Eastleigh vs Carlisle

Eastleigh

1 - 2

Carlisle

🕒 Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 Europe/London 🧑‍⚖️ No Ref Info 🔁 Regular Season - 36 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 36

Regular Season Table

Eastleigh 17 · Carlisle 3

Team Overview

Eastleigh (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 7-6-10

Goals For / Against

32 / 43

Avg: 1.39 / 1.87

Points

Avg: 1.17

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Carlisle (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 14-3-6

Goals For / Against

34 / 27

Avg: 1.48 / 1.17

Points

Avg: 1.96

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this National League fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.17

PPG

1.96

1.39

1.48

1.87

1.17

65%

O2.5

57%

83%

BTTS

52%

43%

Score 1st

57%

League-position context

Eastleigh rank17th

Carlisle rank3rd

Eastleigh points50

Carlisle points95

Eastleigh: #17 · 50 pts · GD -23

56 pts off the top 2. 20 pts off the play-off line. 8 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Carlisle: #3 · 95 pts · GD +36

11 pts off the top 2. 27 pts above the play-off edge. 53 pts clear of the relegation zone.

45-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Eastleigh last 5 home

D W L L L

Points4/15

Weighted index38

Goals6-11

Record1-1-3

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Carlisle last 5 away

W D W W L

Points10/15

Weighted index76

Goals7-5

Record3-1-1

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Eastleigh trend breakdown

Over 2.565%

BTTS83%

BTTS + O2.565%

1H Over 0.557%

Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 100% · Over 3.5 35% · 1H BTTS 26%

Carlisle trend breakdown

Over 2.557%

BTTS52%

BTTS + O2.548%

1H Over 0.561%

Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 74% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 9%

Scoring reliability

Eastleigh score at home87%

Eastleigh clean sheet at home4%

Carlisle score away87%

Carlisle clean sheet away35%

First-goal patterns

Eastleigh score first43%

Eastleigh win after scoring first50%

Carlisle score first57%

Carlisle win after scoring first85%

Comeback rate after conceding first: Eastleigh 36% · Carlisle 38%

Avg first goal minute: Eastleigh 35.5' · Carlisle 38.7'

Vs league average

Eastleigh score at home1.39 vs 1.59

Eastleigh concede at home1.87 vs 1.34

Carlisle score away1.48 vs 1.34

Carlisle concede away1.17 vs 1.59

Eastleigh score 12% below league average, while Carlisle score 11% above league average.

Defensive side: Eastleigh are 40% above league average at home, and Carlisle are 26% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games2

Avg goals2.50

BTTS100%

Over 2.550%

At this venue setup: 3.00 goals on average across the last 1.

Eastleigh goal timing (home)

1H scored: 33% 2H scored: 67% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 46-60

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 10

46-60 6

31-45 4

61-75 4

0-15 3

16-30 3

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

46-60 10

76-90+ 10

16-30 8

61-75 8

31-45 3

0-15 1

Carlisle goal timing (away)

1H scored: 35% 2H scored: 65% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 8

61-75 7

16-30 6

46-60 5

31-45 3

0-15 2

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

31-45 9

76-90+ 6

46-60 5

0-15 4

16-30 2

61-75 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

—

Total Shots

—

Shots off Goal

—

Blocked Shots

—

Shots Inside Box

—

Shots Outside Box

—

Ball Possession

—

Corner Kicks

—

Fouls

—

Offsides

—

Yellow Cards

—

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

—

Total Passes

—

Passes Accurate

—

Passes %

—

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

54' ⚽

⚽

54' ⚽ Goal · 0-1

G. Kelly

Normal Goal

69' ⚽

⚽

69' ⚽ Goal · 0-2

S. Wearne

Normal Goal · Assist: A. Gilliead

73' ↑↓

↑↓

73' ⇄ T. Thomas

1st substitution · For: B. Mugabi

73' ↑↓

↑↓

73' ⇄ L. Armstrong

2nd substitution · For: H. Parker

74'

74' A. Blair

83'

83' S. Wearne

87' ↑↓

↑↓

87' ⇄ J. Ellis

3rd substitution · For: C. Harper

90+4' ⚽

⚽

90+4' ⚽ Goal · 1-2

T. Eweka

Normal Goal

Eastleigh vs Carlisle 1-2: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Carlisle beat Eastleigh 2-1 on Saturday, 28 February 2026 in National League.

First half: No goals were scored in the first half. No other first-half events were recorded.

Second half: Carlisle took the lead at 54' when G. Kelly scored, making the score 0-1. Carlisle extended the lead at 69' when S. Wearne scored, with the assist credited to A. Gilliead, making the score 0-2. Carlisle made their 1st substitution at 73', with T. Thomas replacing B. Mugabi. Carlisle made their 2nd substitution at 73', with L. Armstrong replacing H. Parker. A. Blair received a yellow card for Eastleigh at 74'. S. Wearne received a yellow card for Carlisle at 83'. Carlisle made their 3rd substitution at 87', with J. Ellis replacing C. Harper. Eastleigh scored late to reduce the deficit at 90+4' when T. Eweka scored, making the score 1-2.

Eastleigh used 0 substitutions while Carlisle used 3 substitutions. Eastleigh got 1 yellow card, while Carlisle got 1 yellow card.

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)

Total Games	2
Home Wins	0
Draws	1
Away Wins	1
Over 2.5 Goals	1 (50.0%)
BTTS	2 (100.0%)

Home vs Away as Scheduled

Total Games	1
Home Wins	0
Draws	0
Away Wins	1
Over 2.5 Goals	1 (100.0%)
BTTS	1 (100.0%)

Eastleigh vs Carlisle Head-to-Head History by Season

2025-2026 Season

28 Feb 2026 Eastleigh vs Carlisle 1 - 2 15 Nov 2025 Carlisle vs Eastleigh 1 - 1