54.3% average title probability
Norway Eliteserien race map
Norway Eliteserien Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
44.3% average title probability
75.1% average relegation risk
Gap score 20.0 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 38 | 68.4 | 54.3% | 52.5% | 56.0% |
| Viking | 2 | 37 | 68.0 | 44.3% | 45.7% | 42.9% |
| Tromso | 3 | 34 | 57.8 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Lillestrom | 4 | 25 | 49.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molde | 5 | 24 | 46.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 6 | 22 | 45.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 54.3% | +0.9 |
| Viking | 2 | 2.0 | 100.0% | 44.3% | +0.9 |
| Tromso | 3 | 3.0 | 96.3% | 1.4% | +0.4 |
| Lillestrom | 4 | 4.0 | 50.8% | 0.0% | -0.2 |
| Molde | 5 | 5.0 | 25.6% | 0.0% | -1.1 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 6 | 5.5 | 14.7% | 0.0% | +3.7 |
| Brann | 9 | 8.0 | 6.1% | 0.0% | -2.4 |
| Ham-Kam | 7 | 7.5 | 4.0% | 0.0% | +0.7 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 16 | 10 | 16.0 | 75.1% | 78.7% | 71.5% |
| Aalesund | 14 | 13 | 15.0 | 46.8% | 42.4% | 51.2% |
| Kristiansund BK | 15 | 12 | 15.0 | 43.6% | 38.5% | 48.6% |
| KFUM Oslo | 13 | 15 | 13.0 | 16.5% | 18.6% | 14.3% |
| Sandefjord | 12 | 15 | 12.0 | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Fredrikstad | 11 | 17 | 11.5 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 7 | 9 | 42.7 | 40.3 | 20.0 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 6 | 5 | 43.3 | 47.0 | 18.5 |
| Kristiansund BK | 15 | 15 | 28.2 | 25.9 | 11.5 |
| Aalesund | 15 | 15 | 28.0 | 25.9 | 10.5 |
| Ham-Kam | 8 | 7 | 41.5 | 42.2 | 10.0 |
| Valerenga | 10 | 9 | 37.8 | 39.7 | 10.0 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt | 08 Nov 2026 | 224.3 | 36.4% | 26.0% | 37.7% | Tromso: Top 4 96.3% | Bodo/Glimt: Top 4 100.0% |
| Tromso vs Viking | 22 Nov 2026 | 222.7 | 41.3% | 26.5% | 32.3% | Tromso: Top 4 96.3% | Viking: Top 4 100.0% |
| Bodo/Glimt vs Viking | 01 Nov 2026 | 218.7 | 58.4% | 24.0% | 17.7% | Bodo/Glimt: Top 4 100.0% | Viking: Top 4 100.0% |
| Viking vs Tromso | 25 Oct 2026 | 213.5 | 61.7% | 20.8% | 17.6% | Viking: Top 4 100.0% | Tromso: Top 4 96.3% |
| Tromso vs Start | 06 Dec 2026 | 181.0 | 78.6% | 15.8% | 5.7% | Tromso: Top 4 96.3% | Start: Bottom Finish 75.1% |
| Lillestrom vs Tromso | 13 Dec 2026 | 175.2 | 37.6% | 25.4% | 37.1% | Lillestrom: Top 4 50.8% | Tromso: Top 4 96.3% |
| Viking vs Lillestrom | 20 Sep 2026 | 165.3 | 67.7% | 20.4% | 11.9% | Viking: Top 4 100.0% | Lillestrom: Top 4 50.8% |
| Aalesund vs Bodo/Glimt | 06 Dec 2026 | 159.8 | 10.7% | 18.2% | 71.2% | Aalesund: Bottom Finish 46.8% | Bodo/Glimt: Top 4 100.0% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Eliteserien. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
119
Goal Model Base
1.76 / 1.26
Form Model Base
1.4 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (15-16) | Form Bottom Finish (15-16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 38 | 67.9 | 68.8 | 1 | 1 | 52.5% | 56.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Viking | 37 | 67.5 | 68.4 | 2 | 2 | 45.7% | 42.9% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Tromso | 34 | 57.6 | 58.0 | 3 | 3 | 1.7% | 1.0% | 95.3% | 97.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 25 | 49.6 | 49.4 | 4 | 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 51.7% | 49.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Molde | 24 | 47.2 | 46.1 | 5 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.2% | 22.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 43.3 | 47.0 | 6 | 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 21.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 41.5 | 42.2 | 8 | 7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Valerenga | 20 | 37.8 | 39.7 | 10 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| 9 | Brann | 19 | 42.7 | 40.3 | 7 | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 10 | Rosenborg | 18 | 39.2 | 39.2 | 9 | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 17 | 33.5 | 34.7 | 12 | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 15 | 32.3 | 30.4 | 12 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 15 | 30.9 | 29.8 | 13 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.6% | 14.3% |
| 14 | Aalesund | 13 | 28.0 | 25.9 | 15 | 15 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 42.4% | 51.2% |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 12 | 28.2 | 25.9 | 15 | 15 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.5% | 48.6% |
