AC Milan vs Lecce

1 - 0
🕒 Sun, 18 Jan 2026 19:45 Europe/London 📍 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza 🧑‍⚖️ Luca Zufferli 🔁 Regular Season - 21 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 21
Regular Season Table
AC Milan 5 · Lecce 17
Referee Stats
18 matches · 2.39 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 2.39
Reds avg 0.06
Penalties avg 0.33
Over 4.5 cards 17%
Home wins 33%
Draws 33%
Away wins 33%
How the match was won
  • AC Milan outshot their opponent (20-3).
  • AC Milan controlled possession (69%).
  • AC Milan had the sharper finishing (6-0 shots on target).

Team Overview

AC Milan (Home stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 9-5-5

Goals For / Against

25 / 21
Avg: 1.32 / 1.11

Points

32
Avg: 1.68

Clean Sheets

7

Failed to Score

3
Lecce (Away stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 5-3-11

Goals For / Against

15 / 26
Avg: 0.79 / 1.37

Points

18
Avg: 0.95

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

9

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.68
PPG
0.95
1.32
GF
0.79
1.11
GA
1.37
53%
O2.5
32%
53%
BTTS
37%
42%
Score 1st
42%

League-position context

AC Milan rank5th
Lecce rank17th
AC Milan points70
Lecce points38
AC Milan: #5 · 70 pts · GD +18
6 pts off the top 2. 16 pts above the play-off edge. 32 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Lecce: #17 · 38 pts · GD -22
38 pts off the top 2. 18 pts off the play-off line. 3 pts from safety.
32-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

AC Milan last 5 home

L L D L W
Points4/15
Weighted index13
Goals6-10
Record1-1-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Lecce last 5 away

W W D L L
Points7/15
Weighted index67
Goals5-6
Record2-1-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

AC Milan trend breakdown

Over 2.553%
BTTS53%
BTTS + O2.542%
1H Over 0.563%
Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 63% · Over 3.5 21% · 1H BTTS 16%

Lecce trend breakdown

Over 2.532%
BTTS37%
BTTS + O2.532%
1H Over 0.553%
Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 58% · Over 3.5 21% · 1H BTTS 11%

Scoring reliability

AC Milan score at home84%
AC Milan clean sheet at home37%
Lecce score away53%
Lecce clean sheet away26%

First-goal patterns

AC Milan score first42%
AC Milan win after scoring first75%
Lecce score first42%
Lecce win after scoring first63%
Comeback rate after conceding first: AC Milan 57% · Lecce 11%
Avg first goal minute: AC Milan 33.6' · Lecce 31.6'

Vs league average

AC Milan score at home1.32 vs 1.28
AC Milan concede at home1.11 vs 1.15
Lecce score away0.79 vs 1.15
Lecce concede away1.37 vs 1.28
AC Milan score 3% above league average, while Lecce score 31% below league average.
Defensive side: AC Milan are 4% below league average at home, and Lecce are 7% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.80
BTTS20%
Over 2.560%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

AC Milan goal timing (home)

1H scored: 35% 2H scored: 65% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60 7
76-90+ 7
31-45 6
61-75 3
0-15 2
16-30 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 7
46-60 4
16-30 3
31-45 3
0-15 2
61-75 2

Lecce goal timing (away)

1H scored: 47% 2H scored: 53% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 46-60
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 4
0-15 3
16-30 2
31-45 2
46-60 2
61-75 2
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
46-60 8
76-90+ 8
16-30 7
31-45 4
61-75 4
0-15 0

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
6
0
Total Shots
20
3
Shots off Goal
8
3
Blocked Shots
6
0
Shots Inside Box
16
2
Shots Outside Box
4
1
Ball Possession
69%
31%
Corner Kicks
10
2
Fouls
9
11
Offsides
6
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
0
5
Total Passes
691
311
Passes Accurate
633
235
Passes %
92%
76%

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games11
Home Wins8
Draws3
Away Wins0
Over 2.5 Goals8 (72.7%)
BTTS5 (45.5%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games6
Home Wins5
Draws1
Away Wins0
Over 2.5 Goals4 (66.7%)
BTTS1 (16.7%)

AC Milan vs Lecce Head-to-Head History by Season