47.0% average title probability
Hong-Kong Premier League race map
Hong-Kong Premier League Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
30.5% average title probability
67.5% average relegation risk
Gap score 34.0 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 1 | 12 | 43.0 | 47.0% | 37.0% | 57.0% |
| North District | 2 | 10 | 40.8 | 30.5% | 43.7% | 17.2% |
| Kitchee | 3 | 10 | 40.2 | 21.6% | 18.3% | 24.9% |
| Southern District | 5 | 6 | 30.1 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Eastern District | 7 | 3 | 26.0 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wofoo Tai Po | 4 | 6 | 26.8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 1 | 1.0 | 99.0% | 47.0% | +3.2 |
| North District | 2 | 2.0 | 98.0% | 30.5% | -2.1 |
| Kitchee | 3 | 2.5 | 96.8% | 21.6% | +3.0 |
| Southern District | 5 | 4.0 | 48.2% | 0.7% | +4.0 |
| Wofoo Tai Po | 4 | 5.0 | 21.8% | 0.1% | -0.9 |
| Eastern District | 7 | 5.5 | 17.8% | 0.2% | -2.1 |
| Hong Kong FC | 8 | 7.0 | 8.9% | 0.1% | -0.3 |
| Kowloon City | 9 | 8.5 | 4.0% | 0.0% | -1.1 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Rangers | 11 | 3 | 11.0 | 67.5% | 63.4% | 71.5% |
| Shatin | 10 | 3 | 10.5 | 44.6% | 48.8% | 40.4% |
| Eastern | 6 | 3 | 9.5 | 32.9% | 23.2% | 42.6% |
| Kowloon City | 9 | 3 | 8.5 | 25.5% | 27.3% | 23.6% |
| Hong Kong FC | 8 | 3 | 7.0 | 14.5% | 18.1% | 10.8% |
| Eastern District | 7 | 3 | 5.5 | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern District | 4 | 4 | 28.1 | 32.1 | 34.0 |
| North District | 1 | 3 | 41.8 | 39.7 | 26.5 |
| Eastern | 9 | 10 | 22.7 | 18.3 | 22.0 |
| Warriors | 1 | 1 | 41.4 | 44.6 | 20.0 |
| Eastern District | 5 | 6 | 27.0 | 24.9 | 15.4 |
| Kitchee | 3 | 2 | 38.7 | 41.7 | 15.0 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitchee vs Warriors | 05 Apr 2027 | 221.7 | 42.4% | 24.2% | 33.5% | Kitchee: Top 4 96.8% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% |
| Kitchee vs North District | 07 Mar 2027 | 220.5 | 42.8% | 23.4% | 33.8% | Kitchee: Top 4 96.8% | North District: Top 4 98.0% |
| North District vs Warriors | 25 Apr 2027 | 220.4 | 48.1% | 24.8% | 27.2% | North District: Top 4 98.0% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% |
| Warriors vs North District | 20 Nov 2026 | 218.0 | 53.3% | 23.2% | 23.6% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% | North District: Top 4 98.0% |
| Warriors vs Kitchee | 19 Oct 2026 | 214.9 | 57.5% | 22.8% | 19.7% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% | Kitchee: Top 4 96.8% |
| BC Rangers vs Warriors | 11 Oct 2026 | 183.9 | 17.4% | 21.4% | 61.3% | BC Rangers: Bottom Finish 67.5% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% |
| BC Rangers vs North District | 18 Oct 2026 | 182.4 | 16.9% | 20.6% | 62.5% | BC Rangers: Bottom Finish 67.5% | North District: Top 4 98.0% |
| Warriors vs BC Rangers | 09 Mar 2027 | 175.1 | 80.9% | 14.3% | 4.9% | Warriors: Top 4 99.0% | BC Rangers: Bottom Finish 67.5% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Premier League. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
89
Goal Model Base
2.1 / 1.57
Form Model Base
1.48 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (10-11) | Form Bottom Finish (10-11) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 12 | 41.4 | 44.6 | 1 | 1 | 37.0% | 57.0% | 98.2% | 99.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | North District | 10 | 41.8 | 39.7 | 1 | 3 | 43.7% | 17.2% | 98.6% | 97.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Kitchee | 10 | 38.7 | 41.7 | 3 | 2 | 18.3% | 24.9% | 94.7% | 98.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 6 | 27.2 | 26.3 | 5 | 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| 5 | Southern District | 6 | 28.1 | 32.1 | 4 | 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 31.2% | 65.2% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| 6 | Eastern | 3 | 22.7 | 18.3 | 9 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 23.2% | 42.6% |
| 7 | Eastern District | 3 | 27.0 | 24.9 | 5 | 6 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 25.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| 8 | Hong Kong FC | 3 | 24.2 | 23.9 | 7 | 7 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 18.1% | 10.8% |
| 9 | Kowloon City | 3 | 22.4 | 21.3 | 9 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 27.3% | 23.6% |
| 10 | Shatin | 3 | 19.8 | 19.0 | 11 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 48.8% | 40.4% |
| 11 | BC Rangers | 3 | 18.1 | 15.9 | 11 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 63.4% | 71.5% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Eastern vs North District | 27.7% | 20.7% | 51.7% | 1.55 | 2.16 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC | 60.8% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 2.50 | 1.44 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Kowloon City | 66.6% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 2.67 | 1.30 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | BC Rangers vs Warriors | 22.9% | 20.5% | 56.6% | 1.32 | 2.17 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Southern District vs Eastern District | 49.6% | 20.3% | 30.1% | 2.22 | 1.72 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Eastern District vs Eastern | 56.7% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 2.19 | 1.34 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Shatin vs Hong Kong FC | 30.7% | 19.9% | 49.4% | 1.80 | 2.30 