Stage
Promotion Play-offs - Final
Championship Table
Aston Villa 5 ·
Derby 6
Team Overview
Aston Villa (Home stats)
Games / Record
25
W-D-L: 13-8-4
Goals For / Against
54 / 38
Avg: 2.16 / 1.52
Derby (Away stats)
Games / Record
25
W-D-L: 8-7-10
Goals For / Against
34 / 38
Avg: 1.36 / 1.52
Match Context & Trends
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.
League-position context
Aston Villa: #5 · 82 pts · GD +22
7 pts off the top 2. 16 pts above the play-off edge. 38 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Derby: #6 · 77 pts · GD +15
12 pts off the top 2. 11 pts above the play-off edge. 33 pts clear of the relegation zone.
5-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Aston Villa last 5 home
Points12/15
Weighted index80
Goals8-5
Record4-0-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.
Derby last 5 away
Points8/15
Weighted index49
Goals10-7
Record2-2-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Aston Villa trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 92% · Over 3.5 44% · 1H BTTS 28%
Derby trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 96% · Over 1.5 80% · Over 3.5 28% · 1H BTTS 16%
Scoring reliability
Aston Villa score at home96%
Aston Villa clean sheet at home24%
Derby clean sheet away12%
First-goal patterns
Aston Villa score first0%
Aston Villa win after scoring first0%
Derby win after scoring first0%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Aston Villa 0% · Derby 0%
Vs league average
Aston Villa score at home2.16 vs 1.51
Aston Villa concede at home1.52 vs 1.16
Derby score away1.36 vs 1.16
Derby concede away1.52 vs 1.51
Aston Villa score 43% above league average, while Derby score 18% above league average.
Defensive side: Aston Villa are 31% above league average at home, and Derby are level with league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals2.80
At this venue setup: 2.50 goals on average across the last 4.
Aston Villa goal timing (home)
Goal-event timing is not populated enough for this venue split yet.
Derby goal timing (away)
Goal-event timing is not populated enough for this venue split yet.
