Stage
Regular Season - 38
Regular Season Table
Bahia 6 ·
Atletico-MG 10
Team Overview
Bahia (Home stats)
Games / Record
9
W-D-L: 3-4-2
Goals For / Against
14 / 10
Avg: 1.56 / 1.11
Atletico-MG (Away stats)
Games / Record
10
W-D-L: 3-0-7
Goals For / Against
9 / 11
Avg: 0.90 / 1.10
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.
League-position context
Bahia: #6 · 27 pts · GD +2
7 pts off the top 2. 2 pts above the play-off edge. 7 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Atletico-MG: #10 · 24 pts · GD -1
10 pts off the top 2. 2 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts clear of the relegation zone.
3-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Bahia last 5 home
Points5/15
Weighted index47
Goals7-8
Record1-2-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Atletico-MG last 5 away
Points6/15
Weighted index53
Goals4-5
Record2-0-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.
Bahia trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 100% · Over 3.5 11% · 1H BTTS 22%
Atletico-MG trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 50% · Over 3.5 20% · 1H BTTS 0%
Scoring reliability
Bahia clean sheet at home22%
Atletico-MG score away40%
Atletico-MG clean sheet away20%
First-goal patterns
Bahia win after scoring first40%
Atletico-MG score first30%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Bahia 67% · Atletico-MG 0%
Avg first goal minute:
Bahia 25.2' · Atletico-MG 22.3'
Vs league average
Bahia score at home1.56 vs 1.53
Bahia concede at home1.11 vs 1.12
Atletico-MG score away0.90 vs 1.12
Atletico-MG concede away1.10 vs 1.53
Bahia score 2% above league average, while Atletico-MG score 19% below league average.
Defensive side: Bahia are 1% below league average at home, and Atletico-MG are 28% below league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.20
At this venue setup: 4.00 goals on average across the last 5.
Bahia goal timing (home)
1H scored: 57%
2H scored: 43%
Danger: 31-45
Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45
4
76-90+
4
0-15
2
16-30
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45
3
0-15
1
16-30
1
46-60
1
76-90+
1
61-75
0
Atletico-MG goal timing (away)
1H scored: 67%
2H scored: 33%
Danger: 31-45
Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45
3
16-30
2
0-15
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90+
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30
3
61-75
3
46-60
2
0-15
1
31-45
1
76-90+
1