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | BC Rangers vs North District | 18.2% | 18.0% | 63.8% | 1.29 | 2.50 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District | 53.5% | 19.9% | 26.6% | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Warriors vs Kitchee | 54.4% | 22.3% | 23.2% | 1.90 | 1.17 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Eastern District vs Shatin | 53.6% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 2.24 | 1.53 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Kowloon City vs BC Rangers | 60.5% | 18.4% | 21.1% | 2.51 | 1.46 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee | 39.3% | 22.0% | 38.7% | 1.80 | 1.79 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 7 | Southern District vs Eastern | 55.5% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 2.21 | 1.41 |
| 28 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 7 | Hong Kong FC vs North District | 18.3% | 18.1% | 63.6% | 1.28 | 2.48 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Shatin vs BC Rangers | 46.1% | 20.0% | 34.0% | 2.26 | 1.94 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Warriors vs Southern District | 67.7% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 2.43 | 1.05 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | North District vs Kowloon City | 79.2% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 2.75 | 0.75 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Hong Kong FC vs Eastern | 46.2% | 22.5% | 31.3% | 1.85 | 1.49 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Eastern District vs Wofoo Tai Po | 51.8% | 21.3% | 26.8% | 2.05 | 1.43 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Warriors vs North District | 45.4% | 23.2% | 31.4% | 1.75 | 1.42 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Southern District vs BC Rangers | 63.0% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 2.68 | 1.48 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Shatin vs Wofoo Tai Po | 34.7% | 21.4% | 43.9% | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Hong Kong FC vs Eastern District | 40.2% | 21.6% | 38.2% | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| 14 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Kowloon City vs Kitchee | 31.9% | 22.2% | 46.0% | 1.55 | 1.89 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | North District vs Southern District | 69.6% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 2.37 | 0.92 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Kowloon City vs Eastern District | 47.3% | 21.0% | 31.7% | 2.09 | 1.69 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Hong Kong FC vs BC Rangers | 53.2% | 20.2% | 26.6% | 2.25 | 1.57 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Eastern vs Warriors | 33.2% | 22.2% | 44.6% | 1.60 | 1.87 |
| 31 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 10 | Shatin vs Kitchee | 19.9% | 18.2% | 62.0% | 1.40 | 2.52 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | North District vs Eastern District | 71.8% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 2.50 | 0.92 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Warriors | 35.5% | 21.9% | 42.7% | 1.71 | 1.89 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Shatin vs Southern District | 30.8% | 20.1% | 49.1% | 1.78 | 2.26 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Hong Kong FC vs Kowloon City | 51.0% | 21.3% | 27.7% | 2.06 | 1.48 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Eastern vs Kitchee | 36.9% | 22.4% | 40.7% | 1.68 | 1.78 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Shatin vs Eastern | 39.4% | 21.6% | 39.0% | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| 03 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Hong Kong FC vs Southern District | 38.0% | 21.9% | 40.1% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Kowloon City vs Warriors | 28.4% | 21.7% | 49.9% | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Kitchee vs BC Rangers | 75.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 3.14 | 1.21 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Wofoo Tai Po vs North District | 29.7% | 20.5% | 49.7% | 1.67 | 2.18 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Eastern District vs BC Rangers | 64.1% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 2.66 | 1.40 |
| 28 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Kowloon City vs Southern District | 44.9% | 21.5% | 33.6% | 1.98 | 1.70 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Kitchee vs North District | 36.6% | 21.5% | 41.8% | 1.79 | 1.92 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Shatin vs Warriors | 17.1% | 17.0% | 65.9% | 1.32 | 2.66 |
| 14 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Eastern vs Wofoo Tai Po | 53.9% | 21.0% | 25.2% | 2.10 | 1.39 |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | BC Rangers vs Wofoo Tai Po | 41.5% | 22.8% | 35.8% | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Warriors vs Hong Kong FC | 67.8% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 2.45 | 1.06 |
| 14 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Kowloon City vs Eastern | 53.2% | 21.2% | 25.6% | 2.07 | 1.39 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Eastern District vs Kitchee | 35.0% | 22.3% | 42.7% | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | North District vs Shatin | 73.6% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 2.53 | 0.86 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Eastern District vs Warriors | 31.4% | 22.0% | 46.7% | 1.55 | 1.93 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Kowloon City vs Shatin | 50.0% | 20.9% | 29.1% | 2.12 | 1.59 |
