Swansea vs Derby

1 - 2
🕒 Tue, 25 Nov 2025 19:45 Europe/London 📍 Swansea.com Stadium 🧑‍⚖️ Andrew Kitchen 🔁 Regular Season - 17 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 17
Regular Season Table
Swansea 11 · Derby 8
Referee Stats
26 matches · 1.12 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 1.12
Reds avg 0.08
Penalties avg 0.08
Over 4.5 cards 0%
Home wins 62%
Draws 19%
Away wins 19%
How the match was won
  • Shots were tight (9-13).
  • Swansea controlled possession (73%).

Team Overview

Swansea (Home stats)

Games / Record

23
W-D-L: 11-6-6

Goals For / Against

34 / 27
Avg: 1.48 / 1.17

Points

39
Avg: 1.70

Clean Sheets

7

Failed to Score

2
Derby (Away stats)

Games / Record

23
W-D-L: 10-3-10

Goals For / Against

36 / 32
Avg: 1.57 / 1.39

Points

33
Avg: 1.43

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

3

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.70
PPG
1.43
1.48
GF
1.57
1.17
GA
1.39
52%
O2.5
65%
61%
BTTS
65%
30%
Score 1st
17%

League-position context

Swansea rank11th
Derby rank8th
Swansea points64
Derby points69
Swansea: #11 · 64 pts · GD -2
20 pts off the top 2. 5 pts off the play-off line. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Derby: #8 · 69 pts · GD +8
15 pts off the top 2. 4 pts above the play-off edge. 17 pts clear of the relegation zone.
5-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Swansea last 5 home

W L D L W
Points7/15
Weighted index47
Goals8-8
Record2-1-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

Derby last 5 away

W L L L W
Points6/15
Weighted index40
Goals8-9
Record2-0-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Swansea trend breakdown

Over 2.552%
BTTS61%
BTTS + O2.543%
1H Over 0.565%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 30% · 1H BTTS 17%

Derby trend breakdown

Over 2.565%
BTTS65%
BTTS + O2.557%
1H Over 0.561%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 30% · 1H BTTS 13%

Scoring reliability

Swansea score at home91%
Swansea clean sheet at home30%
Derby score away87%
Derby clean sheet away22%

First-goal patterns

Swansea score first30%
Swansea win after scoring first71%
Derby score first17%
Derby win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Swansea 67% · Derby 40%
Avg first goal minute: Swansea 33.4' · Derby 34.3'

Vs league average

Swansea score at home1.48 vs 1.40
Swansea concede at home1.17 vs 1.20
Derby score away1.57 vs 1.20
Derby concede away1.39 vs 1.40
Swansea score 6% above league average, while Derby score 30% above league average.
Defensive side: Swansea are 3% below league average at home, and Derby are 1% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.40
BTTS40%
Over 2.560%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Swansea goal timing (home)

1H scored: 35% 2H scored: 65% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
16-30 6
76-90+ 6
61-75 3
46-60 2
0-15 0
31-45 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 4
46-60 2
61-75 2
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
16-30 1

Derby goal timing (away)

1H scored: 54% 2H scored: 46% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 4
31-45 3
0-15 2
16-30 2
46-60 2
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75 5
0-15 3
76-90+ 3
31-45 2
46-60 2
16-30 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
4
5
Total Shots
9
13
Shots off Goal
1
6
Blocked Shots
4
2
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Shots Outside Box
5
4
Ball Possession
73%
27%
Corner Kicks
4
2
Fouls
10
20
Offsides
Yellow Cards
0
2
Red Cards
Goalkeeper Saves
3
3
Total Passes
678
241
Passes Accurate
585
160
Passes %
86%
66%

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games12
Home Wins5
Draws3
Away Wins4
Over 2.5 Goals6 (50.0%)
BTTS6 (50.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games5
Home Wins3
Draws1
Away Wins1
Over 2.5 Goals3 (60.0%)
BTTS4 (80.0%)

Swansea vs Derby Head-to-Head History by Season