Stage
Regular Season - 37
Regular Season Table
Millwall 3 ·
Derby 8
Referee Stats
25 matches ·
1.96 yellow cards avg
| Yellow cards avg |
1.96 |
|
| Reds avg |
0.08 |
|
| Penalties avg |
0.20 |
|
| Over 4.5 cards |
24% |
|
| Home wins |
40% |
|
| Draws |
36% |
|
| Away wins |
24% |
|
Team Overview
Millwall (Home stats)
Games / Record
24
W-D-L: 13-3-8
Goals For / Against
33 / 27
Avg: 1.38 / 1.13
Derby (Away stats)
Games / Record
23
W-D-L: 10-3-10
Goals For / Against
36 / 32
Avg: 1.57 / 1.39
Match Context & Trends
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.
League-position context
Millwall: #3 · 83 pts · GD +15
1 pts off the top 2. 18 pts above the play-off edge. 31 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Derby: #8 · 69 pts · GD +8
15 pts off the top 2. 4 pts above the play-off edge. 17 pts clear of the relegation zone.
14-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Millwall last 5 home
Points9/15
Weighted index67
Goals7-4
Record3-0-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.
Derby last 5 away
Points6/15
Weighted index40
Goals8-9
Record2-0-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.
Millwall trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 96% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 9%
Derby trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 30% · 1H BTTS 13%
Scoring reliability
Millwall score at home83%
Millwall clean sheet at home48%
Derby clean sheet away22%
First-goal patterns
Millwall win after scoring first60%
Derby win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Millwall 67% · Derby 40%
Avg first goal minute:
Millwall 34.4' · Derby 34.3'
Vs league average
Millwall score at home1.38 vs 1.40
Millwall concede at home1.13 vs 1.20
Derby score away1.57 vs 1.20
Derby concede away1.39 vs 1.40
Millwall score 2% below league average, while Derby score 30% above league average.
Defensive side: Millwall are 7% below league average at home, and Derby are 1% below league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals1.80
At this venue setup: 2.20 goals on average across the last 5.
Millwall goal timing (home)
1H scored: 43%
2H scored: 57%
Danger: 46-60
Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60
4
16-30
3
76-90+
3
31-45
2
0-15
1
61-75
1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
0
Derby goal timing (away)
1H scored: 54%
2H scored: 46%
Danger: 76-90+
Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+
4
31-45
3
0-15
2
16-30
2
46-60
2
61-75
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75
5
0-15
3
76-90+
3
31-45
2
46-60
2
16-30
1
