70.6% average title probability
Ireland Premier Division race map
Ireland Premier Division Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
14.0% average title probability
94.9% average relegation risk
Gap score 19.5 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 41 | 68.6 | 70.6% | 64.9% | 76.2% |
| St Patrick's Athl. | 3 | 32 | 61.2 | 14.0% | 22.9% | 5.1% |
| Bohemians | 2 | 34 | 62.1 | 13.7% | 10.5% | 16.8% |
| Dundalk | 4 | 32 | 56.1 | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
| Shelbourne | 5 | 26 | 47.9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Derry City | 6 | 22 | 41.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 70.6% | +1.8 |
| Bohemians | 2 | 2.5 | 97.2% | 13.7% | +3.5 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | 3 | 2.5 | 97.0% | 14.0% | -3.2 |
| Dundalk | 4 | 4.0 | 82.6% | 1.7% | +2.6 |
| Shelbourne | 5 | 5.0 | 15.2% | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Galway United | 8 | 6.5 | 4.6% | 0.0% | -0.8 |
| Derry City | 6 | 7.0 | 2.7% | 0.0% | -3.9 |
| Drogheda United | 7 | 8.0 | 1.0% | 0.0% | -0.5 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford | 10 | 14 | 10.0 | 94.9% | 94.8% | 95.0% |
| Sligo Rovers | 9 | 19 | 9.0 | 61.5% | 68.1% | 54.8% |
| Drogheda United | 7 | 22 | 8.0 | 20.5% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| Derry City | 6 | 22 | 7.0 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 20.7% |
| Galway United | 8 | 21 | 6.5 | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Shelbourne | 5 | 26 | 5.0 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 7 | 7 | 43.6 | 39.7 | 19.5 |
| St Patrick's Athl. | 2 | 3 | 62.8 | 59.6 | 17.8 |
| Bohemians | 3 | 2 | 60.3 | 63.8 | 17.5 |
| Dundalk | 4 | 4 | 54.8 | 57.4 | 15.9 |
| Sligo Rovers | 9 | 9 | 35.2 | 36.4 | 13.3 |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 1 | 67.7 | 69.5 | 11.3 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians | 04 Sep 2026 | 221.0 | 47.2% | 26.2% | 26.6% | Shamrock Rovers: Top 4 100.0% | Bohemians: Top 4 97.2% |
| St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians | 30 Oct 2026 | 220.2 | 42.2% | 26.4% | 31.5% | St Patrick's Athl.: Top 4 97.0% | Bohemians: Top 4 97.2% |
| St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers | 11 Sep 2026 | 220.1 | 48.7% | 26.5% | 24.8% | St Patrick's Athl.: Top 4 97.0% | Shamrock Rovers: Top 4 100.0% |
| Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers | 19 Jun 2026 | 218.1 | 25.3% | 26.4% | 48.4% | Waterford: Bottom Finish 94.9% | Shamrock Rovers: Top 4 100.0% |
| Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. | 26 Jun 2026 | 218.0 | 47.2% | 26.0% | 26.9% | Bohemians: Top 4 97.2% | St Patrick's Athl.: Top 4 97.0% |
| Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. | 10 Jul 2026 | 218.0 | 31.1% | 27.0% | 42.0% | Waterford: Bottom Finish 94.9% | St Patrick's Athl.: Top 4 97.0% |
| Waterford vs Bohemians | 07 Aug 2026 | 211.5 | 19.5% | 23.7% | 56.8% | Waterford: Bottom Finish 94.9% | Bohemians: Top 4 97.2% |
| Dundalk vs Bohemians | 09 Oct 2026 | 206.8 | 40.1% | 25.9% | 34.1% | Dundalk: Top 4 82.6% | Bohemians: Top 4 97.2% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Premier Division. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
81
Goal Model Base
1.44 / 1.2
Form Model Base
1.33 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (9-10) | Form Bottom Finish (9-10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 41 | 67.7 | 69.5 | 1 | 1 | 64.9% | 76.2% | 99.9% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Bohemians | 34 | 60.3 | 63.8 | 3 | 2 | 10.5% | 16.8% | 95.2% | 99.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 62.8 | 59.6 | 2 | 3 | 22.9% | 5.1% | 98.3% | 95.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Dundalk | 32 | 54.8 | 57.4 | 4 | 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 74.6% | 90.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 47.9 | 47.8 | 5 | 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 11.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| 6 | Derry City | 22 | 43.6 | 39.7 | 7 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 7.1% | 20.7% |
| 7 | Drogheda United | 22 | 40.5 | 40.0 | 8 | 8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| 8 | Galway United | 21 | 44.0 | 43.2 | 7 | 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 35.2 | 36.4 | 9 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 68.1% | 54.8% |
| 10 | Waterford | 14 | 29.2 | 29.3 | 10 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 94.8% | 95.0% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Galway United vs Shelbourne | 31.7% | 23.7% | 44.6% | 1.39 | 1.69 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Derry City vs Bohemians | 26.8% | 26.7% | 46.5% | 1.01 | 1.42 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Galway United vs Dundalk | 40.5% | 21.4% | 38.1% | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers | 26.4% | 26.2% | 47.4% | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United | 70.9% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 2.45 | 0.92 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Waterford vs Sligo Rovers | 41.4% | 30.2% | 28.3% | 1.14 | 0.89 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Bohemians vs Dundalk | 47.2% | 23.7% | 29.1% | 1.72 | 1.30 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Drogheda United vs Shelbourne | 31.5% | 27.8% | 40.7% | 1.08 | 1.27 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Galway United vs Derry City | 39.0% | 25.4% | 35.6% | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers | 66.8% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 1.77 | 0.56 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers | 23.5% | 27.3% | 49.2% | 0.87 | 1.40 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. | 35.9% | 28.2% | 35.