QPR vs Millwall

1 - 2
🕒 Sat, 18 Oct 2025 12:30 Europe/London 📍 MATRADE Loftus Road 🧑‍⚖️ Adam Herczeg 🔁 Regular Season - 10 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 10
Regular Season Table
QPR 15 · Millwall 3
Referee Stats
23 matches · 1.04 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 1.04
Reds avg 0.00
Penalties avg 0.04
Over 4.5 cards 0%
Home wins 43%
Draws 17%
Away wins 39%
How the match was won
  • QPR outshot their opponent (20-5).
  • QPR controlled possession (58%).
  • Millwall had the sharper finishing (3-5 shots on target).

Team Overview

QPR (Home stats)

Games / Record

23
W-D-L: 10-3-10

Goals For / Against

40 / 37
Avg: 1.74 / 1.61

Points

33
Avg: 1.43

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

4
Millwall (Away stats)

Games / Record

24
W-D-L: 11-9-4

Goals For / Against

31 / 24
Avg: 1.29 / 1.00

Points

42
Avg: 1.75

Clean Sheets

8

Failed to Score

5

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.43
PPG
1.75
1.74
GF
1.29
1.61
GA
1.00
78%
O2.5
43%
74%
BTTS
61%
17%
Score 1st
17%

League-position context

QPR rank15th
Millwall rank3rd
QPR points58
Millwall points83
QPR: #15 · 58 pts · GD -12
26 pts off the top 2. 11 pts off the play-off line. 6 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Millwall: #3 · 83 pts · GD +15
1 pts off the top 2. 18 pts above the play-off edge. 31 pts clear of the relegation zone.
25-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

QPR last 5 home

L L D W W
Points7/15
Weighted index27
Goals11-7
Record2-1-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form is balanced.

Millwall last 5 away

D W D W D
Points9/15
Weighted index60
Goals7-4
Record2-3-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Unbeaten, but draw-heavy in the recent venue-specific run.

QPR trend breakdown

Over 2.578%
BTTS74%
BTTS + O2.570%
1H Over 0.574%
Also: Over 0.5 91% · Over 1.5 87% · Over 3.5 43% · 1H BTTS 17%

Millwall trend breakdown

Over 2.543%
BTTS61%
BTTS + O2.539%
1H Over 0.561%
Also: Over 0.5 91% · Over 1.5 83% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 13%

Scoring reliability

QPR score at home83%
QPR clean sheet at home17%
Millwall score away83%
Millwall clean sheet away30%

First-goal patterns

QPR score first17%
QPR win after scoring first50%
Millwall score first17%
Millwall win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first: QPR 20% · Millwall 80%
Avg first goal minute: QPR 13.0' · Millwall 33.0'

Vs league average

QPR score at home1.74 vs 1.40
QPR concede at home1.61 vs 1.20
Millwall score away1.29 vs 1.20
Millwall concede away1.00 vs 1.40
QPR score 24% above league average, while Millwall score 7% above league average.
Defensive side: QPR are 34% above league average at home, and Millwall are 29% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.40
BTTS60%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

QPR goal timing (home)

1H scored: 44% 2H scored: 56% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 4
0-15 3
16-30 3
61-75 3
46-60 2
31-45 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 7
16-30 3
31-45 3
46-60 3
0-15 2
61-75 2

Millwall goal timing (away)

1H scored: 24% 2H scored: 76% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 5
46-60 4
61-75 4
16-30 3
0-15 1
31-45 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
46-60 2
0-15 1
31-45 1
61-75 1
76-90+ 1

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
3
5
Total Shots
20
5
Shots off Goal
7
0
Blocked Shots
10
0
Shots Inside Box
13
4
Shots Outside Box
7
1
Ball Possession
58%
42%
Corner Kicks
8
3
Fouls
20
5
Offsides
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
3
2
Total Passes
431
330
Passes Accurate
326
211
Passes %
76%
64%

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games17
Home Wins5
Draws5
Away Wins7
Over 2.5 Goals6 (35.3%)
BTTS9 (52.9%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games8
Home Wins3
Draws3
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals4 (50.0%)
BTTS6 (75.0%)

QPR vs Millwall Head-to-Head History by Season