| 14 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Kitchee vs Southern District | 60.8% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 2.48 | 1.41 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Eastern vs BC Rangers | 66.2% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 2.73 | 1.37 |
| 21 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Hong Kong FC vs Wofoo Tai Po | 41.5% | 22.9% | 35.6% | 1.73 | 1.60 |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee | 26.1% | 21.4% | 52.5% | 1.39 | 2.04 |
| 01 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | North District vs Eastern | 75.1% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.48 | 0.76 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Kowloon City vs Wofoo Tai Po | 48.3% | 22.0% | 29.7% | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| 09 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Warriors vs BC Rangers | 80.4% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.08 | 0.90 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Eastern District vs Southern District | 48.5% | 21.0% | 30.5% | 2.10 | 1.64 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Eastern vs Eastern District | 53.1% | 20.1% | 26.8% | 2.26 | 1.59 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Hong Kong FC vs Shatin | 42.9% | 21.8% | 35.3% | 1.90 | 1.71 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Southern District vs Wofoo Tai Po | 50.6% | 21.2% | 28.2% | 2.07 | 1.51 |
| 05 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Kitchee vs Warriors | 42.5% | 22.2% | 35.3% | 1.83 | 1.66 |
| 18 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Eastern vs Southern District | 50.7% | 20.7% | 28.6% | 2.15 | 1.59 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Shatin vs Eastern District | 32.9% | 20.1% | 47.1% | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| 04 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | BC Rangers vs Kowloon City | 51.1% | 21.2% | 27.7% | 2.07 | 1.49 |
| 04 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | North District vs Hong Kong FC | 69.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 2.40 | 0.94 |
| 09 May 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Kitchee vs Wofoo Tai Po | 63.5% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 2.42 | 1.23 |
| 31 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Kowloon City vs North District | 23.2% | 19.7% | 57.2% | 1.43 | 2.31 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Southern District vs Warriors | 30.0% | 21.4% | 48.6% | 1.57 | 2.03 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Eastern District | 56.0% | 19.2% | 24.8% | 2.43 | 1.60 |
| 18 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Eastern vs Hong Kong FC | 50.6% | 20.6% | 28.8% | 2.18 | 1.62 |
| 18 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | BC Rangers vs Shatin | 42.8% | 21.7% | 35.4% | 1.91 | 1.72 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Kitchee vs Kowloon City | 72.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 2.87 | 1.14 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Eastern District vs Hong Kong FC | 48.5% | 20.9% | 30.7% | 2.12 | 1.67 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Shatin | 58.7% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 2.46 | 1.50 |
| 25 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | North District vs Warriors | 53.1% | 23.5% | 23.4% | 1.76 | 1.09 |
| 25 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | BC Rangers vs Southern District | 38.0% | 21.8% | 40.2% | 1.79 | 1.84 |
| 03 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Kitchee vs Shatin | 65.7% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 2.64 | 1.32 |
| 07 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Warriors vs Eastern | 73.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 2.53 | 0.86 |
| 08 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Eastern District vs Kowloon City | 61.7% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 2.43 | 1.33 |
| 08 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Southern District vs North District | 24.6% | 19.6% | 55.9% | 1.53 | 2.34 |
| 09 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | BC Rangers vs Hong Kong FC | 37.9% | 21.7% | 40.5% | 1.81 | 1.87 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Eastern District vs North District | 25.9% | 20.3% | 53.8% | 1.51 | 2.23 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Kitchee vs Eastern | 68.