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Derry City vs Drogheda United | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.8% | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Dundalk vs Waterford | 72.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 2.61 | 0.99 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United | 56.6% | 24.2% | 19.2% | 1.67 | 0.86 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne | 22.7% | 26.5% | 50.8% | 0.88 | 1.47 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Derry City vs Waterford | 61.5% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 2.06 | 1.02 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Drogheda United vs Bohemians | 23.5% | 25.5% | 51.0% | 0.97 | 1.55 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Shelbourne vs Dundalk | 39.6% | 22.8% | 37.5% | 1.70 | 1.65 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United | 61.5% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 1.90 | 0.88 |
| 04 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | 19.1% | 27.0% | 53.9% | 0.73 | 1.44 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Dundalk vs Drogheda United | 60.0% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Galway United vs Sligo Rovers | 47.8% | 25.8% | 26.4% | 1.51 | 1.05 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. | 26.4% | 27.1% | 46.6% | 0.98 | 1.40 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Shelbourne vs Bohemians | 22.6% | 22.8% | 54.6% | 1.10 | 1.84 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City | 55.4% | 26.6% | 18.0% | 1.47 | 0.71 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Galway United vs Waterford | 60.5% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 2.54 | 1.48 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk | 65.8% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 2.24 | 0.98 |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United | 33.4% | 25.0% | 41.7% | 1.33 | 1.51 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City | 60.2% | 24.0% | 15.8% | 1.67 | 0.72 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Bohemians vs Galway United | 44.0% | 25.9% | 30.1% | 1.46 | 1.16 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Derry City vs Sligo Rovers | 48.2% | 29.9% | 21.9% | 1.23 | 0.72 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Galway United vs Drogheda United | 46.5% | 20.9% | 32.6% | 2.09 | 1.74 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. | 29.6% | 25.9% | 44.6% | 1.15 | 1.47 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Waterford vs Bohemians | 20.1% | 23.5% | 56.4% | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk | 60.7% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 1.97 | 0.97 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Bohemians vs Derry City | 44.0% | 28.4% | 27.6% | 1.28 | 0.95 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. | 29.9% | 28.5% | 41.7% | 1.01 | 1.24 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Dundalk vs Galway United | 50.7% | 24.2% | 25.1% | 1.68 | 1.11 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne | 49.9% | 27.0% | 23.1% | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Sligo Rovers vs Waterford | 45.0% | 24.4% | 30.6% | 1.61 | 1.29 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers | 51.5% | 28.1% | 20.4% | 1.35 | 0.74 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers | 30.0% | 29.9% | 40.1% | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Drogheda United vs Dundalk | 39.7% | 24.8% | 35.5% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Galway United vs Shelbourne | 31.7% | 23.7% | 44.6% | 1.39 | 1.69 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford | 81.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.96 | 0.78 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. | 41.9% | 27.2% | 30.9% | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Shelbourne vs Drogheda United | 45.2% | 22.3% | 32.4% | 1.86 | 1.55 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Waterford vs Derry City | 33.9% | 28.9% | 37.2% | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians | 40.9% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Sligo Rovers vs Galway United | 27.1% | 26.5% | 46.4% | 1.03 | 1.44 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers | 44.9% | 30.4% | 24.8% | 1.18 | 0.79 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Galway United vs Bohemians | 22.5% | 21.1% | 56.4% | 1.24 | 2.06 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Shelbourne vs Derry City | 37.9% | 27.1% | 34.9% | 1.27 | 1.21 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers | 47.8% | 27.8% | 24.3% | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Waterford vs Dundalk | 35.3% | 24.2% | 40.5% | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Bohemians vs Drogheda United | 52.7% | 22.5% | 24.8% | 1.88 | 1.22 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Derry City vs Galway United | 40.9% | 27.1% | 32.0% | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Dundalk vs Shelbourne | 44.0% | 26.3% | 