Leeds vs Nottingham Forest

3 - 1
🕒 Fri, 06 Feb 2026 20:00 Europe/London 📍 Elland Road 🧑‍⚖️ Peter Bankes 🔁 Regular Season - 25 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 25
Regular Season Table
Leeds 14 · Nottingham Forest 16
Referee Stats
22 matches · 3.82 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 3.82
Reds avg 0.18
Penalties avg 0.27
Over 4.5 cards 41%
Home wins 64%
Draws 14%
Away wins 23%

Team Overview

Leeds (Home stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 9-5-5

Goals For / Against

29 / 21
Avg: 1.53 / 1.11

Points

32
Avg: 1.68

Clean Sheets

6

Failed to Score

5
Nottingham Forest (Away stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 7-3-9

Goals For / Against

28 / 28
Avg: 1.47 / 1.47

Points

24
Avg: 1.26

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

5

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Premier League fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.68
PPG
1.26
1.53
GF
1.47
1.11
GA
1.47
58%
O2.5
63%
53%
BTTS
47%
58%
Score 1st
42%

League-position context

Leeds rank14th
Nottingham Forest rank16th
Leeds points47
Nottingham Forest points44
Leeds: #14 · 47 pts · GD -7
31 pts off the top 2. 6 pts off the play-off line. 6 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Nottingham Forest: #16 · 44 pts · GD -3
34 pts off the top 2. 9 pts off the play-off line. 3 pts clear of the relegation zone.
3-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Leeds last 5 home

W W W D L
Points10/15
Weighted index84
Goals7-2
Record3-1-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Nottingham Forest last 5 away

L W W W D
Points10/15
Weighted index62
Goals15-6
Record3-1-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Leeds trend breakdown

Over 2.558%
BTTS53%
BTTS + O2.547%
1H Over 0.558%
Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 63% · Over 3.5 37% · 1H BTTS 11%

Nottingham Forest trend breakdown

Over 2.563%
BTTS47%
BTTS + O2.537%
1H Over 0.584%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 89% · Over 3.5 32% · 1H BTTS 11%

Scoring reliability

Leeds score at home74%
Leeds clean sheet at home32%
Nottingham Forest score away74%
Nottingham Forest clean sheet away26%

First-goal patterns

Leeds score first58%
Leeds win after scoring first73%
Nottingham Forest score first42%
Nottingham Forest win after scoring first75%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Leeds 50% · Nottingham Forest 22%
Avg first goal minute: Leeds 45.1' · Nottingham Forest 18.8'

Vs league average

Leeds score at home1.53 vs 1.53
Leeds concede at home1.11 vs 1.22
Nottingham Forest score away1.47 vs 1.22
Nottingham Forest concede away1.47 vs 1.53
Leeds score level with league average, while Nottingham Forest score 20% above league average.
Defensive side: Leeds are 10% below league average at home, and Nottingham Forest are 3% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.60
BTTS60%
Over 2.560%
At this venue setup: 3.50 goals on average across the last 2.

Leeds goal timing (home)

1H scored: 44% 2H scored: 56% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 9
31-45 6
61-75 6
0-15 4
16-30 4
46-60 3
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 6
46-60 5
61-75 5
16-30 3
0-15 0
31-45 0

Nottingham Forest goal timing (away)

1H scored: 37% 2H scored: 63% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 8
0-15 7
46-60 6
31-45 3
61-75 3
16-30 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 7
46-60 7
76-90+ 5
16-30 4
61-75 4
0-15 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
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Total Shots
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Shots off Goal
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Blocked Shots
—
—
Shots Inside Box
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Shots Outside Box
—
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Ball Possession
—
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Corner Kicks
—
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Fouls
—
—
Offsides
—
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Yellow Cards
—
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Red Cards
—
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Goalkeeper Saves
—
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Total Passes
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Passes Accurate
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Passes %
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Events

Yellow Cards
Home
1
Away
1
Red Cards
Home
0
Away
0
Substitutions
Home
3
Away
5
26' ⚽
⚽
26' ⚽ Goal · 1-0
J. Bogle
Normal Goal · Assist: I. Gruev
30' ⚽
⚽
30' ⚽ Goal · 2-0
N. Okafor
Normal Goal · Assist: J. Justin
49' ⚽
⚽
49' ⚽ Goal · 3-0
D. Calvert-Lewin
Normal Goal · Assist: I. Gruev
54' ↑↓
↑↓
54' ⇄ Igor Jesus
1st substitution · For: L. Lucca
54' ↑↓
↑↓
54' ⇄ N. Domínguez
2nd substitution · For: O. Hutchinson
61'
61' N. Okafor
62'
62' I. Sangaré
67' ↑↓
↑↓
67' ⇄ C. Hudson-Odoi
3rd substitution · For: D. Ndoye
67' ↑↓
↑↓
67' ⇄ M. Gibbs-White
4th substitution · For: R. Yates
76' ↑↓
↑↓
76' ⇄ Z. Abbott
5th substitution · For: L. Netz
78' ↑↓
↑↓
78' ⇄ B. Aaronson
1st substitution · For: D. James
82' ↑↓
↑↓
82' ⇄ N. Okafor
2nd substitution · For: S. Longstaff
86' ⚽
⚽
86' ⚽ Goal · 3-1
L. Lucca
Normal Goal · Assist: O. Hutchinson
90+6' ↑↓
↑↓
90+6' ⇄ J. Bogle
3rd substitution · For: S. Bornauw

Leeds vs Nottingham Forest 3-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Leeds beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 on Friday, 06 February 2026 in Premier League. The match was refereed by Peter Bankes. It was played at Elland Road.

First half: Leeds took the lead at 26' when J. Bogle scored, with the assist credited to I. Gruev, making the score 1-0. Leeds extended the lead at 30' when N. Okafor scored, with the assist credited to J. Justin, making the score 2-0.

Second half: Leeds extended the lead at 49' when D. Calvert-Lewin scored, with the assist credited to I. Gruev, making the score 3-0. Nottingham Forest made their 1st substitution at 54', with Igor Jesus replacing L. Lucca. Nottingham Forest made their 2nd substitution at 54', with N. Domínguez replacing O. Hutchinson. N. Okafor received a yellow card for Leeds at 61'. I. Sangaré received a yellow card for Nottingham Forest at 62'. Nottingham Forest made their 3rd substitution at 67', with C. Hudson-Odoi replacing D. Ndoye. Nottingham Forest made their 4th substitution at 67', with M. Gibbs-White replacing R. Yates. Nottingham Forest made their 5th substitution at 76', with Z. Abbott replacing L. Netz. Leeds made their 1st substitution at 78', with B. Aaronson replacing D. James. Leeds made their 2nd substitution at 82', with N. Okafor replacing S. Longstaff. Nottingham Forest reduced the deficit at 86' when L. Lucca scored, with the assist credited to O. Hutchinson, making the score 3-1. Leeds made their 3rd substitution at 90+6', with J. Bogle replacing S. Bornauw.

Leeds used 3 substitutions while Nottingham Forest used 5 substitutions. Leeds got 1 yellow card, while Nottingham Forest got 1 yellow card.

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games5
Home Wins3
Draws0
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals3 (60.0%)
BTTS3 (60.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games2
Home Wins2
Draws0
Away Wins0
Over 2.5 Goals2 (100.0%)
BTTS2 (100.0%)

Leeds vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head History by Season