Gremio vs Sao Paulo

2 - 0
🕒 Thu, 16 Oct 2025 23:00 Europe/London 📍 Arena do Grêmio 🧑‍⚖️ Davi de Oliveira Lacerda 🔁 Regular Season - 28 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Gremio 9 · Sao Paulo 8
Referee Stats
30 matches · 4.33 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 4.33
Reds avg 0.10
Penalties avg 0.43
Over 4.5 cards 50%
Home wins 47%
Draws 37%
Away wins 17%
How the match was won
  • Shots were tight (18-14).
  • Sao Paulo controlled possession (64%).
  • Gremio had the sharper finishing (7-1 shots on target).

Team Overview

Gremio (Home stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 9-5-5

Goals For / Against

24 / 17
Avg: 1.26 / 0.89

Points

32
Avg: 1.68

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

5
Sao Paulo (Away stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 4-5-10

Goals For / Against

16 / 30
Avg: 0.84 / 1.58

Points

17
Avg: 0.89

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

9

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.68
PPG
0.89
1.26
GF
0.84
0.89
GA
1.58
32%
O2.5
42%
53%
BTTS
37%
53%
Score 1st
37%

League-position context

Gremio rank9th
Sao Paulo rank8th
Gremio points49
Sao Paulo points51
Gremio: #9 · 49 pts · GD -3
27 pts off the top 2. 2 pts off the play-off line. 6 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Sao Paulo: #8 · 51 pts · GD -4
25 pts off the top 2. 2 pts above the play-off edge. 8 pts clear of the relegation zone.
2-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Gremio last 5 home

L W W L W
Points9/15
Weighted index53
Goals9-6
Record3-0-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Sao Paulo last 5 away

L L L W L
Points3/15
Weighted index13
Goals3-13
Record1-0-4
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Gremio trend breakdown

Over 2.532%
BTTS53%
BTTS + O2.532%
1H Over 0.558%
Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 68% · Over 3.5 16% · 1H BTTS 11%

Sao Paulo trend breakdown

Over 2.542%
BTTS37%
BTTS + O2.532%
1H Over 0.558%
Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 68% · Over 3.5 26% · 1H BTTS 16%

Scoring reliability

Gremio score at home74%
Gremio clean sheet at home26%
Sao Paulo score away53%
Sao Paulo clean sheet away21%

First-goal patterns

Gremio score first53%
Gremio win after scoring first80%
Sao Paulo score first37%
Sao Paulo win after scoring first57%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Gremio 38% · Sao Paulo 17%
Avg first goal minute: Gremio 46.8' · Sao Paulo 33.1'

Vs league average

Gremio score at home1.26 vs 1.53
Gremio concede at home0.89 vs 1.00
Sao Paulo score away0.84 vs 1.00
Sao Paulo concede away1.58 vs 1.53
Gremio score 17% below league average, while Sao Paulo score 16% below league average.
Defensive side: Gremio are 10% below league average at home, and Sao Paulo are 3% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.60
BTTS60%
Over 2.560%
At this venue setup: 2.80 goals on average across the last 5.

Gremio goal timing (home)

1H scored: 36% 2H scored: 64% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 46-60
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 7
46-60 7
76-90+ 7
61-75 4
16-30 2
0-15 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
46-60 5
31-45 4
16-30 3
61-75 3
76-90+ 3
0-15 1

Sao Paulo goal timing (away)

1H scored: 40% 2H scored: 60% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 7
31-45 4
46-60 3
0-15 2
16-30 2
61-75 2
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 10
46-60 7
61-75 7
0-15 5
31-45 5
16-30 4

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
7
1
Total Shots
18
14
Shots off Goal
6
10
Blocked Shots
5
3
Shots Inside Box
12
9
Shots Outside Box
6
5
Ball Possession
36%
64%
Corner Kicks
5
3
Fouls
18
14
Offsides
Yellow Cards
1
3
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
1
5
Total Passes
348
617
Passes Accurate
293
556
Passes %
84%
90%

Events

Yellow Cards
Home
1
Away
3
Red Cards
Home
0
Away
0
Substitutions
Home
5
Away
5
13'
13' Wendell
1st substitution · For: Patryck
21'
21' G. Tapia
29'
29' Alysson Edward
1st substitution · For: C. Pavón
39'
39' Goal · 1-0
Carlos Vinícius
Normal Goal
46'
46' A. Franco
2nd substitution · For: Lucas Moura
54'
54' VAR
Edenílson
Penalty confirmed
56'
56' Goal · 2-0
Carlos Vinícius
Penalty
64'
64' Maílton
66'
66' Rodriguinho
3rd substitution · For: Ferreira
67'
67' F. Amuzu
2nd substitution · For: F. Cristaldo
67'
67' Carlos Vinícius
3rd substitution · For: C. Olivera
67'
67' G. Tapia
4th substitution · For: Luiz Gustavo
75'
75' Luciano
80'
80' Luciano
5th substitution · For: E. Rigoni
85'
85' Arthur
4th substitution · For: Gustavo Martins
85'
85' Edenílson
5th substitution · For: G. Cuéllar
90+4'
90+4' Dodi

Gremio vs Sao Paulo 2-0: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Gremio beat Sao Paulo 2-0 on Thursday, 16 October 2025 in Serie A. The match was refereed by Davi de Oliveira Lacerda. It was played at Arena do Grêmio.

First half: Sao Paulo made their 1st substitution at 13', with Wendell replacing Patryck. G. Tapia received a yellow card for Sao Paulo at 21'. Gremio made their 1st substitution at 29', with Alysson Edward replacing C. Pavón. Gremio took the lead at 39' when Carlos Vinícius scored, making the score 1-0.

Second half: Sao Paulo made their 2nd substitution at 46', with A. Franco replacing Lucas Moura. VAR intervened at 54' for Gremio (Penalty confirmed). Gremio extended the lead at 56' when Carlos Vinícius scored (Penalty), making the score 2-0. Maílton received a yellow card for Sao Paulo at 64'. Sao Paulo made their 3rd substitution at 66', with Rodriguinho replacing Ferreira. Gremio made their 2nd substitution at 67', with F. Amuzu replacing F. Cristaldo. Gremio made their 3rd substitution at 67', with Carlos Vinícius replacing C. Olivera. Sao Paulo made their 4th substitution at 67', with G. Tapia replacing Luiz Gustavo. Luciano received a yellow card for Sao Paulo at 75'. Sao Paulo made their 5th substitution at 80', with Luciano replacing E. Rigoni. Gremio made their 4th substitution at 85', with Arthur replacing Gustavo Martins. Gremio made their 5th substitution at 85', with Edenílson replacing G. Cuéllar. Dodi received a yellow card for Gremio at 90+4'.

Gremio used 5 substitutions while Sao Paulo used 5 substitutions. Gremio got 1 yellow card, while Sao Paulo got 3 yellow cards.

How the match was won

  • Shots were tight (18-14).
  • Sao Paulo controlled possession (64%).
  • Gremio had the sharper finishing (7-1 shots on target).

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games22
Home Wins9
Draws5
Away Wins8
Over 2.5 Goals11 (50.0%)
BTTS11 (50.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games11
Home Wins9
Draws0
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals8 (72.7%)
BTTS6 (54.5%)

Gremio vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head History by Season