| 16 | Start | 10 | 23.6 | 23.9 | 16 | 16 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 78.7% | 71.5% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga | 82.2% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 2.80 | 0.63 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg | 50.7% | 24.6% | 24.7% | 1.64 | 1.06 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo | 45.3% | 24.8% | 29.9% | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Lillestrom vs Brann | 42.4% | 21.8% | 35.8% | 1.89 | 1.72 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Molde vs Fredrikstad | 72.1% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 2.49 | 0.90 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund | 58.6% | 23.0% | 18.4% | 1.79 | 0.89 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Start vs Sandefjord | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Viking vs Tromso | 58.5% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 2.41 | 1.46 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Brann vs Rosenborg | 51.4% | 24.5% | 24.2% | 1.65 | 1.05 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo | 45.3% | 26.4% | 28.3% | 1.44 | 1.08 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt | 23.0% | 21.1% | 55.9% | 1.27 | 2.07 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 72.7% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 2.72 | 1.04 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Start vs Fredrikstad | 42.3% | 25.4% | 32.3% | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Lillestrom vs Rosenborg | 56.3% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 1.67 | 0.87 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Ham-Kam vs Aalesund | 59.6% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 2.28 | 1.29 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Kristiansund BK vs Molde | 33.5% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 1.34 | 1.52 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Rosenborg vs Viking | 30.8% | 25.8% | 43.4% | 1.19 | 1.46 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom | 30.1% | 29.5% | 40.4% | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Aalesund vs Valerenga | 42.8% | 21.7% | 35.5% | 1.92 | 1.74 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Brann vs Ham-Kam | 49.8% | 22.0% | 28.2% | 1.94 | 1.42 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Molde vs Tromso | 42.3% | 22.8% | 34.9% | 1.76 | 1.58 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord | 50.8% | 28.3% | 20.9% | 1.34 | 0.75 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK | 54.2% | 25.3% | 20.5% | 1.57 | 0.86 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Valerenga vs Molde | 43.7% | 22.5% | 33.9% | 1.82 | 1.59 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Viking vs Aalesund | 84.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.59 | 0.99 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg | 76.8% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.23 | 0.51 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK | 59.2% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 1.90 | 0.97 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Sandefjord vs Brann | 27.0% | 23.6% | 49.4% | 1.23 | 1.74 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Start vs KFUM Oslo | 37.0% | 24.3% | 38.8% | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 61.5% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 1.93 | 0.90 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad | 67.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 2.21 | 0.89 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Aalesund vs Start | 52.6% | 19.9% | 27.5% | 2.30 | 1.65 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt | 21.3% | 22.7% | 56.0% | 1.05 | 1.85 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Sandefjord vs Viking | 19.5% | 26.2% | 54.3% | 0.78 | 1.50 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam | 55.6% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 1.94 | 1.16 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Brann vs Lillestrom | 36.9% | 26.5% | 36.5% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Molde vs KFUM Oslo | 68.1% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 2.49 | 1.08 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Kristiansund BK vs Tromso | 23.4% | 23.1% | 53.5% | 1.11 | 1.80 |
| 07 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga | 54.2% | 24.9% | 20.9% | 1.61 | 0.89 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Lillestrom vs Valerenga | 61.0% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 2.10 | 1.07 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Rosenborg vs Tromso | 38.2% | 24.0% | 37.8% | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Viking vs Kristiansund BK | 82.