-MG score first64%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first71%
Gremio score first0%
Gremio win after scoring first0%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Atletico-MG 50% · Gremio 25%
Avg first goal minute: Atletico-MG 27.9' · Gremio —

Vs league average

Atletico-MG score at home1.73 vs 1.59
Atletico-MG concede at home1.36 vs 1.14
Gremio score away0.50 vs 1.14
Gremio concede away1.30 vs 1.59
Atletico-MG score 9% above league average, while Gremio score 56% below league average.
Defensive side: Atletico-MG are 20% above league average at home, and Gremio are 18% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals3.60
BTTS100%
Over 2.5100%
At this venue setup: 3.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Atletico-MG goal timing (home)

1H scored: 38% 2H scored: 63% Danger: 61-75 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
61-75 6
76-90+ 4
16-30 3
0-15 2
31-45 1
46-60 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 8
31-45 3
46-60 2
0-15 1
16-30 1
61-75 1

Gremio goal timing (away)

1H scored: 50% 2H scored: 50% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 46-60
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 2
46-60 1
61-75 1
0-15 0
16-30 0
76-90+ 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
46-60 4
61-75 4
0-15 2
16-30 2
31-45 2
76-90+ 0

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games21
Home Wins6
Draws2
Away Wins13
Over 2.5 Goals13 (61.9%)
BTTS13 (61.9%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games10
Home Wins5
Draws0
Away Wins5
Over 2.5 Goals8 (80.0%)
BTTS6 (60.0%)

Atletico-MG vs Gremio Head-to-Head History by Season

2026-2027 Season
16 Aug 2026 Atletico-MG vs Gremio — - — 26 Feb 2026 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 1
2025-2026 Season
17 Aug 2025 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 1 - 3 29 Mar 2025 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 1
2024-2025 Season
09 Oct 2024 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 2 - 1 01 Sep 2024 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 3
2023-2024 Season
26 Nov 2023 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 3 - 0 23 Jul 2023 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 1 - 0
2021-2022 Season
10 Dec 2021 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 4 - 3 04 Nov 2021 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 2 - 1
2020-2021 Season
20 Jan 2021 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 1 - 1 27 Sep 2020 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 3 - 1
2019-2020 Season
13 Oct 2019 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 1 - 4 25 May 2019 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 1 - 0
2018-2019 Season
03 Nov 2018 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 0 - 1 19 Jul 2018 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 0
2017-2018 Season
03 Dec 2017 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 4 - 3 06 Aug 2017 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 0
2016-2017 Season
28 Aug 2016 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 1 - 1 27 May 2016 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 0 - 3
2015-2016 Season
29 Nov 2015 Gremio vs Atletico-MG 2 - 1 14 Aug 2015 Atletico-MG vs Gremio 0 - 2