AC Milan vs Fiorentina

2 - 1

🕒 Sun, 19 Oct 2025 19:45 Europe/London 📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza 🧑‍⚖️ Livio Marinelli 🔁 Regular Season - 7 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 7

Regular Season Table

AC Milan 5 · Fiorentina 15

Referee Stats

Livio Marinelli

8 matches · 3.13 yellow cards avg

Yellow cards avg	3.13
Reds avg	0.13
Penalties avg	0.25
Over 4.5 cards	25%
Home wins	50%
Draws	13%
Away wins	38%

How the match was won

AC Milan outshot their opponent (14-5).
AC Milan controlled possession (56%).
AC Milan had the sharper finishing (4-1 shots on target).

Team Overview

AC Milan (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 9-5-5

Goals For / Against

25 / 21

Avg: 1.32 / 1.11

Points

Avg: 1.68

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Fiorentina (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 5-6-8

Goals For / Against

20 / 29

Avg: 1.05 / 1.53

Points

Avg: 1.11

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.68

PPG

1.11

1.32

1.05

1.11

1.53

53%

O2.5

58%

53%

BTTS

53%

42%

Score 1st

47%

League-position context

AC Milan rank5th

Fiorentina rank15th

AC Milan points70

Fiorentina points42

AC Milan: #5 · 70 pts · GD +18

6 pts off the top 2. 16 pts above the play-off edge. 32 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Fiorentina: #15 · 42 pts · GD -9

34 pts off the top 2. 14 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts clear of the relegation zone.

28-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

AC Milan last 5 home

L L D L W

Points4/15

Weighted index13

Goals6-10

Record1-1-3

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Fiorentina last 5 away

W L D W W

Points10/15

Weighted index60

Goals8-6

Record3-1-1

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

AC Milan trend breakdown

Over 2.553%

BTTS53%

BTTS + O2.542%

1H Over 0.563%

Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 63% · Over 3.5 21% · 1H BTTS 16%

Fiorentina trend breakdown

Over 2.558%

BTTS53%

BTTS + O2.542%

1H Over 0.553%

Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 79% · Over 3.5 26% · 1H BTTS 0%

Scoring reliability

AC Milan score at home84%

AC Milan clean sheet at home37%

Fiorentina score away63%

Fiorentina clean sheet away21%

First-goal patterns

AC Milan score first42%

AC Milan win after scoring first75%

Fiorentina score first47%

Fiorentina win after scoring first56%

Comeback rate after conceding first: AC Milan 57% · Fiorentina 43%

Avg first goal minute: AC Milan 33.6' · Fiorentina 38.6'

Vs league average

AC Milan score at home1.32 vs 1.28

AC Milan concede at home1.11 vs 1.15

Fiorentina score away1.05 vs 1.15

Fiorentina concede away1.53 vs 1.28

AC Milan score 3% above league average, while Fiorentina score 8% below league average.

Defensive side: AC Milan are 4% below league average at home, and Fiorentina are 20% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5

Avg goals3.00

BTTS100%

Over 2.580%

At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

AC Milan goal timing (home)

1H scored: 35% 2H scored: 65% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 76-90+

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

46-60 7

76-90+ 7

31-45 6

61-75 3

0-15 2

16-30 1

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 7

46-60 4

16-30 3

31-45 3

0-15 2

61-75 2

Fiorentina goal timing (away)

1H scored: 43% 2H scored: 57% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 61-75

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

16-30 6

46-60 6

76-90+ 5

31-45 3

61-75 2

0-15 1

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

61-75 8

46-60 7

76-90+ 6

0-15 3

31-45 3

16-30 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

Total Shots

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots Inside Box

Shots Outside Box

Ball Possession

56%

44%

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Offsides

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

Total Passes

485

362

Passes Accurate

424

306

Passes %

87%

85%

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

50'

50' Z. Athekame

54'

54' H. Nicolussi

55' ⚽

⚽

55' ⚽ Goal · 0-1

R. Gosens

Normal Goal

57' ↑↓

↑↓

57' ⇄ Z. Athekame

1st substitution · For: S. Giménez

60'

60' Y. Fofana

63' ⚽

⚽

63' ⚽ Goal · 1-1

Rafael Leão

Normal Goal · Assist: S. Pavlović

69' ↑↓

↑↓

69' ⇄ R. Gosens

1st substitution · For: F. Parisi

70' ↑↓

↑↓

70' ⇄ J. Fazzini

2nd substitution · For: A. Guðmundsson

74'

74' F. Tomori

77' ↑↓

↑↓

77' ⇄ M. Kean

3rd substitution · For: R. Piccoli

84' ⚽

⚽

84' ⚽ VAR

S. Giménez

Penalty confirmed

85'

85' F. Parisi

86' ⚽

⚽

86' ⚽ Goal · 2-1

Rafael Leão

Penalty

87' ↑↓

↑↓

87' ⇄ H. Nicolussi

4th substitution · For: S. Sohm

88'

88' L. Ranieri

88' ↑↓

↑↓

88' ⇄ R. Mandragora

5th substitution · For: E. Džeko

90' ↑↓

↑↓

90' ⇄ A. Saelemaekers

2nd substitution · For: K. De Winter

90+3' ↑↓

↑↓

90+3' ⇄ Rafael Leão

3rd substitution · For: M. Valletta

AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

AC Milan beat Fiorentina 2-1 on Sunday, 19 October 2025 in Serie A. The match was refereed by Livio Marinelli. It was played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

First half: No goals were scored in the first half. No other first-half events were recorded.

Second half: Z. Athekame received a yellow card for AC Milan at 50'. H. Nicolussi received a yellow card for Fiorentina at 54'. Fiorentina took the lead at 55' when R. Gosens scored, making the score 0-1. AC Milan made their 1st substitution at 57', with Z. Athekame replacing S. Giménez. Y. Fofana received a yellow card for AC Milan at 60'. AC Milan leveled the score at 63' when Rafael Leão scored, with the assist credited to S. Pavlović, making the score 1-1. Fiorentina made their 1st substitution at 69', with R. Gosens replacing F. Parisi. Fiorentina made their 2nd substitution at 70', with J. Fazzini replacing A. Guðmundsson. F. Tomori received a yellow card for AC Milan at 74'. Fiorentina made their 3rd substitution at 77', with M. Kean replacing R. Piccoli. VAR intervened at 84' for AC Milan (Penalty confirmed). F. Parisi received a yellow card for Fiorentina at 85'. AC Milan took the lead at 86' when Rafael Leão scored (Penalty), making the score 2-1. Fiorentina made their 4th substitution at 87', with H. Nicolussi replacing S. Sohm. L. Ranieri received a yellow card for Fiorentina at 88'. Fiorentina made their 5th substitution at 88', with R. Mandragora replacing E. Džeko. AC Milan made their 2nd substitution at 90', with A. Saelemaekers replacing K. De Winter. AC Milan made their 3rd substitution at 90+3', with Rafael Leão replacing M. Valletta.

AC Milan used 3 substitutions while Fiorentina used 5 substitutions. AC Milan got 3 yellow cards, while Fiorentina got 3 yellow cards.