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.00 | 0.75 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord | 78.1% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 2.34 | 0.53 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Ham-Kam vs Molde | 43.7% | 22.4% | 34.0% | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund | 50.3% | 23.8% | 25.9% | 1.71 | 1.16 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Start vs Brann | 18.2% | 18.3% | 63.5% | 1.26 | 2.45 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 42.3% | 26.0% | 31.7% | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo | 56.4% | 24.0% | 19.7% | 1.70 | 0.89 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg | 40.1% | 29.0% | 30.9% | 1.19 | 1.01 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Molde vs Aalesund | 70.4% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 2.62 | 1.07 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Valerenga vs Fredrikstad | 62.1% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 2.15 | 1.07 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sandefjord vs Start | 51.7% | 24.6% | 23.7% | 1.64 | 1.02 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Tromso vs Ham-Kam | 64.7% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 2.14 | 0.95 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Viking vs Lillestrom | 61.0% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 2.02 | 1.00 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Brann vs Bodo/Glimt | 23.5% | 21.2% | 55.4% | 1.29 | 2.07 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 34.7% | 22.5% | 42.8% | 1.61 | 1.81 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK | 83.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 2.60 | 0.47 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Brann vs Viking | 25.3% | 23.2% | 51.5% | 1.19 | 1.80 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Fredrikstad vs Tromso | 28.8% | 23.9% | 47.3% | 1.26 | 1.69 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga | 45.9% | 25.2% | 28.8% | 1.54 | 1.17 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Lillestrom vs Molde | 50.6% | 22.5% | 26.9% | 1.87 | 1.31 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Rosenborg vs Sandefjord | 57.4% | 23.7% | 19.0% | 1.73 | 0.88 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Start vs Ham-Kam | 30.1% | 23.9% | 46.0% | 1.31 | 1.68 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt | 22.9% | 21.0% | 56.1% | 1.27 | 2.09 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund | 47.6% | 24.2% | 28.3% | 1.66 | 1.23 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Molde vs Start | 74.7% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 2.84 | 1.03 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Sandefjord vs Lillestrom | 28.4% | 31.3% | 40.3% | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg | 49.6% | 29.2% | 21.2% | 1.28 | 0.73 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | 71.7% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 2.42 | 0.86 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Valerenga vs Brann | 34.8% | 20.8% | 44.4% | 1.84 | 2.08 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Viking vs Fredrikstad | 85.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.41 | 0.83 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Aalesund vs Sandefjord | 41.1% | 24.0% | 34.9% | 1.60 | 1.46 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Bodo/Glimt vs Viking | 54.6% | 24.9% | 20.5% | 1.61 | 0.88 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Brann vs Molde | 44.4% | 22.3% | 33.3% | 1.85 | 1.58 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg | 46.3% | 27.6% | 26.1% | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam | 40.8% | 25.5% | 33.7% | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK | 57.2% | 26.3% | 16.6% | 1.49 | 0.66 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Start vs Lillestrom | 21.7% | 26.0% | 52.3% | 0.87 | 1.51 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Valerenga vs Tromso | 31.3% | 22.2% | 46.4% | 1.52 | 1.89 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Fredrikstad vs Brann | 31.9% | 22.4% | 45.7% | 1.53 | 1.86 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 46.3% | 23.5% | 30.2% | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga | 43.3% | 25.4% | 31.3% | 1.50 | 1.24 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Lillestrom vs Aalesund | 65.7% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.33 | 1.06 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Rosenborg vs Start | 69.9% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 2.49 | 0.99 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Sandefjord vs Molde | 34.1% | 26.7% | 39.2% | 1.22 | 1.32 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt | 38.3% | 25.3% | 36.4% | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Viking vs KFUM Oslo | 82.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.42 | 1.00 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Aalesund vs Rosenborg | 40.2% | 24.5% | 35.3% | 1.53 | 1.42 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad | 62.1% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 2.17 | 1.08 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | KFUM Oslo vs Brann | 28.4% | 22.4% | 49.2% | 1.39 | 1.89 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord | 41.1% | 28.3% | 30.6% | 1.25 | 1.04 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Molde vs Bodo/Glimt | 32.6% | 23.2% | 44.1% | 1.46 | 1.73 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom | 37.1% | 31.8% | 31.1% | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Tromso vs Viking | 39.3% | 26.9% | 33.8% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Valerenga