Stage
Regular Season - 38
Regular Season Table
Bahia 6 ·
Atletico-MG 8
Team Overview
Bahia (Home stats)
Games / Record
10
W-D-L: 4-4-2
Goals For / Against
16 / 11
Avg: 1.60 / 1.10
Atletico-MG (Away stats)
Games / Record
13
W-D-L: 3-2-8
Goals For / Against
11 / 15
Avg: 0.85 / 1.15
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.
League-position context
Bahia: #6 · 34 pts · GD +4
9 pts off the top 2. 1 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Atletico-MG: #8 · 33 pts · GD +0
10 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 9 pts clear of the relegation zone.
1-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Bahia last 5 home
Points8/15
Weighted index69
Goals8-7
Record2-2-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Atletico-MG last 5 away
Points5/15
Weighted index29
Goals3-5
Record1-2-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Bahia trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 100% · Over 3.5 10% · 1H BTTS 20%
Atletico-MG trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 92% · Over 1.5 54% · Over 3.5 23% · 1H BTTS 8%
Scoring reliability
Bahia clean sheet at home20%
Atletico-MG score away38%
Atletico-MG clean sheet away23%
First-goal patterns
Bahia win after scoring first50%
Atletico-MG score first23%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Bahia 67% · Atletico-MG 14%
Avg first goal minute:
Bahia 24.3' · Atletico-MG 22.3'
Vs league average
Bahia score at home1.60 vs 1.59
Bahia concede at home1.10 vs 1.14
Atletico-MG score away0.85 vs 1.14
Atletico-MG concede away1.15 vs 1.59
Bahia score 1% above league average, while Atletico-MG score 26% below league average.
Defensive side: Bahia are 3% below league average at home, and Atletico-MG are 27% below league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.20
At this venue setup: 4.00 goals on average across the last 5.
Bahia goal timing (home)
1H scored: 56%
2H scored: 44%
Danger: 76-90+
Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+
5
31-45
4
16-30
3
0-15
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45
3
76-90+
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
46-60
1
61-75
0
Atletico-MG goal timing (away)
1H scored: 67%
2H scored: 33%
Danger: 31-45
Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45
5
16-30
2
76-90+
2
0-15
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75
4
16-30
3
0-15
2
46-60
2
31-45
1
76-90+
1