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 2.58 | 1.16 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Kowloon City vs Hong Kong FC | 44.9% | 21.3% | 33.8% | 2.01 | 1.73 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Warriors vs Wofoo Tai Po | 69.7% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 2.37 | 0.91 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Southern District vs Shatin | 52.3% | 20.1% | 27.5% | 2.26 | 1.61 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Eastern vs North District | 21.0% | 24.3% | 54.7% | 0.86 | 1.31 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Kitchee vs Hong Kong FC | 69.5% | 21.3% | 9.2% | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Kowloon City | 67.2% | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.07 | 0.75 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | BC Rangers vs Warriors | 11.8% | 22.2% | 66.0% | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Southern District vs Eastern District | 66.2% | 22.1% | 11.7% | 1.16 | 0.85 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Eastern District vs Eastern | 62.2% | 23.0% | 14.8% | 0.92 | 0.70 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Shatin vs Hong Kong FC | 33.9% | 26.6% | 39.6% | 0.70 | 0.92 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | BC Rangers vs North District | 15.6% | 23.2% | 61.2% | 0.74 | 1.31 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District | 48.0% | 25.4% | 26.6% | 1.07 | 1.09 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Warriors vs Kitchee | 60.5% | 23.3% | 16.2% | 1.51 | 1.32 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Eastern District vs Shatin | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Kowloon City vs BC Rangers | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 0.86 | 0.65 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee | 32.7% | 26.4% | 41.0% | 1.07 | 1.32 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 7 | Southern District vs Eastern | 72.2% | 20.6% | 7.3% | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| 28 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 7 | Hong Kong FC vs North District | 19.0% | 23.9% | 57.1% | 0.82 | 1.31 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Shatin vs BC Rangers | 52.2% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Warriors vs Southern District | 70.6% | 21.0% | 8.4% | 1.51 | 1.09 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | North District vs Kowloon City | 75.4% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 1.32 | 0.75 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Hong Kong FC vs Eastern | 56.7% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Eastern District vs Wofoo Tai Po | 49.9% | 25.1% | 25.0% | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| 20 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Warriors vs North District | 61.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 1.51 | 1.31 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Southern District vs BC Rangers | 73.7% | 20.1% | 6.2% | 1.16 | 0.65 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Shatin vs Wofoo Tai Po | 34.8% | 26.7% | 38.4% | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Hong Kong FC vs Eastern District | 46.6% | 25.6% | 27.9% | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| 14 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 9 | Kowloon City vs Kitchee | 20.3% | 24.2% | 55.5% | 0.86 | 1.32 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | North District vs Southern District | 62.5% | 22.9% | 14.6% | 1.32 | 1.09 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Kowloon City vs Eastern District | 49.1% | 25.2% | 25.7% | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Hong Kong FC vs BC Rangers | 59.4% | 23.5% | 17.1% | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Eastern vs Warriors | 16.2% | 23.3% | 60.4% | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| 31 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 10 | Shatin vs Kitchee | 13.3% | 22.6% | 64.1% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | North District vs Eastern District | 72.2% | 20.6% | 7.3% | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Warriors | 27.4% | 25.5% | 47.1% | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Shatin vs Southern District | 24.0% | 24.9% | 51.2% | 0.70 | 1.09 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Hong Kong FC vs Kowloon City | 53.8% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Eastern vs Kitchee | 20.4% | 24.2% | 55.4% | 0.86 | 1.32 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Shatin vs Eastern | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 03 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Hong Kong FC vs Southern District | 31.0% | 26.1% | 43.0% | 0.82 | 1.09 |
| 09 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Kowloon City vs Warriors | 16.1% | 23.3% | 60.6% | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| 10 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Kitchee vs BC Rangers | 77.5% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 1.31 | 0.65 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 12 | Wofoo Tai Po vs North District | 33.4% | 26.5% | 40.2% | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Eastern District vs BC Rangers | 64.5% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| 28 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Kowloon City vs Southern District | 33.2% | 26.5% | 40.3% | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Kitchee vs North District | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Shatin vs Warriors | 10.3% | 21.7% | 68.0% | 0.70 | 1.41 |
| 14 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 13 | Eastern vs Wofoo Tai Po | 45.9% | 25.7% | 28.5% | 0.86 | 0.90 |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | BC Rangers vs Wofoo Tai Po | 37.8% | 26.8% | 35.4% | 0.74 | 0.90 |
| 13 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Warriors vs Hong Kong FC | 75.7% | 19.3% | 4.9% | 1.51 | 0.92 |
