Stage
Regular Season - 23
Regular Season Table
Atletico-MG 10 ·
Gremio 15
Team Overview
Atletico-MG (Home stats)
Games / Record
8
W-D-L: 4-3-1
Goals For / Against
13 / 12
Avg: 1.63 / 1.50
Gremio (Away stats)
Games / Record
9
W-D-L: 0-4-5
Goals For / Against
5 / 12
Avg: 0.56 / 1.33
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.
League-position context
Atletico-MG: #10 · 24 pts · GD -1
10 pts off the top 2. 2 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Gremio: #15 · 21 pts · GD -3
13 pts off the top 2. 5 pts off the play-off line. 1 pts clear of the relegation zone.
3-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Atletico-MG last 5 home
Points10/15
Weighted index62
Goals7-7
Record3-1-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.
Gremio last 5 away
Points3/15
Weighted index24
Goals2-5
Record0-3-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.
Atletico-MG trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 75% · Over 3.5 50% · 1H BTTS 38%
Gremio trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 78% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 0% · 1H BTTS 22%
Scoring reliability
Atletico-MG score at home88%
Atletico-MG clean sheet at home25%
Gremio clean sheet away22%
First-goal patterns
Atletico-MG score first75%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first67%
Gremio win after scoring first0%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Atletico-MG 50% · Gremio 29%
Avg first goal minute:
Atletico-MG 22.3' · Gremio —
Vs league average
Atletico-MG score at home1.63 vs 1.53
Atletico-MG concede at home1.50 vs 1.12
Gremio score away0.56 vs 1.12
Gremio concede away1.33 vs 1.53
Atletico-MG score 6% above league average, while Gremio score 50% below league average.
Defensive side: Atletico-MG are 34% above league average at home, and Gremio are 13% below league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.60
At this venue setup: 3.40 goals on average across the last 5.
Atletico-MG goal timing (home)
1H scored: 46%
2H scored: 54%
Danger: 61-75
Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
61-75
4
16-30
3
76-90+
3
0-15
2
31-45
1
46-60
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+
7
31-45
3
46-60
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
61-75
1
Gremio goal timing (away)
1H scored: 50%
2H scored: 50%
Danger: 31-45
Vulnerable: 46-60
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
0-15
0
16-30
0
76-90+
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
46-60
4
61-75
3
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
76-90+
0
