Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers

2 - 1
๐Ÿ•’ Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 Europe/London ๐Ÿ“ Somerset Park ๐Ÿง‘โ€โš–๏ธ Ross Hardie ๐Ÿ” Regular Season - 24 ๐Ÿ match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 24
Regular Season Table
Ayr Utd 7 ยท Raith Rovers 5
Referee Stats
11 matches ยท 5.27 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 5.27
Reds avg 0.27
Penalties avg 0.18
Over 4.5 cards 64%
Home wins 18%
Draws 55%
Away wins 27%
How the match was won
  • Physical contest: 7 yellows.

Team Overview

Ayr Utd (Home stats)

Games / Record

18
W-D-L: 4-7-7

Goals For / Against

17 / 22
Avg: 0.94 / 1.22

Points

19
Avg: 1.06

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

7
Raith Rovers (Away stats)

Games / Record

18
W-D-L: 3-6-9

Goals For / Against

9 / 20
Avg: 0.50 / 1.11

Points

15
Avg: 0.83

Clean Sheets

9

Failed to Score

11

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.06
PPG
0.83
0.94
GF
0.50
1.22
GA
1.11
33%
O2.5
28%
56%
BTTS
22%
39%
Score 1st
11%

League-position context

Ayr Utd rank7th
Raith Rovers rank5th
Ayr Utd points39
Raith Rovers points45
Ayr Utd: #7 ยท 39 pts ยท GD -9
27 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 2 pts from safety.
Raith Rovers: #5 ยท 45 pts ยท GD +1
21 pts off the top 2. 9 pts above the play-off edge. 6 pts clear of the relegation zone.
6-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Ayr Utd last 5 home

L W L D L
Points4/15
Weighted index31
Goals2-6
Record1-1-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Raith Rovers last 5 away

L L W L L
Points3/15
Weighted index20
Goals3-9
Record1-0-4
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Ayr Utd trend breakdown

Over 2.533%
BTTS56%
BTTS + O2.528%
1H Over 0.567%
Also: Over 0.5 89% ยท Over 1.5 61% ยท Over 3.5 11% ยท 1H BTTS 6%

Raith Rovers trend breakdown

Over 2.528%
BTTS22%
BTTS + O2.522%
1H Over 0.556%
Also: Over 0.5 67% ยท Over 1.5 56% ยท Over 3.5 6% ยท 1H BTTS 6%

Scoring reliability

Ayr Utd score at home61%
Ayr Utd clean sheet at home17%
Raith Rovers score away39%
Raith Rovers clean sheet away50%

First-goal patterns

Ayr Utd score first39%
Ayr Utd win after scoring first57%
Raith Rovers score first11%
Raith Rovers win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Ayr Utd 43% ยท Raith Rovers 0%
Avg first goal minute: Ayr Utd 27.4' ยท Raith Rovers 26.5'

Vs league average

Ayr Utd score at home0.94 vs 1.34
Ayr Utd concede at home1.22 vs 1.09
Raith Rovers score away0.50 vs 1.09
Raith Rovers concede away1.11 vs 1.34
Ayr Utd score 29% below league average, while Raith Rovers score 54% below league average.
Defensive side: Ayr Utd are 12% above league average at home, and Raith Rovers are 17% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.00
BTTS20%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Ayr Utd goal timing (home)

1H scored: 69% 2H scored: 31% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 5
16-30 4
76-90+ 4
31-45 2
46-60 1
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 6
31-45 4
0-15 3
46-60 3
16-30 1
61-75 1

Raith Rovers goal timing (away)

1H scored: 57% 2H scored: 43% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
76-90+ 2
0-15 1
31-45 1
46-60 1
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 6
0-15 3
16-30 3
31-45 3
61-75 2
46-60 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
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Total Shots
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Shots off Goal
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Blocked Shots
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Shots Inside Box
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Shots Outside Box
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Ball Possession
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Corner Kicks
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Fouls
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Offsides
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Yellow Cards
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Red Cards
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Goalkeeper Saves
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Total Passes
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Passes Accurate
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Passes %
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Events

