Millwall vs Watford

1 - 0
🕒 Mon, 22 Sep 2025 20:00 Europe/London 📍 The Den 🧑‍⚖️ Josh Smith 🔁 Regular Season - 6 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 6
Regular Season Table
Millwall 3 · Watford 16
Referee Stats
28 matches · 1.75 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 1.75
Reds avg 0.18
Penalties avg 0.18
Over 4.5 cards 25%
Home wins 39%
Draws 21%
Away wins 39%
How the match was won
  • Shots were tight (9-11).
  • Watford controlled possession (61%).
  • Watford had the sharper finishing (2-4 shots on target).

Team Overview

Millwall (Home stats)

Games / Record

24
W-D-L: 13-3-8

Goals For / Against

33 / 27
Avg: 1.38 / 1.13

Points

42
Avg: 1.75

Clean Sheets

11

Failed to Score

5
Watford (Away stats)

Games / Record

23
W-D-L: 4-8-11

Goals For / Against

23 / 38
Avg: 1.00 / 1.65

Points

20
Avg: 0.87

Clean Sheets

2

Failed to Score

7

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.75
PPG
0.87
1.38
GF
1.00
1.13
GA
1.65
52%
O2.5
52%
39%
BTTS
65%
22%
Score 1st
9%

League-position context

Millwall rank3rd
Watford rank16th
Millwall points83
Watford points57
Millwall: #3 · 83 pts · GD +15
1 pts off the top 2. 18 pts above the play-off edge. 31 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Watford: #16 · 57 pts · GD -12
27 pts off the top 2. 12 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts clear of the relegation zone.
26-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Millwall last 5 home

W W L L W
Points9/15
Weighted index67
Goals7-4
Record3-0-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Watford last 5 away

L L L L L
Points0/15
Weighted index0
Goals3-15
Record0-0-5
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Millwall trend breakdown

Over 2.552%
BTTS39%
BTTS + O2.530%
1H Over 0.561%
Also: Over 0.5 96% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 9%

Watford trend breakdown

Over 2.552%
BTTS65%
BTTS + O2.548%
1H Over 0.574%
Also: Over 0.5 96% · Over 1.5 74% · Over 3.5 30% · 1H BTTS 13%

Scoring reliability

Millwall score at home83%
Millwall clean sheet at home48%
Watford score away70%
Watford clean sheet away9%

First-goal patterns

Millwall score first22%
Millwall win after scoring first60%
Watford score first9%
Watford win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Millwall 67% · Watford 14%
Avg first goal minute: Millwall 34.4' · Watford 16.5'

Vs league average

Millwall score at home1.38 vs 1.40
Millwall concede at home1.13 vs 1.20
Watford score away1.00 vs 1.20
Watford concede away1.65 vs 1.40
Millwall score 2% below league average, while Watford score 17% below league average.
Defensive side: Millwall are 7% below league average at home, and Watford are 18% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.40
BTTS40%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.00 goals on average across the last 5.

Millwall goal timing (home)

1H scored: 43% 2H scored: 57% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60 4
16-30 3
76-90+ 3
31-45 2
0-15 1
61-75 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 3
46-60 2
61-75 2
0-15 1
16-30 1
31-45 0

Watford goal timing (away)

1H scored: 29% 2H scored: 71% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 3
46-60 2
0-15 1
16-30 1
31-45 0
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 6
61-75 5
76-90+ 4
46-60 3
31-45 2
0-15 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
2
4
Total Shots
9
11
Shots off Goal
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
3
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Shots Outside Box
4
6
Ball Possession
39%
61%
Corner Kicks
7
4
Fouls
11
9
Offsides
1
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
4
1
Total Passes
353
572
Passes Accurate
263
482
Passes %
75%
84%

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games10
Home Wins6
Draws2
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals4 (40.0%)
BTTS3 (30.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games5
Home Wins3
Draws1
Away Wins1
Over 2.5 Goals2 (40.0%)
BTTS1 (20.0%)

Millwall vs Watford Head-to-Head History by Season