Stage
Regular Season - 16
Regular Season Table
Derby 8 ·
Watford 16
Referee Stats
24 matches ·
1.08 yellow cards avg
| Yellow cards avg |
1.08 |
|
| Reds avg |
0.04 |
|
| Penalties avg |
0.04 |
|
| Over 4.5 cards |
13% |
|
| Home wins |
54% |
|
| Draws |
17% |
|
| Away wins |
29% |
|
Team Overview
Derby (Home stats)
Games / Record
23
W-D-L: 10-6-7
Goals For / Against
31 / 27
Avg: 1.35 / 1.17
Watford (Away stats)
Games / Record
23
W-D-L: 4-8-11
Goals For / Against
23 / 38
Avg: 1.00 / 1.65
Match Context & Trends
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.
League-position context
Derby: #8 · 69 pts · GD +8
15 pts off the top 2. 4 pts above the play-off edge. 17 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Watford: #16 · 57 pts · GD -12
27 pts off the top 2. 12 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts clear of the relegation zone.
12-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Derby last 5 home
Points12/15
Weighted index67
Goals7-3
Record4-0-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.
Watford last 5 away
Points0/15
Weighted index0
Goals3-15
Record0-0-5
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.
Derby trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 74% · Over 3.5 17% · 1H BTTS 13%
Watford trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 96% · Over 1.5 74% · Over 3.5 30% · 1H BTTS 13%
Scoring reliability
Derby clean sheet at home30%
Watford clean sheet away9%
First-goal patterns
Derby win after scoring first63%
Watford win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Derby 100% · Watford 14%
Avg first goal minute:
Derby 29.3' · Watford 16.5'
Vs league average
Derby score at home1.35 vs 1.40
Derby concede at home1.17 vs 1.20
Watford score away1.00 vs 1.20
Watford concede away1.65 vs 1.40
Derby score 4% below league average, while Watford score 17% below league average.
Defensive side: Derby are 3% below league average at home, and Watford are 18% above league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals3.00
At this venue setup: 2.67 goals on average across the last 3.
Derby goal timing (home)
1H scored: 47%
2H scored: 53%
Danger: 0-15
Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15
3
31-45
3
46-60
3
61-75
3
76-90+
2
16-30
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75
2
76-90+
2
16-30
1
46-60
1
0-15
0
31-45
0
Watford goal timing (away)
1H scored: 29%
2H scored: 71%
Danger: 76-90+
Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+
3
46-60
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
0
61-75
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30
6
61-75
5
76-90+
4
46-60
3
31-45
2
0-15
1