vs Start | 64.4% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 2.45 | 1.23 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo | 83.9% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 2.96 | 0.63 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Brann vs Kristiansund BK | 59.9% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 1.92 | 0.96 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Fredrikstad vs Aalesund | 54.6% | 22.4% | 22.9% | 1.89 | 1.15 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam | 55.7% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 1.97 | 1.18 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Rosenborg vs Molde | 50.6% | 22.7% | 26.7% | 1.85 | 1.29 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Sandefjord vs Tromso | 24.4% | 25.2% | 50.4% | 1.01 | 1.57 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 28.4% | 24.9% | 46.7% | 1.18 | 1.58 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Viking vs Valerenga | 80.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.24 | 1.00 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Aalesund vs Bodo/Glimt | 13.7% | 15.6% | 70.6% | 1.19 | 2.78 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Ham-Kam vs Sandefjord | 51.9% | 23.9% | 24.2% | 1.71 | 1.09 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad | 52.8% | 24.7% | 22.5% | 1.63 | 0.97 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom | 28.0% | 29.0% | 43.0% | 0.93 | 1.23 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Molde vs Viking | 34.2% | 24.9% | 40.9% | 1.36 | 1.51 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Brann | 37.7% | 24.8% | 37.4% | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Tromso vs Start | 77.8% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 2.75 | 0.82 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Valerenga vs Rosenborg | 50.7% | 24.7% | 24.6% | 1.63 | 1.05 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 75.4% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 2.36 | 0.66 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Brann vs Aalesund | 60.3% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 2.30 | 1.28 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Fredrikstad vs Molde | 39.9% | 24.6% | 35.5% | 1.52 | 1.42 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Lillestrom vs Tromso | 38.2% | 23.8% | 38.1% | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo | 63.2% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 2.18 | 1.05 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Sandefjord vs Valerenga | 43.3% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 1.36 | 1.08 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Start vs Kristiansund BK | 40.4% | 27.3% | 32.3% | 1.30 | 1.13 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Viking vs Ham-Kam | 75.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 3.03 | 1.10 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga | 78.6% | 18.1% | 3.3% | 1.63 | 0.92 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo | 52.2% | 24.7% | 23.1% | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Lillestrom vs Brann | 56.9% | 24.0% | 19.2% | 1.12 | 0.99 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Molde vs Fredrikstad | 71.2% | 20.9% | 7.9% | 1.18 | 0.74 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund | 74.4% | 19.8% | 5.8% | 1.24 | 0.70 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Start vs Sandefjord | 47.9% | 25.4% | 26.7% | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Viking vs Tromso | 64.9% | 22.4% | 12.7% | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Brann vs Rosenborg | 56.4% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| 07 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo | 58.4% | 23.7% | 17.9% | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt | 21.3% | 24.4% | 54.3% | 1.10 | 1.54 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 74.9% | 19.7% | 5.4% | 1.57 | 1.01 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Start vs Fredrikstad | 42.6% | 26.1% | 31.2% | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Lillestrom vs Rosenborg | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Ham-Kam vs Aalesund | 70.6% | 21.0% | 8.4% | 1.12 | 0.70 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | Kristiansund BK vs Molde | 28.5% | 25.7% | 45.8% | 0.72 | 1.03 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Rosenborg vs Viking | 30.1% | 25.9% | 43.9% | 1.12 | 1.41 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom | 37.1% | 26.9% | 36.0% | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Aalesund vs Valerenga | 36.0% | 26.9% | 37.1% | 0.73 | 0.92 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Brann vs Ham-Kam | 60.0% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 1.03 | 0.85 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Molde vs Tromso | 41.0% | 26.4% | 32.7% | 1.18 | 1.29 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord | 75.4% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 1.24 | 0.66 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.01 | 0.59 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Valerenga vs Molde | 53.4% | 24.5% | 22.1% | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Viking vs Aalesund | 81.5% | 16.5% | 1.9% | 1.57 | 0.70 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg | 78.