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Nacional vs Estrela

Nacional
2 - 0
Estrela
🕒 Sat, 04 Apr 2026 15:30 Europe/London 🧑‍⚖️ Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves 🔁 Regular Season - 28 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Nacional 14 · Estrela 15
Referee Stats
Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves
17 matches · 4.06 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 4.06
Reds avg 0.59
Penalties avg 0.29
Over 4.5 cards 41%
Home wins 35%
Draws 18%
Away wins 47%
How the match was won
  • Nacional outshot their opponent (16-11).
  • Possession was balanced (49%-51%).
  • Nacional had the sharper finishing (4-2 shots on target).

Team Overview

Nacional (Home stats)

Games / Record

17
W-D-L: 6-2-9

Goals For / Against

23 / 23
Avg: 1.35 / 1.35

Points

20
Avg: 1.18

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

5
Estrela (Away stats)

Games / Record

17
W-D-L: 2-6-9

Goals For / Against

17 / 32
Avg: 1.00 / 1.88

Points

12
Avg: 0.71

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

8

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Liga Portugal fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.18
PPG
0.71
1.35
GF
1.00
1.35
GA
1.88
53%
O2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
53%
47%
Score 1st
29%

League-position context

Nacional rank14th
Estrela rank15th
Nacional points34
Estrela points30
Nacional: #14 · 34 pts · GD -8
48 pts off the top 2. 8 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Estrela: #15 · 30 pts · GD -18
52 pts off the top 2. 12 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts from safety.
4-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Nacional last 5 home

W L W W L
Points9/15
Weighted index67
Goals6-3
Record3-0-2
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Estrela last 5 away

D L L L L
Points1/15
Weighted index11
Goals5-10
Record0-1-4
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Nacional trend breakdown

Over 2.553%
BTTS47%
BTTS + O2.547%
1H Over 0.559%
Also: Over 0.5 94% · Over 1.5 71% · Over 3.5 29% · 1H BTTS 12%

Estrela trend breakdown

Over 2.553%
BTTS53%
BTTS + O2.541%
1H Over 0.571%
Also: Over 0.5 82% · Over 1.5 76% · Over 3.5 41% · 1H BTTS 18%

Scoring reliability

Nacional score at home71%
Nacional clean sheet at home29%
Estrela score away53%
Estrela clean sheet away18%

First-goal patterns

Nacional score first47%
Nacional win after scoring first50%
Estrela score first29%
Estrela win after scoring first40%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Nacional 33% · Estrela 25%
Avg first goal minute: Nacional 38.1' · Estrela 12.6'

Vs league average

Nacional score at home1.35 vs 1.50
Nacional concede at home1.35 vs 1.19
Estrela score away1.00 vs 1.19
Estrela concede away1.88 vs 1.50
Nacional score 10% below league average, while Estrela score 16% below league average.
Defensive side: Nacional are 14% above league average at home, and Estrela are 26% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games4
Avg goals1.75
BTTS25%
Over 2.50%
At this venue setup: 1.50 goals on average across the last 2.

Nacional goal timing (home)

1H scored: 29% 2H scored: 71% Danger: 61-75 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
61-75 6
76-90+ 6
0-15 3
46-60 3
16-30 2
31-45 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 7
31-45 4
46-60 4
61-75 3
0-15 2
16-30 1

Estrela goal timing (away)

1H scored: 56% 2H scored: 44% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 31-45
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 5
31-45 3
46-60 3
61-75 3
16-30 2
76-90+ 2
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
31-45 7
46-60 6
61-75 6
76-90+ 6
0-15 4
16-30 3

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
4
2
Total Shots
16
11
Shots off Goal
5
6
Blocked Shots
7
3
Shots Inside Box
8
6
Shots Outside Box
8
5
Ball Possession
49%
51%
Corner Kicks
5
6
Fouls
14
8
Offsides
1
5
Yellow Cards
4
3
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
315
328
Passes Accurate
248
254
Passes %
79%
77%

