Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

3 - 1

Nottingham Forest

🕒 Sat, 03 Jan 2026 12:30 Europe/London 📍 Villa Park 🧑‍⚖️ Simon Hooper 🔁 Regular Season - 20 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 20

Regular Season Table

Aston Villa 4 · Nottingham Forest 16

Referee Stats

Simon Hooper

15 matches · 3.40 yellow cards avg

Yellow cards avg	3.40
Reds avg	0.13
Penalties avg	0.13
Over 4.5 cards	47%
Home wins	33%
Draws	33%
Away wins	33%

How the match was won

Shots were tight (11-10).
Aston Villa controlled possession (73%).

Team Overview

Aston Villa (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 12-2-5

Goals For / Against

32 / 22

Avg: 1.68 / 1.16

Points

Avg: 2.00

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Nottingham Forest (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 7-3-9

Goals For / Against

28 / 28

Avg: 1.47 / 1.47

Points

Avg: 1.26

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Premier League fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.00

PPG

1.26

1.68

1.47

1.16

1.47

58%

O2.5

63%

53%

BTTS

47%

53%

Score 1st

42%

League-position context

Aston Villa rank4th

Nottingham Forest rank16th

Aston Villa points65

Nottingham Forest points44

Aston Villa: #4 · 65 pts · GD +7

13 pts off the top 2. 12 pts above the play-off edge. 24 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Nottingham Forest: #16 · 44 pts · GD -3

34 pts off the top 2. 9 pts off the play-off line. 3 pts clear of the relegation zone.

21-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Aston Villa last 5 home

W L W W L

Points9/15

Weighted index67

Goals12-11

Record3-0-2

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Nottingham Forest last 5 away

L W W W D

Points10/15

Weighted index62

Goals15-6

Record3-1-1

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Aston Villa trend breakdown

Over 2.558%

BTTS53%

BTTS + O2.547%

1H Over 0.579%

Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 68% · Over 3.5 32% · 1H BTTS 16%

Nottingham Forest trend breakdown

Over 2.563%

BTTS47%

BTTS + O2.537%

1H Over 0.584%

Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 89% · Over 3.5 32% · 1H BTTS 11%

Scoring reliability

Aston Villa score at home79%

Aston Villa clean sheet at home32%

Nottingham Forest score away74%

Nottingham Forest clean sheet away26%

First-goal patterns

Aston Villa score first53%

Aston Villa win after scoring first90%

Nottingham Forest score first42%

Nottingham Forest win after scoring first75%

Comeback rate after conceding first: Aston Villa 43% · Nottingham Forest 22%

Avg first goal minute: Aston Villa 28.4' · Nottingham Forest 18.8'

Vs league average

Aston Villa score at home1.68 vs 1.53

Aston Villa concede at home1.16 vs 1.22

Nottingham Forest score away1.47 vs 1.22

Nottingham Forest concede away1.47 vs 1.53

Aston Villa score 10% above league average, while Nottingham Forest score 20% above league average.

Defensive side: Aston Villa are 5% below league average at home, and Nottingham Forest are 3% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5

Avg goals3.00

BTTS100%

Over 2.580%

At this venue setup: 3.60 goals on average across the last 5.

Aston Villa goal timing (home)

1H scored: 47% 2H scored: 53% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 31-45

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

31-45 7

46-60 6

76-90+ 6

16-30 4

61-75 4

0-15 3

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

31-45 5

76-90+ 5

0-15 3

46-60 3

61-75 3

16-30 2

Nottingham Forest goal timing (away)

1H scored: 37% 2H scored: 63% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 8

0-15 7

46-60 6

31-45 3

61-75 3

16-30 0

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

31-45 7

46-60 7

76-90+ 5

16-30 4

61-75 4

0-15 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

Total Shots

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots Inside Box

Shots Outside Box

Ball Possession

73%

27%

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Offsides

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

Total Passes

645

239

Passes Accurate

579

170

Passes %

90%

71%

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

45' ⚽

⚽

45' ⚽ Goal · 1-0

O. Watkins

Normal Goal · Assist: M. Rogers

49' ⚽

⚽

49' ⚽ Goal · 2-0

J. McGinn

Normal Goal · Assist: M. Cash

61' ⚽

⚽

61' ⚽ Goal · 2-1

M. Gibbs-White

Normal Goal · Assist: D. Bakwa

65'

65' D. Bakwa

69' ↑↓

↑↓

69' ⇄ I. Maatsen

1st substitution · For: L. Digne

69' ↑↓

↑↓

69' ⇄ E. Buendía

2nd substitution · For: J. Sancho

69' ↑↓

↑↓

69' ⇄ D. Bakwa

1st substitution · For: J. McAtee

69' ↑↓

↑↓

69' ⇄ O. Aina

2nd substitution · For: N. Savona

73' ⚽

⚽

73' ⚽ Goal · 3-1

J. McGinn

Normal Goal · Assist: Y. Tielemans

78' ↑↓

↑↓

78' ⇄ John

3rd substitution · For: M. Sels

83' ↑↓

↑↓

83' ⇄ J. McGinn

3rd substitution · For: L. Bogarde

83' ↑↓

↑↓

83' ⇄ O. Watkins

4th substitution · For: D. Malen

83' ↑↓

↑↓

83' ⇄ N. Domínguez

4th substitution · For: Douglas Luiz

83' ↑↓

↑↓

83' ⇄ Igor Jesus

5th substitution · For: A. Kalimuendo

89'

89' J. McAtee

90' ↑↓

↑↓

90' ⇄ M. Cash

5th substitution · For: Andrés García

90+4'

90+4' L. Bogarde

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest 3-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 on Saturday, 03 January 2026 in Premier League. The match was refereed by Simon Hooper. It was played at Villa Park.

First half: Aston Villa took the lead at 45' when O. Watkins scored, with the assist credited to M. Rogers, making the score 1-0.

Second half: Aston Villa extended the lead at 49' when J. McGinn scored, with the assist credited to M. Cash, making the score 2-0. Nottingham Forest reduced the deficit at 61' when M. Gibbs-White scored, with the assist credited to D. Bakwa, making the score 2-1. D. Bakwa received a yellow card for Nottingham Forest at 65'. Aston Villa made their 1st substitution at 69', with I. Maatsen replacing L. Digne. Aston Villa made their 2nd substitution at 69', with E. Buendía replacing J. Sancho. Nottingham Forest made their 1st substitution at 69', with D. Bakwa replacing J. McAtee. Nottingham Forest made their 2nd substitution at 69', with O. Aina replacing N. Savona. Aston Villa extended the lead at 73' when J. McGinn scored, with the assist credited to Y. Tielemans, making the score 3-1. Nottingham Forest made their 3rd substitution at 78', with John replacing M. Sels. Aston Villa made their 3rd substitution at 83', with J. McGinn replacing L. Bogarde. Aston Villa made their 4th substitution at 83', with O. Watkins replacing D. Malen. Nottingham Forest made their 4th substitution at 83', with N. Domínguez replacing Douglas Luiz. Nottingham Forest made their 5th substitution at 83', with Igor Jesus replacing A. Kalimuendo. J. McAtee received a yellow card for Nottingham Forest at 89'. Aston Villa made their 5th substitution at 90', with M. Cash replacing Andrés García. L. Bogarde received a yellow card for Aston Villa at 90+4'.

Aston Villa used 5 substitutions while Nottingham Forest used 5 substitutions. Aston Villa got 1 yellow card, while Nottingham Forest got 2 yellow cards.