Derby vs Millwall

1 - 1
🕒 Wed, 10 Dec 2025 19:45 Europe/London 📍 Pride Park Stadium 🧑‍⚖️ Thomas Kirk 🔁 Regular Season - 20 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 20
Regular Season Table
Derby 8 · Millwall 3
Referee Stats
24 matches · 0.92 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 0.92
Reds avg 0.00
Penalties avg 0.04
Over 4.5 cards 8%
Home wins 29%
Draws 33%
Away wins 38%
How the match was played
  • Match ended level at 1-1.
  • Shots were tight (13-12).
  • Derby controlled possession (55%).

Team Overview

Derby (Home stats)

Games / Record

23
W-D-L: 10-6-7

Goals For / Against

31 / 27
Avg: 1.35 / 1.17

Points

36
Avg: 1.57

Clean Sheets

7

Failed to Score

1
Millwall (Away stats)

Games / Record

24
W-D-L: 11-9-4

Goals For / Against

31 / 24
Avg: 1.29 / 1.00

Points

42
Avg: 1.75

Clean Sheets

8

Failed to Score

5

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.57
PPG
1.75
1.35
GF
1.29
1.17
GA
1.00
39%
O2.5
43%
65%
BTTS
61%
35%
Score 1st
17%

League-position context

Derby rank8th
Millwall rank3rd
Derby points69
Millwall points83
Derby: #8 · 69 pts · GD +8
15 pts off the top 2. 4 pts above the play-off edge. 17 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Millwall: #3 · 83 pts · GD +15
1 pts off the top 2. 18 pts above the play-off edge. 31 pts clear of the relegation zone.
14-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Derby last 5 home

L W W W W
Points12/15
Weighted index67
Goals7-3
Record4-0-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Millwall last 5 away

D W D W D
Points9/15
Weighted index60
Goals7-4
Record2-3-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

Derby trend breakdown

Over 2.539%
BTTS65%
BTTS + O2.539%
1H Over 0.574%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 74% · Over 3.5 17% · 1H BTTS 13%

Millwall trend breakdown

Over 2.543%
BTTS61%
BTTS + O2.539%
1H Over 0.561%
Also: Over 0.5 91% · Over 1.5 83% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 13%

Scoring reliability

Derby score at home96%
Derby clean sheet at home30%
Millwall score away83%
Millwall clean sheet away30%

First-goal patterns

Derby score first35%
Derby win after scoring first63%
Millwall score first17%
Millwall win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Derby 100% · Millwall 80%
Avg first goal minute: Derby 29.3' · Millwall 33.0'

Vs league average

Derby score at home1.35 vs 1.40
Derby concede at home1.17 vs 1.20
Millwall score away1.29 vs 1.20
Millwall concede away1.00 vs 1.40
Derby score 4% below league average, while Millwall score 7% above league average.
Defensive side: Derby are 3% below league average at home, and Millwall are 29% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals1.80
BTTS60%
Over 2.520%
At this venue setup: 1.60 goals on average across the last 5.

Derby goal timing (home)

1H scored: 47% 2H scored: 53% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 3
31-45 3
46-60 3
61-75 3
76-90+ 2
16-30 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75 2
76-90+ 2
16-30 1
46-60 1
0-15 0
31-45 0

Millwall goal timing (away)

1H scored: 24% 2H scored: 76% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 5
46-60 4
61-75 4
16-30 3
0-15 1
31-45 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
46-60 2
0-15 1
31-45 1
61-75 1
76-90+ 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
4
2
Total Shots
13
12
Shots off Goal
7
5
Blocked Shots
2
5
Shots Inside Box
10
8
Shots Outside Box
3
4
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Corner Kicks
11
7
Fouls
9
13
Offsides
2
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
1
4
Total Passes
341
276
Passes Accurate
243
177
Passes %
71%
64%

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games14
Home Wins3
Draws4
Away Wins7
Over 2.5 Goals4 (28.6%)
BTTS6 (42.9%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games7
Home Wins1
Draws1
Away Wins5
Over 2.5 Goals2 (28.6%)
BTTS2 (28.6%)

Derby vs Millwall Head-to-Head History by Season