29.7% | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford | 76.7% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 2.60 | 0.77 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. | 21.5% | 26.9% | 51.6% | 0.82 | 1.44 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. | 33.3% | 29.2% | 37.5% | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Dundalk vs Bohemians | 34.6% | 26.0% | 39.4% | 1.28 | 1.38 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers | 46.1% | 27.8% | 26.2% | 1.34 | 0.94 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Waterford vs Galway United | 33.1% | 26.1% | 40.8% | 1.23 | 1.40 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United | 65.8% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 2.15 | 0.91 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Bohemians vs Waterford | 65.1% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 2.27 | 1.04 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Drogheda United vs Derry City | 37.5% | 29.6% | 32.8% | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers | 26.7% | 24.4% | 49.0% | 1.16 | 1.65 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne | 54.6% | 24.8% | 20.7% | 1.63 | 0.89 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk | 28.8% | 24.6% | 46.6% | 1.22 | 1.61 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Bohemians vs Shelbourne | 37.8% | 27.5% | 34.8% | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Derry City vs Dundalk | 44.0% | 24.8% | 31.2% | 1.56 | 1.28 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. | 30.0% | 24.1% | 45.8% | 1.29 | 1.65 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Waterford vs Drogheda United | 40.4% | 24.0% | 35.5% | 1.58 | 1.47 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers | 62.0% | 25.1% | 12.9% | 1.55 | 0.55 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Drogheda United vs Galway United | 37.1% | 26.9% | 36.0% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers | 37.9% | 28.3% | 33.7% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Shelbourne vs Waterford | 58.5% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 2.25 | 1.32 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Sligo Rovers vs Derry City | 28.2% | 29.7% | 42.1% | 0.91 | 1.18 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians | 45.2% | 26.2% | 28.6% | 1.45 | 1.10 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Galway United vs Shelbourne | 37.3% | 26.9% | 35.8% | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Derry City vs Bohemians | 21.1% | 24.3% | 54.5% | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Galway United vs Dundalk | 39.2% | 26.6% | 34.2% | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers | 32.2% | 26.3% | 41.6% | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United | 68.2% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Waterford vs Sligo Rovers | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Bohemians vs Dundalk | 55.6% | 24.2% | 20.3% | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Drogheda United vs Shelbourne | 39.0% | 26.6% | 34.3% | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Galway United vs Derry City | 59.4% | 23.5% | 17.1% | 0.94 | 0.77 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers | 69.8% | 21.2% | 8.9% | 1.19 | 0.79 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers | 27.1% | 25.4% | 47.5% | 0.84 | 1.18 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Bohemians vs St Patrick's Athl. | 58.5% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Derry City vs Drogheda United | 52.3% | 24.7% | 23.0% | 0.88 | 0.83 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Dundalk vs Waterford | 77.2% | 18.7% | 4.0% | 1.28 | 0.63 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United | 74.1% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 1.40 | 0.87 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne | 30.6% | 26.0% | 43.4% | 0.83 | 1.11 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Derry City vs Waterford | 63.7% | 22.7% | 13.6% | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Drogheda United vs Bohemians | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.4% | 0.96 | 1.33 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Shelbourne vs Dundalk | 38.1% | 26.8% | 35.1% | 0.93 | 1.08 |
| 03 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United | 66.5% | 22.1% | 11.4% | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| 04 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers | 26.6% | 25.3% | 48.1% | 0.83 | 1.18 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Dundalk vs Drogheda United | 71.6% | 20.7% | 7.7% | 1.28 | 0.83 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Galway United vs Sligo Rovers | 58.3% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Waterford vs St Patrick's Athl. | 35.8% | 26.9% | 37.3% | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Shelbourne vs Bohemians | 23.3% | 24.8% | 51.9% | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City | 76.8% | 18.9% | 4.3% | 1.40 | 0.77 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Galway United vs Waterford | 66.3% | 22.1% | 11.6% | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk | 55.7% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Sligo Rovers vs Drogheda United | 48.8% | 25.2% | 25.9% | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City | 70.5% | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.19 | 0.77 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Bohemians vs Galway United | 66.4% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Derry City vs Sligo Rovers | 55.0% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 0.88 | 0.79 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Galway United vs Drogheda United | 55.8% | 24.1% | 20.1% | 0.94 | 0.83 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athl. | 41.7% | 26.3% | 32.1% | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Waterford vs Bohemians | 18.9% | 23.9% | 57.2% | 0.84 | 1.33 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk | 66.6% | 22.0% | 11.3% | 1.40 | 1.08 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Bohemians vs Derry City | 70.5% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.18 | 0.77 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. | 44.4% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Dundalk vs Galway United | 70.2% | 21.2% | 8.7% | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne | 65.5% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Sligo Rovers vs Waterford | 61.0% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers | 69.8% | 21.3% | 9.0% | 1.18 | 0.79 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers | 29.7% | 25.9% | 44.4% | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Drogheda United vs Dundalk | 40.8% | 26.4% | 32.8% | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Galway United vs Shelbourne | 37.3% | 26.9% | 35.8% | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford | 74.9% | 19.7% | 5.4% | 1.19 | 0.63 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athl. | 63.4% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Shelbourne vs Drogheda United | 54.9% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Waterford vs Derry City | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians | 53.4% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Sligo Rovers vs Galway United | 46.1% | 25.6% | 28.3% | 0.83 | 0.87 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers | 59.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 0.96 | 0.79 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Galway United vs Bohemians | 24.1% | 24.9% | 51.0% | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Shelbourne vs Derry City | 58.6% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 0.93 | 0.77 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers | 49.6% | 25.1% | 25.3% | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 31 | Waterford vs Dundalk | 32.7% | 26.4% | 40.9% | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Bohemians vs Drogheda United | 68.1% | 21.7% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 0.83 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Derry City vs Galway United | 49.7% | 25.1% | 25.2% | 0.88 | 0.87 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Dundalk vs Shelbourne | 59.5% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford | 79.7% | 17.5% | 2.7% | 1.40 | 0.63 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 32 | Sligo Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. | 35.2% | 26.8% | 38.0% | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. | 38.8% | 26.7% | 34.6% | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Dundalk vs Bohemians | 45.5% | 25.7% | 28.8% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers | 57.5% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 0.93 | 0.79 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Waterford vs Galway United | 46.7% | 25.5% | 27.7% | 0.84 | 0.87 |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 33 | Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United | 75.2% | 19.6% | 5.3% | 1.40 | 0.83 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Bohemians vs Waterford | 74.9% | 19.7% | 5.5% | 1.18 | 0.63 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Drogheda United vs Derry City | 60.7% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 0.96 | 0.77 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers | 33.0% | 26.4% | 40.5% | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne | 54.1% | 24.4% | 21.5% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 34 | Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk | 32.2% | 26.3% | 41.5% | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Bohemians vs Shelbourne | 54.0% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Derry City vs Dundalk | 35.4% | 26.8% | 37.8% | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Galway United vs St Patrick's Athl. | 42.7% | 26.1% | 31.2% | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Waterford vs Drogheda United | 49.5% | 25.1% | 25.4% | 0.84 | 0.83 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 35 | Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers | 76.3% | 19.1% | 4.6% | 1.40 | 0.79 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Drogheda United vs Galway United | 54.8% | 24.3% | 20.9% | 0.96 | 0.87 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers | 55.5% | 24.2% | 20.3% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Shelbourne vs Waterford | 65.6% | 22.3% | 12.1% | 0.93 | 0.63 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | Sligo Rovers vs Derry City | 52.9% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 36 | St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians | 39.1% | 26.6% | 34.3% | 1.19 | 1.33 |