Brighton vs Nottingham Forest

2 - 1
๐Ÿ•’ Sun, 01 Mar 2026 14:00 Europe/London ๐Ÿ“ American Express Stadium ๐Ÿง‘โ€โš–๏ธ Andy Madley ๐Ÿ” Regular Season - 28 ๐Ÿ match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Brighton 8 ยท Nottingham Forest 16
Referee Stats
21 matches ยท 2.86 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 2.86
Reds avg 0.19
Penalties avg 0.24
Over 4.5 cards 19%
Home wins 33%
Draws 19%
Away wins 48%

Team Overview

Brighton (Home stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 9-6-4

Goals For / Against

30 / 20
Avg: 1.58 / 1.05

Points

33
Avg: 1.74

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

4
Nottingham Forest (Away stats)

Games / Record

19
W-D-L: 7-3-9

Goals For / Against

28 / 28
Avg: 1.47 / 1.47

Points

24
Avg: 1.26

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

5

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Premier League fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.74
PPG
1.26
1.58
GF
1.47
1.05
GA
1.47
58%
O2.5
63%
58%
BTTS
47%
47%
Score 1st
42%

League-position context

Brighton rank8th
Nottingham Forest rank16th
Brighton points53
Nottingham Forest points44
Brighton: #8 ยท 53 pts ยท GD +6
25 pts off the top 2. 0 pts above the play-off edge. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Nottingham Forest: #16 ยท 44 pts ยท GD -3
34 pts off the top 2. 9 pts off the play-off line. 3 pts clear of the relegation zone.
9-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Brighton last 5 home

L W W W L
Points9/15
Weighted index60
Goals8-5
Record3-0-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Nottingham Forest last 5 away

L W W W D
Points10/15
Weighted index62
Goals15-6
Record3-1-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Brighton trend breakdown

Over 2.558%
BTTS58%
BTTS + O2.537%
1H Over 0.563%
Also: Over 0.5 95% ยท Over 1.5 84% ยท Over 3.5 11% ยท 1H BTTS 16%

Nottingham Forest trend breakdown

Over 2.563%
BTTS47%
BTTS + O2.537%
1H Over 0.584%
Also: Over 0.5 100% ยท Over 1.5 89% ยท Over 3.5 32% ยท 1H BTTS 11%

Scoring reliability

Brighton score at home79%
Brighton clean sheet at home26%
Nottingham Forest score away74%
Nottingham Forest clean sheet away26%

First-goal patterns

Brighton score first47%
Brighton win after scoring first56%
Nottingham Forest score first42%
Nottingham Forest win after scoring first75%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Brighton 57% ยท Nottingham Forest 22%
Avg first goal minute: Brighton 26.8' ยท Nottingham Forest 18.8'

Vs league average

Brighton score at home1.58 vs 1.53
Brighton concede at home1.05 vs 1.22
Nottingham Forest score away1.47 vs 1.22
Nottingham Forest concede away1.47 vs 1.53
Brighton score 3% above league average, while Nottingham Forest score 20% above league average.
Defensive side: Brighton are 14% below league average at home, and Nottingham Forest are 3% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals3.40
BTTS40%
Over 2.560%
At this venue setup: 2.00 goals on average across the last 4.

Brighton goal timing (home)

1H scored: 36% 2H scored: 64% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 8
0-15 6
61-75 5
46-60 3
31-45 2
16-30 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 7
16-30 4
76-90+ 4
46-60 2
61-75 2
0-15 1

Nottingham Forest goal timing (away)

1H scored: 37% 2H scored: 63% Danger: 76-90+ Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 8
0-15 7
46-60 6
31-45 3
61-75 3
16-30 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 7
46-60 7
76-90+ 5
16-30 4
61-75 4
0-15 1

Match Statistics

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Shots Outside Box
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Ball Possession
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Corner Kicks
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Fouls
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Offsides
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Yellow Cards
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Red Cards
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Goalkeeper Saves
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Total Passes
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Passes Accurate
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Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games8
Home Wins4
Draws2
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals5 (62.5%)
BTTS4 (50.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games4
Home Wins2
Draws2
Away Wins0
Over 2.5 Goals2 (50.0%)
BTTS2 (50.0%)

Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head History by Season