Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka

Nagoya Grampus

2 - 1

Cerezo Osaka

🕒 Sat, 04 Oct 2025 05:30 Europe/London 📍 Toyota Stadium 🧑‍⚖️ Hayato Shimizu 🔁 Regular Season - 33 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 33

Regular Season Table

Nagoya Grampus 16 · Cerezo Osaka 10

Referee Stats

Hayato Shimizu

15 matches · 2.07 yellow cards avg

Yellow cards avg	2.07
Reds avg	0.13
Penalties avg	0.33
Over 4.5 cards	13%
Home wins	47%
Draws	20%
Away wins	33%

How the match was won

Nagoya Grampus outshot their opponent (16-10).
Cerezo Osaka controlled possession (65%).
Cerezo Osaka had the sharper finishing (4-6 shots on target).

Team Overview

Nagoya Grampus (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 8-5-6

Goals For / Against

27 / 25

Avg: 1.42 / 1.32

Points

Avg: 1.53

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Cerezo Osaka (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 6-4-9

Goals For / Against

33 / 36

Avg: 1.74 / 1.89

Points

Avg: 1.16

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this J1 League fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.53

PPG

1.16

1.42

1.74

1.32

1.89

63%

O2.5

79%

63%

BTTS

74%

58%

Score 1st

32%

League-position context

Nagoya Grampus rank16th

Cerezo Osaka rank10th

Nagoya Grampus points43

Cerezo Osaka points52

Nagoya Grampus: #16 · 43 pts · GD -12

32 pts off the top 2. 14 pts off the play-off line. 0 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Cerezo Osaka: #10 · 52 pts · GD +3

23 pts off the top 2. 5 pts off the play-off line. 9 pts clear of the relegation zone.

9-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Nagoya Grampus last 5 home

W L W L W

Points9/15

Weighted index60

Goals6-8

Record3-0-2

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Cerezo Osaka last 5 away

L W W L L

Points6/15

Weighted index47

Goals9-10

Record2-0-3

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Nagoya Grampus trend breakdown

Over 2.563%

BTTS63%

BTTS + O2.553%

1H Over 0.542%

Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 84% · Over 3.5 21% · 1H BTTS 16%

Cerezo Osaka trend breakdown

Over 2.579%

BTTS74%

BTTS + O2.574%

1H Over 0.584%

Also: Over 0.5 95% · Over 1.5 89% · Over 3.5 53% · 1H BTTS 47%

Scoring reliability

Nagoya Grampus score at home79%

Nagoya Grampus clean sheet at home26%

Cerezo Osaka score away74%

Cerezo Osaka clean sheet away5%

First-goal patterns

Nagoya Grampus score first58%

Nagoya Grampus win after scoring first64%

Cerezo Osaka score first32%

Cerezo Osaka win after scoring first33%

Comeback rate after conceding first: Nagoya Grampus 33% · Cerezo Osaka 50%

Avg first goal minute: Nagoya Grampus 44.6' · Cerezo Osaka 12.0'

Vs league average

Nagoya Grampus score at home1.42 vs 1.32

Nagoya Grampus concede at home1.32 vs 1.08

Cerezo Osaka score away1.74 vs 1.08

Cerezo Osaka concede away1.89 vs 1.32

Nagoya Grampus score 8% above league average, while Cerezo Osaka score 61% above league average.

Defensive side: Nagoya Grampus are 22% above league average at home, and Cerezo Osaka are 44% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5

Avg goals3.60

BTTS80%

Over 2.580%

At this venue setup: 2.80 goals on average across the last 5.