Yellow Cards
Home
6
Away
1
Red Cards
Home
0
Away
0
Substitutions
Home
7
Away
6
24'
24' M. McKenzie
28' โšฝ
โšฝ
28' โšฝ Goal ยท 1-0
B. Dempsey
Normal Goal
57' โšฝ
โšฝ
57' โšฝ Goal ยท 2-0
A. Dowds
Normal Goal
59' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
59' โ‡„ A. Winter
1st substitution ยท For: P. Nsio
59' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
59' โ‡„ J. Mullin
2nd substitution ยท For: L. Vaughan
59' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
59' โ‡„ J. Rowe
3rd substitution ยท For: R. Matthews
59' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
59' โ‡„ A. Winter
4th substitution ยท For: P. Nsio
59' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
59' โ‡„ J. Rowe
5th substitution ยท For: R. Matthews
68' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
68' โ‡„ C. Main
1st substitution ยท For: B. Summers
68'
68' S. McMann
76' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
76' โ‡„ D. Easton
6th substitution ยท For: P. McMullan
77' โšฝ
โšฝ
77' โšฝ Goal ยท 2-1
L. Vaughan
Normal Goal ยท Assist: J. Doherty
81' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
81' โ‡„ A. Dowds
2nd substitution ยท For: G. Oakley
81' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
81' โ‡„ L. Dick
3rd substitution ยท For: S. Want
81' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
81' โ‡„ L. Dick
4th substitution ยท For: S. Want
81' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
81' โ‡„ A. Dowds
5th substitution ยท For: G. Oakley
82'
82' S. Bannigan
85'
85' G. Finney
86' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
86' โ‡„ S. Bannigan
6th substitution ยท For: J. Bonnar
86' โ†‘โ†“
โ†‘โ†“
86' โ‡„ M. McKenzie
7th substitution ยท For: E. Walker
88'
88' S. Want
89'
89' S. Brown
90+1'
90+1' K. Holt

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers 2-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Ayr Utd beat Raith Rovers 2-1 on Saturday, 31 January 2026 in Championship. The match was refereed by Ross Hardie. It was played at Somerset Park.

First half: M. McKenzie received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 24'. Ayr Utd took the lead at 28' when B. Dempsey scored, making the score 1-0.

Second half: Ayr Utd extended the lead at 57' when A. Dowds scored, making the score 2-0. Raith Rovers made their 1st substitution at 59', with A. Winter replacing P. Nsio. Raith Rovers made their 2nd substitution at 59', with J. Mullin replacing L. Vaughan. Raith Rovers made their 3rd substitution at 59', with J. Rowe replacing R. Matthews. Raith Rovers made their 4th substitution at 59', with A. Winter replacing P. Nsio. Raith Rovers made their 5th substitution at 59', with J. Rowe replacing R. Matthews. Ayr Utd made their 1st substitution at 68', with C. Main replacing B. Summers. S. McMann received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 68'. Raith Rovers made their 6th substitution at 76', with D. Easton replacing P. McMullan. Raith Rovers reduced the deficit at 77' when L. Vaughan scored, with the assist credited to J. Doherty, making the score 2-1. Ayr Utd made their 2nd substitution at 81', with A. Dowds replacing G. Oakley. Ayr Utd made their 3rd substitution at 81', with L. Dick replacing S. Want. Ayr Utd made their 4th substitution at 81', with L. Dick replacing S. Want. Ayr Utd made their 5th substitution at 81', with A. Dowds replacing G. Oakley. S. Bannigan received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 82'. G. Finney received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 85'. Ayr Utd made their 6th substitution at 86', with S. Bannigan replacing J. Bonnar. Ayr Utd made their 7th substitution at 86', with M. McKenzie replacing E. Walker. S. Want received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 88'. S. Brown received a yellow card for Raith Rovers at 89'. K. Holt received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 90+1'.

Ayr Utd used 7 substitutions while Raith Rovers used 6 substitutions. Ayr Utd got 6 yellow cards, while Raith Rovers got 1 yellow card.

How the match was won

  • Physical contest: 7 yellows.

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games27
Home Wins9
Draws6
Away Wins12
Over 2.5 Goals11 (40.7%)
BTTS10 (37.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games14
Home Wins7
Draws2
Away Wins5
Over 2.5 Goals4 (28.6%)
BTTS4 (28.6%)

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head History by Season