ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd

ST Johnstone

3 - 1

Ayr Utd

🕒 Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 Europe/London 📍 McDiarmid Park 🧑‍⚖️ Dan McFarlane 🔁 Regular Season - 27 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 27

Regular Season Table

ST Johnstone 1 · Ayr Utd 7

Referee Stats

Dan McFarlane

11 matches · 4.91 yellow cards avg

Yellow cards avg	4.91
Reds avg	0.18
Penalties avg	0.09
Over 4.5 cards	64%
Home wins	36%
Draws	18%
Away wins	45%

How the match was won

Physical contest: 5 yellows.

Team Overview

ST Johnstone (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 11-6-1

Goals For / Against

37 / 11

Avg: 2.06 / 0.61

Points

Avg: 2.17

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Ayr Utd (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 4-8-6

Goals For / Against

21 / 25

Avg: 1.17 / 1.39

Points

Avg: 1.11

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.17

PPG

1.11

2.06

1.17

0.61

1.39

50%

O2.5

50%

39%

BTTS

67%

44%

Score 1st

56%

League-position context

ST Johnstone rank1st

Ayr Utd rank7th

ST Johnstone points77

Ayr Utd points39

ST Johnstone: #1 · 77 pts · GD +42

Currently in the automatic promotion spots. 41 pts above the play-off edge. 38 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Ayr Utd: #7 · 39 pts · GD -9

27 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 2 pts from safety.

38-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

ST Johnstone last 5 home

W W D W W

Points13/15

Weighted index87

Goals11-2

Record4-1-0

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Ayr Utd last 5 away

L L L D D

Points2/15

Weighted index7

Goals4-9

Record0-2-3

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

ST Johnstone trend breakdown

Over 2.550%

BTTS39%

BTTS + O2.528%

1H Over 0.578%

Also: Over 0.5 83% · Over 1.5 67% · Over 3.5 33% · 1H BTTS 11%

Ayr Utd trend breakdown

Over 2.550%

BTTS67%

BTTS + O2.544%

1H Over 0.567%

Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 17%

Scoring reliability

ST Johnstone score at home78%

ST Johnstone clean sheet at home56%

Ayr Utd score away83%

Ayr Utd clean sheet away28%

First-goal patterns

ST Johnstone score first44%

ST Johnstone win after scoring first100%

Ayr Utd score first56%

Ayr Utd win after scoring first40%

Comeback rate after conceding first: ST Johnstone 83% · Ayr Utd 33%

Avg first goal minute: ST Johnstone 20.6' · Ayr Utd 19.3'

Vs league average

ST Johnstone score at home2.06 vs 1.34

ST Johnstone concede at home0.61 vs 1.09

Ayr Utd score away1.17 vs 1.09

Ayr Utd concede away1.39 vs 1.34

ST Johnstone score 54% above league average, while Ayr Utd score 7% above league average.

Defensive side: ST Johnstone are 44% below league average at home, and Ayr Utd are 4% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games4

Avg goals2.75

BTTS50%

Over 2.550%

At this venue setup: 2.00 goals on average across the last 2.

ST Johnstone goal timing (home)

1H scored: 51% 2H scored: 49% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 31-45

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

16-30 10

76-90+ 7

31-45 6

46-60 6

61-75 4

0-15 2

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

31-45 3

16-30 2

46-60 2

76-90+ 2

0-15 1

61-75 1

Ayr Utd goal timing (away)

1H scored: 71% 2H scored: 29% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 61-75

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

16-30 7

0-15 4

31-45 4

46-60 3

61-75 2

76-90+ 1

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

61-75 6

0-15 5

46-60 5

76-90+ 4

31-45 3

16-30 2

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

—

Total Shots

—

Shots off Goal

—

Blocked Shots

—

Shots Inside Box

—

Shots Outside Box

—

Ball Possession

—

Corner Kicks

—

Fouls

—

Offsides

—

Yellow Cards

—

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

—

Total Passes

—

Passes Accurate

—

Passes %

—

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

15' ⚽

⚽

15' ⚽ Goal · 1-0

R. McAlear

Normal Goal

18' ⚽

⚽

18' ⚽ Goal · 1-1

L. Dick

Normal Goal · Assist: B. Dempsey

31'