Nagoya Grampus goal timing (home)

1H scored: 40% 2H scored: 60% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 76-90+

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 9

31-45 7

46-60 6

16-30 3

61-75 3

0-15 2

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 12

0-15 4

61-75 4

46-60 3

16-30 2

31-45 1

Cerezo Osaka goal timing (away)

1H scored: 41% 2H scored: 59% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

76-90+ 8

0-15 6

46-60 6

61-75 6

31-45 5

16-30 3

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

31-45 11

76-90+ 10

16-30 6

0-15 5

61-75 5

46-60 4

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

Total Shots

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots Inside Box

Shots Outside Box

Ball Possession

35%

65%

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Offsides

Yellow Cards

—

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

Total Passes

325

622

Passes Accurate

243

538

Passes %

75%

86%

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

37' ⚽

⚽

37' ⚽ Goal · 1-0

Y. Nogami

Normal Goal · Assist: H. Fujii

45' ⚽

⚽

45' ⚽ Goal · 2-0

Y. Kimura

Normal Goal · Assist: S. Inagaki

46' ↑↓

↑↓

46' ⇄ Thiago Andrade

1st substitution · For: R. Sakata

46' ↑↓

↑↓

46' ⇄ M. Shibayama

2nd substitution · For: M. Nakajima

54' ↑↓

↑↓

54' ⇄ K. Nakayama

1st substitution · For: S. Tokumoto

60' ⚽

⚽

60' ⚽ VAR

Y. Kimura

Goal cancelled

68' ↑↓

↑↓

68' ⇄ S. Hatanaka

3rd substitution · For: R. Shindo

68' ↑↓

↑↓

68' ⇄ A. Ohata

4th substitution · For: Niko Takahashi Cendagorta

76' ↑↓

↑↓

76' ⇄ S. Kagawa

5th substitution · For: Vitor Bueno

79' ↑↓

↑↓

79' ⇄ Y. Kimura

2nd substitution · For: Y. Yamagishi

79' ↑↓

↑↓

79' ⇄ Y. Nogami

3rd substitution · For: K. Nagai

85' ⚽

⚽

85' ⚽ Goal · 3-1

Vitor Bueno

Normal Goal

90+1' ↑↓

↑↓

90+1' ⇄ T. Morishima

4th substitution · For: G. Kato

90+1' ↑↓

↑↓

90+1' ⇄ Mateus

5th substitution · For: T. Kikuchi

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka 2-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Nagoya Grampus beat Cerezo Osaka 2-1 on Saturday, 04 October 2025 in J1 League. The match was refereed by Hayato Shimizu. It was played at Toyota Stadium.

First half: Nagoya Grampus took the lead at 37' when Y. Nogami scored, with the assist credited to H. Fujii, making the score 1-0. Nagoya Grampus extended the lead at 45' when Y. Kimura scored, with the assist credited to S. Inagaki, making the score 2-0.

Second half: Cerezo Osaka made their 1st substitution at 46', with Thiago Andrade replacing R. Sakata. Cerezo Osaka made their 2nd substitution at 46', with M. Shibayama replacing M. Nakajima. Nagoya Grampus made their 1st substitution at 54', with K. Nakayama replacing S. Tokumoto. VAR intervened at 60' for Nagoya Grampus (Goal cancelled). Cerezo Osaka made their 3rd substitution at 68', with S. Hatanaka replacing R. Shindo. Cerezo Osaka made their 4th substitution at 68', with A. Ohata replacing Niko Takahashi Cendagorta. Cerezo Osaka made their 5th substitution at 76', with S. Kagawa replacing Vitor Bueno. Nagoya Grampus made their 2nd substitution at 79', with Y. Kimura replacing Y. Yamagishi. Nagoya Grampus made their 3rd substitution at 79', with Y. Nogami replacing K. Nagai. Cerezo Osaka reduced the deficit at 85' when Vitor Bueno scored, making the score 3-1. Nagoya Grampus made their 4th substitution at 90+1', with T. Morishima replacing G. Kato. Nagoya Grampus made their 5th substitution at 90+1', with Mateus replacing T. Kikuchi.

Nagoya Grampus used 5 substitutions while Cerezo Osaka used 5 substitutions.