| 14 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Kowloon City vs Eastern | 58.8% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 0.86 | 0.70 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | Eastern District vs Kitchee | 23.6% | 24.8% | 51.6% | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| 20 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 14 | North District vs Shatin | 72.1% | 20.6% | 7.3% | 1.32 | 0.86 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Eastern District vs Warriors | 19.0% | 23.9% | 57.1% | 0.92 | 1.41 |
| 02 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Kowloon City vs Shatin | 48.9% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| 14 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Kitchee vs Southern District | 61.9% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 1.31 | 1.09 |
| 27 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Eastern vs BC Rangers | 61.6% | 23.1% | 15.3% | 0.86 | 0.65 |
| 21 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 15 | Hong Kong FC vs Wofoo Tai Po | 43.1% | 26.1% | 30.8% | 0.82 | 0.90 |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee | 18.4% | 23.8% | 57.8% | 0.82 | 1.32 |
| 01 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | North District vs Eastern | 76.6% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Kowloon City vs Wofoo Tai Po | 45.7% | 25.7% | 28.6% | 0.86 | 0.90 |
| 09 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Warriors vs BC Rangers | 81.4% | 16.6% | 2.0% | 1.51 | 0.65 |
| 13 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 16 | Eastern District vs Southern District | 37.1% | 26.9% | 36.0% | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Eastern vs Eastern District | 49.3% | 25.2% | 25.6% | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| 07 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Hong Kong FC vs Shatin | 46.3% | 25.6% | 28.1% | 0.82 | 0.86 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Southern District vs Wofoo Tai Po | 63.9% | 22.6% | 13.5% | 1.16 | 0.90 |
| 05 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 17 | Kitchee vs Warriors | 42.2% | 26.2% | 31.6% | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| 18 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Eastern vs Southern District | 33.4% | 26.5% | 40.1% | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| 03 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Shatin vs Eastern District | 38.1% | 26.8% | 35.1% | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| 04 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | BC Rangers vs Kowloon City | 48.9% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| 04 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | North District vs Hong Kong FC | 69.9% | 21.2% | 8.9% | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| 09 May 2027 | Regular Season - 18 | Kitchee vs Wofoo Tai Po | 70.1% | 21.2% | 8.8% | 1.31 | 0.90 |
| 31 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Kowloon City vs North District | 20.8% | 24.3% | 54.9% | 0.86 | 1.31 |
| 06 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Southern District vs Warriors | 32.5% | 26.3% | 41.2% | 1.16 | 1.41 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Eastern District | 62.1% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| 18 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Eastern vs Hong Kong FC | 44.8% | 25.8% | 29.4% | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| 18 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | BC Rangers vs Shatin | 41.1% | 26.3% | 32.5% | 0.74 | 0.86 |
| 17 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Kitchee vs Kowloon City | 75.1% | 19.6% | 5.3% | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Eastern District vs Hong Kong FC | 48.9% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| 24 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Wofoo Tai Po vs Shatin | 61.9% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| 25 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | North District vs Warriors | 43.0% | 26.1% | 30.9% | 1.32 | 1.41 |
| 25 Apr 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | BC Rangers vs Southern District | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | 0.74 | 1.09 |
| 03 Mar 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Kitchee vs Shatin | 71.7% | 20.7% | 7.6% | 1.31 | 0.86 |
| 07 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Warriors vs Eastern | 80.5% | 17.1% | 2.4% | 1.51 | 0.70 |
| 08 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Eastern District vs Kowloon City | 59.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| 08 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Southern District vs North District | 38.8% | 26.7% | 34.5% | 1.16 | 1.31 |
| 09 May 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | BC Rangers vs Hong Kong FC | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.3% | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Eastern District vs North District | 24.2% | 24.9% | 50.9% | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Kitchee vs Eastern | 76.3% | 19.1% | 4.6% | 1.31 | 0.70 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Kowloon City vs Hong Kong FC | 44.6% | 25.9% | 29.6% | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Warriors vs Wofoo Tai Po | 76.1% | 19.2% | 4.7% | 1.51 | 0.90 |
| 22 May 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Southern District vs Shatin | 66.0% | 22.2% | 11.8% | 1.16 | 0.86 |