31' B. Dempsey

33'

33' B. Summers

37'

37' S. Stanton

38'

38' J. McPake

42' ⚽

⚽

42' ⚽ Goal · 2-1

C. Diabate

Normal Goal · Assist: J. Gullan

53' ↑↓

↑↓

53' ⇄ J. Gullan

1st substitution · For: T. Steven

54'

54' N. McAllister

59' ↑↓

↑↓

59' ⇄ N. McAllister

1st substitution · For: G. Finney

65' ↑↓

↑↓

65' ⇄ L. Smith

2nd substitution · For: A. Forrester

71' ↑↓

↑↓

71' ⇄ J. Fowler

3rd substitution · For: R. Paton

75' ↑↓

↑↓

75' ⇄ J. Bonnar

2nd substitution · For: J. Hislop

86' ⚽

⚽

86' ⚽ Goal · 3-1

R. Paton

Normal Goal

88' ↑↓

↑↓

88' ⇄ M. McKenzie

3rd substitution · For: L. McRoberts

88' ↑↓

↑↓

88' ⇄ B. Summers

4th substitution · For: F. Turley

88' ↑↓

↑↓

88' ⇄ B. Summers

5th substitution · For: F. Turley

88' ↑↓

↑↓

88' ⇄ M. McKenzie

6th substitution · For: L. McRoberts

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd 3-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

ST Johnstone beat Ayr Utd 3-1 on Saturday, 28 February 2026 in Championship. The match was refereed by Dan McFarlane. It was played at McDiarmid Park.

First half: ST Johnstone took the lead at 15' when R. McAlear scored, making the score 1-0. Ayr Utd leveled the score at 18' when L. Dick scored, with the assist credited to B. Dempsey, making the score 1-1. B. Dempsey received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 31'. B. Summers received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 33'. S. Stanton received a yellow card for ST Johnstone at 37'. J. McPake received a yellow card for ST Johnstone at 38'. ST Johnstone took the lead at 42' when C. Diabate scored, with the assist credited to J. Gullan, making the score 2-1.

Second half: ST Johnstone made their 1st substitution at 53', with J. Gullan replacing T. Steven. N. McAllister received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 54'. Ayr Utd made their 1st substitution at 59', with N. McAllister replacing G. Finney. ST Johnstone made their 2nd substitution at 65', with L. Smith replacing A. Forrester. ST Johnstone made their 3rd substitution at 71', with J. Fowler replacing R. Paton. Ayr Utd made their 2nd substitution at 75', with J. Bonnar replacing J. Hislop. ST Johnstone extended the lead at 86' when R. Paton scored, making the score 3-1. Ayr Utd made their 3rd substitution at 88', with M. McKenzie replacing L. McRoberts. Ayr Utd made their 4th substitution at 88', with B. Summers replacing F. Turley. Ayr Utd made their 5th substitution at 88', with B. Summers replacing F. Turley. Ayr Utd made their 6th substitution at 88', with M. McKenzie replacing L. McRoberts.

ST Johnstone used 3 substitutions while Ayr Utd used 6 substitutions. ST Johnstone got 2 yellow cards, while Ayr Utd got 3 yellow cards.

How the match was won

Physical contest: 5 yellows.

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)

Total Games	4
Home Wins	3
Draws	1
Away Wins	0
Over 2.5 Goals	2 (50.0%)
BTTS	2 (50.0%)

Home vs Away as Scheduled

Total Games	2
Home Wins	1
Draws	1
Away Wins	0
Over 2.5 Goals	1 (50.0%)
BTTS	1 (50.0%)

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd Head-to-Head History by Season

2025-2026 Season

01 May 2026 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone 0 - 1 28 Feb 2026 ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd 3 - 1 12 Dec 2025 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone 2 - 4 04 Oct 2025 ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd 0 - 0