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 1.63 | 0.91 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK | 74.0% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 1.12 | 0.59 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Sandefjord vs Brann | 36.9% | 26.9% | 36.2% | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Start vs KFUM Oslo | 47.7% | 25.4% | 26.9% | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 66.4% | 22.1% | 11.5% | 1.33 | 1.01 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 19 | Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad | 69.1% | 21.4% | 9.5% | 1.12 | 0.74 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Aalesund vs Start | 58.2% | 23.7% | 18.1% | 0.73 | 0.58 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt | 16.8% | 23.5% | 59.7% | 1.01 | 1.54 |
| 04 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Sandefjord vs Viking | 14.5% | 22.9% | 62.6% | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam | 64.7% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Brann vs Lillestrom | 48.8% | 25.2% | 26.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Molde vs KFUM Oslo | 73.5% | 20.1% | 6.3% | 1.18 | 0.67 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Kristiansund BK vs Tromso | 15.1% | 23.0% | 61.9% | 0.72 | 1.29 |
| 07 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 20 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga | 66.7% | 22.0% | 11.3% | 1.24 | 0.92 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Lillestrom vs Valerenga | 61.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Rosenborg vs Tromso | 37.3% | 26.9% | 35.8% | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Viking vs Kristiansund BK | 82.7% | 16.0% | 1.3% | 1.57 | 0.59 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord | 82.6% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 1.63 | 0.66 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Ham-Kam vs Molde | 54.7% | 24.3% | 21.0% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund | 58.9% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 0.86 | 0.70 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Start vs Brann | 26.6% | 25.4% | 48.0% | 0.65 | 0.99 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 21 | Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 48.4% | 25.3% | 26.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo | 75.3% | 19.5% | 5.2% | 1.24 | 0.67 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg | 35.6% | 26.8% | 37.6% | 0.72 | 0.91 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Molde vs Aalesund | 72.5% | 20.5% | 7.0% | 1.18 | 0.70 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Valerenga vs Fredrikstad | 68.3% | 21.6% | 10.1% | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Sandefjord vs Start | 62.9% | 22.8% | 14.2% | 0.82 | 0.58 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Tromso vs Ham-Kam | 72.6% | 20.4% | 7.0% | 1.33 | 0.85 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Viking vs Lillestrom | 74.4% | 19.8% | 5.8% | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 22 | Brann vs Bodo/Glimt | 17.9% | 23.7% | 58.4% | 1.03 | 1.54 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 30.2% | 26.0% | 43.9% | 0.73 | 1.01 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK | 82.9% | 16.0% | 1.1% | 1.63 | 0.59 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Brann vs Viking | 24.6% | 25.0% | 50.4% | 1.03 | 1.41 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Fredrikstad vs Tromso | 30.1% | 25.9% | 44.0% | 1.01 | 1.29 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga | 45.1% | 25.8% | 29.1% | 0.86 | 0.92 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Lillestrom vs Molde | 54.7% | 24.3% | 21.0% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Rosenborg vs Sandefjord | 72.0% | 20.6% | 7.4% | 1.12 | 0.66 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 23 | Start vs Ham-Kam | 35.2% | 26.8% | 38.0% | 0.65 | 0.85 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt | 22.3% | 24.6% | 53.1% | 1.12 | 1.54 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund | 50.0% | 25.1% | 24.9% | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Molde vs Start | 75.9% | 19.3% | 4.8% | 1.18 | 0.58 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Sandefjord vs Lillestrom | 34.5% | 26.7% | 38.9% | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg | 67.0% | 22.0% | 11.0% | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | 77.5% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Valerenga vs Brann | 55.6% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 24 | Viking vs Fredrikstad | 80.8% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 1.57 | 0.74 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Aalesund vs Sandefjord | 53.2% | 24.6% | 22.2% | 0.73 | 0.66 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Bodo/Glimt vs Viking | 62.1% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Brann vs Molde | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg | 55.0% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 1.01 | 0.91 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam | 49.8% | 25.1% | 25.1% | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK | 77.1% | 18.8% | 4.1% | 1.24 | 0.59 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Start vs Lillestrom | 24.4% | 25.0% | 50.6% | 0.65 | 1.03 |
