Stage
Regular Season - 13
Regular Season Table
Millwall 12 ·
Derby 23
Team Overview
Millwall (Home stats)
Games / Record
6
W-D-L: 2-2-2
Goals For / Against
11 / 8
Avg: 1.83 / 1.33
Derby (Away stats)
Games / Record
5
W-D-L: 1-1-3
Goals For / Against
5 / 10
Avg: 1.00 / 2.00
Match Prediction Angles
Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Championship fixture.
League-position context
Millwall: #12 · 15 pts · GD +0
7 pts off the top 2. 2 pts off the play-off line. 6 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Derby: #23 · 6 pts · GD -11
16 pts off the top 2. 11 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts from safety.
9-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.
Millwall last 5 home
Points5/15
Weighted index31
Goals8-8
Record1-2-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.
Derby last 5 away
Points4/15
Weighted index22
Goals5-10
Record1-1-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.
Millwall trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 83% · Over 3.5 50% · 1H BTTS 0%
Derby trend breakdown
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 100% · Over 3.5 20% · 1H BTTS 0%
Scoring reliability
Millwall score at home67%
Millwall clean sheet at home33%
Derby clean sheet away20%
First-goal patterns
Millwall win after scoring first50%
Derby win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first:
Millwall 50% · Derby 33%
Avg first goal minute:
Millwall 25.0' · Derby 19.5'
Vs league average
Millwall score at home1.83 vs 1.59
Millwall concede at home1.33 vs 1.30
Derby score away1.00 vs 1.30
Derby concede away2.00 vs 1.59
Millwall score 15% above league average, while Derby score 23% below league average.
Defensive side: Millwall are 3% above league average at home, and Derby are 26% above league average away.
Head-to-head trends
Recent games5
Avg goals1.80
At this venue setup: 2.20 goals on average across the last 5.
Millwall goal timing (home)
1H scored: 33%
2H scored: 67%
Danger: 76-90+
Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+
5
16-30
3
46-60
2
31-45
1
61-75
1
0-15
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75
2
76-90+
2
0-15
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
16-30
0
Derby goal timing (away)
1H scored: 40%
2H scored: 60%
Danger: 16-30
Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
16-30
2
76-90+
2
61-75
1
0-15
0
31-45
0
46-60
0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+
3
16-30
2
31-45
2
61-75
2
0-15
1
46-60
0