Events

Yellow Cards
Home
4
Away
3
Red Cards
Home
0
Away
0
Substitutions
Home
4
Away
4
1'
1' Luan Patrick
2' ⚽
⚽
2' ⚽ Goal · 1-0
C. Ramírez
Normal Goal
16'
16' Rodrigo Pinho
45+3'
45+3' Léo Santos
46' ↑↓
↑↓
46' ⇄ Alexandre Sola
1st substitution · For: T. Moustier
46' ↑↓
↑↓
46' ⇄ I. Stoica
2nd substitution · For: Jovane Cabral
49' ↑↓
↑↓
49' ⇄ Miguel Baeza
1st substitution · For: Daniel Júnior
71' ⚽
⚽
71' ⚽ Goal · 2-0
Paulinho Bóia
Normal Goal · Assist: Léo Santos
75' ↑↓
↑↓
75' ⇄ Bruno Langa
3rd substitution · For: Jefferson Encada
77' ↑↓
↑↓
77' ⇄ Liziero
2nd substitution · For: Filipe Soares
77' ↑↓
↑↓
77' ⇄ José Gomes
3rd substitution · For: L. Vallier
78'
78' A. Núñez
81'
81' Jefferson Encada
85' ↑↓
↑↓
85' ⇄ Rodrigo Pinho
4th substitution · For: L. Antonetti
86'
86' Daniel Júnior
89' ↑↓
↑↓
89' ⇄ Gabriel Veron
4th substitution · For: Francisco Gonçalves
90+6'
90+6' Paulinho Bóia

Nacional vs Estrela 2-0: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Nacional beat Estrela 2-0 on Saturday, 04 April 2026 in Liga Portugal. The match was refereed by Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves.

First half: Luan Patrick received a yellow card for Estrela at 1'. Nacional took an early lead at 2' when C. Ramírez scored, making the score 1-0. Rodrigo Pinho received a yellow card for Estrela at 16'. Léo Santos received a yellow card for Nacional at 45+3'.

Second half: Estrela made their 1st substitution at 46', with Alexandre Sola replacing T. Moustier. Estrela made their 2nd substitution at 46', with I. Stoica replacing Jovane Cabral. Nacional made their 1st substitution at 49', with Miguel Baeza replacing Daniel Júnior. Nacional extended the lead at 71' when Paulinho Bóia scored, with the assist credited to Léo Santos, making the score 2-0. Estrela made their 3rd substitution at 75', with Bruno Langa replacing Jefferson Encada. Nacional made their 2nd substitution at 77', with Liziero replacing Filipe Soares. Nacional made their 3rd substitution at 77', with José Gomes replacing L. Vallier. A. Núñez received a yellow card for Nacional at 78'. Jefferson Encada received a yellow card for Estrela at 81'. Estrela made their 4th substitution at 85', with Rodrigo Pinho replacing L. Antonetti. Daniel Júnior received a yellow card for Nacional at 86'. Nacional made their 4th substitution at 89', with Gabriel Veron replacing Francisco Gonçalves. Paulinho Bóia received a yellow card for Nacional at 90+6'.

Nacional used 4 substitutions while Estrela used 4 substitutions. Nacional got 4 yellow cards, while Estrela got 3 yellow cards.

How the match was won

  • Nacional outshot their opponent (16-11).
  • Possession was balanced (49%-51%).
  • Nacional had the sharper finishing (4-2 shots on target).

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games4
Home Wins1
Draws1
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals0 (0.0%)
BTTS1 (25.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games2
Home Wins1
Draws0
Away Wins1
Over 2.5 Goals0 (0.0%)
BTTS0 (0.0%)

Nacional vs Estrela Head-to-Head History by Season

2025-2026 Season
04 Apr 2026 Nacional vs Estrela 2 - 0 09 Nov 2025 Estrela vs Nacional 1 - 1
2024-2025 Season
06 Apr 2025 Nacional vs Estrela 0 - 1 10 Nov 2024 Estrela vs Nacional 2 - 0