| 01 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 25 | Valerenga vs Tromso | 35.6% | 26.9% | 37.5% | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Fredrikstad vs Brann | 49.8% | 25.1% | 25.1% | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 55.6% | 24.2% | 20.2% | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga | 35.2% | 26.8% | 38.0% | 0.72 | 0.92 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Lillestrom vs Aalesund | 70.6% | 21.0% | 8.4% | 1.12 | 0.70 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Rosenborg vs Start | 74.5% | 19.8% | 5.7% | 1.12 | 0.58 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Sandefjord vs Molde | 34.7% | 26.7% | 38.6% | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt | 34.4% | 26.7% | 38.9% | 1.33 | 1.54 |
| 08 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 26 | Viking vs KFUM Oslo | 82.1% | 16.2% | 1.7% | 1.57 | 0.67 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Aalesund vs Rosenborg | 36.4% | 27.0% | 36.7% | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad | 69.1% | 21.4% | 9.5% | 1.12 | 0.74 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | KFUM Oslo vs Brann | 39.8% | 26.5% | 33.6% | 0.86 | 0.99 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Kristiansund BK vs Sandefjord | 52.4% | 24.7% | 22.9% | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Molde vs Bodo/Glimt | 25.5% | 25.2% | 49.3% | 1.18 | 1.54 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom | 61.3% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Tromso vs Viking | 43.3% | 26.0% | 30.7% | 1.33 | 1.41 |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 27 | Valerenga vs Start | 73.8% | 20.1% | 6.2% | 1.10 | 0.58 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo | 82.6% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 1.63 | 0.67 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Brann vs Kristiansund BK | 71.2% | 20.9% | 7.9% | 1.03 | 0.59 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Fredrikstad vs Aalesund | 66.1% | 22.2% | 11.7% | 1.01 | 0.70 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Lillestrom vs Ham-Kam | 64.5% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Rosenborg vs Molde | 55.0% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Sandefjord vs Tromso | 19.7% | 24.1% | 56.2% | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Start vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25.4% | 25.1% | 49.4% | 0.65 | 1.01 |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 28 | Viking vs Valerenga | 77.3% | 18.7% | 4.0% | 1.57 | 0.92 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Aalesund vs Bodo/Glimt | 7.6% | 20.7% | 71.7% | 0.73 | 1.54 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Ham-Kam vs Sandefjord | 71.8% | 20.7% | 7.5% | 1.12 | 0.66 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad | 56.6% | 24.0% | 19.4% | 0.86 | 0.74 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Kristiansund BK vs Lillestrom | 28.3% | 25.6% | 46.1% | 0.72 | 1.03 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Molde vs Viking | 33.3% | 26.5% | 40.3% | 1.18 | 1.41 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Brann | 63.3% | 22.8% | 14.0% | 1.24 | 0.99 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Tromso vs Start | 79.3% | 17.8% | 2.9% | 1.33 | 0.58 |
| 06 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 29 | Valerenga vs Rosenborg | 60.3% | 23.3% | 16.4% | 1.10 | 0.91 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 FF | 76.5% | 19.1% | 4.5% | 1.63 | 1.01 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Brann vs Aalesund | 67.1% | 21.9% | 11.0% | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Fredrikstad vs Molde | 47.4% | 25.4% | 27.2% | 1.01 | 1.03 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Lillestrom vs Tromso | 36.9% | 26.9% | 36.1% | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Rosenborg vs KFUM Oslo | 71.9% | 20.7% | 7.5% | 1.12 | 0.67 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Sandefjord vs Valerenga | 42.2% | 26.2% | 31.6% | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Start vs Kristiansund BK | 52.5% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| 13 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 30 | Viking vs Ham-Kam | 78.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 1.57 | 0.85 |