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Nacional vs Estrela

Nacional
0 - 1
Estrela
🕒 Sun, 06 Apr 2025 18:00 Europe/London 📍 Estádio da Madeira 🧑‍⚖️ Helder Malheiro 🔁 Regular Season - 28 🏁 match finished
Season
2024-2025 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 28
Regular Season Table
Nacional 14 · Estrela 15
Referee Stats
Helder Malheiro
13 matches · 5.15 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 5.15
Reds avg 0.23
Penalties avg 0.69
Over 4.5 cards 62%
Home wins 38%
Draws 23%
Away wins 38%
How the match was won
  • Nacional outshot their opponent (19-12).
  • Nacional controlled possession (61%).

Team Overview

Nacional (Home stats)

Games / Record

17
W-D-L: 7-3-7

Goals For / Against

23 / 27
Avg: 1.35 / 1.59

Points

24
Avg: 1.41

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

5
Estrela (Away stats)

Games / Record

17
W-D-L: 2-4-11

Goals For / Against

6 / 26
Avg: 0.35 / 1.53

Points

10
Avg: 0.59

Clean Sheets

3

Failed to Score

11

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Liga Portugal fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.41
PPG
0.59
1.35
GF
0.35
1.59
GA
1.53
59%
O2.5
18%
47%
BTTS
24%
41%
Score 1st
24%

League-position context

Nacional rank14th
Estrela rank15th
Nacional points34
Estrela points29
Nacional: #14 · 34 pts · GD -18
46 pts off the top 2. 12 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Estrela: #15 · 29 pts · GD -26
51 pts off the top 2. 17 pts off the play-off line. 5 pts from safety.
5-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Nacional last 5 home

D L L L W
Points4/15
Weighted index18
Goals7-10
Record1-1-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Estrela last 5 away

L L L W L
Points3/15
Weighted index13
Goals1-9
Record1-0-4
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Nacional trend breakdown

Over 2.559%
BTTS47%
BTTS + O2.547%
1H Over 0.571%
Also: Over 0.5 94% · Over 1.5 82% · Over 3.5 29% · 1H BTTS 24%

Estrela trend breakdown

Over 2.518%
BTTS24%
BTTS + O2.56%
1H Over 0.559%
Also: Over 0.5 94% · Over 1.5 53% · Over 3.5 12% · 1H BTTS 6%

Scoring reliability

Nacional score at home71%
Nacional clean sheet at home29%
Estrela score away35%
Estrela clean sheet away18%

First-goal patterns

Nacional score first41%
Nacional win after scoring first100%
Estrela score first24%
Estrela win after scoring first50%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Nacional 22% · Estrela 8%
Avg first goal minute: Nacional 29.1' · Estrela 31.3'

Vs league average

Nacional score at home1.35 vs 1.40
Nacional concede at home1.59 vs 1.17
Estrela score away0.35 vs 1.17
Estrela concede away1.53 vs 1.40
Nacional score 4% below league average, while Estrela score 70% below league average.
Defensive side: Nacional are 36% above league average at home, and Estrela are 9% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games4
Avg goals1.75
BTTS25%
Over 2.50%
At this venue setup: 1.50 goals on average across the last 2.

Nacional goal timing (home)

1H scored: 40% 2H scored: 60% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60 8
31-45 4
76-90+ 4
0-15 3
16-30 3
61-75 3
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 11
46-60 6
0-15 5
16-30 4
61-75 4
31-45 2

Estrela goal timing (away)

1H scored: 33% 2H scored: 67% Danger: 46-60 Vulnerable: 76-90+
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
46-60 3
0-15 2
76-90+ 2
31-45 1
61-75 1
16-30 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
76-90+ 8
0-15 5
16-30 5
31-45 4
61-75 4
46-60 2

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal
4
3
Total Shots
19
12
Shots off Goal
7
6
Blocked Shots
8
3
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Shots Outside Box
12
6
Ball Possession
61%
39%
Corner Kicks
7
5
Fouls
15
14
Offsides
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Red Cards
—
—
Goalkeeper Saves
2
4
Total Passes
371
229
Passes Accurate
292
158
Passes %
79%
69%

Events

Yellow Cards
Home
1
Away
2
Red Cards
Home
0
Away
0
Substitutions
Home
5
Away
5
15' ⚽
⚽
15' ⚽ VAR
Chico Banza
Goal cancelled
21'
21' Chico Banza
37'
37' Matheus Dias
58' ↑↓
↑↓
58' ⇄ Rodrigo Pinho
1st substitution · For: L. Bucca
58' ↑↓
↑↓
58' ⇄ Nilton Varela
2nd substitution · For: S. Commey
59' ↑↓
↑↓
59' ⇄ A. Appiah
1st substitution · For: José Gomes
59' ↑↓
↑↓
59' ⇄ Dudu
2nd substitution · For: Rúben Macedo
66' ↑↓
↑↓
66' ⇄ J. Tagueu
3rd substitution · For: Isaac
66' ↑↓
↑↓
66' ⇄ Daniel Penha
4th substitution · For: Bruno Costa
72'
72' Léo Cordeiro
74' ↑↓
↑↓
74' ⇄ Chico Banza
3rd substitution · For: Jovane Cabral
74' ↑↓
↑↓
74' ⇄ Manuel Keliano
4th substitution · For: A. Oudrhiri
81' ⚽
⚽
81' ⚽ Goal · 0-2
Jovane Cabral
Normal Goal · Assist: Kikas
83' ↑↓
↑↓
83' ⇄ Paulinho Bóia
5th substitution · For: F. Yamada
89' ↑↓
↑↓
89' ⇄ Léo Cordeiro
5th substitution · For: Paulo Moreira

Nacional vs Estrela 0-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Estrela beat Nacional 1-0 on Sunday, 06 April 2025 in Liga Portugal. The match was refereed by Helder Malheiro. It was played at Estádio da Madeira.

First half: VAR intervened at 15' for Estrela (Goal cancelled). Chico Banza received a yellow card for Estrela at 21'. Matheus Dias received a yellow card for Nacional at 37'.

Second half: Estrela made their 1st substitution at 58', with Rodrigo Pinho replacing L. Bucca. Estrela made their 2nd substitution at 58', with Nilton Varela replacing S. Commey. Nacional made their 1st substitution at 59', with A. Appiah replacing José Gomes. Nacional made their 2nd substitution at 59', with Dudu replacing Rúben Macedo. Nacional made their 3rd substitution at 66', with J. Tagueu replacing Isaac. Nacional made their 4th substitution at 66', with Daniel Penha replacing Bruno Costa. Léo Cordeiro received a yellow card for Estrela at 72'. Estrela made their 3rd substitution at 74', with Chico Banza replacing Jovane Cabral. Estrela made their 4th substitution at 74', with Manuel Keliano replacing A. Oudrhiri. Estrela extended the lead at 81' when Jovane Cabral scored, with the assist credited to Kikas, making the score 0-2. Nacional made their 5th substitution at 83', with Paulinho Bóia replacing F. Yamada. Estrela made their 5th substitution at 89', with Léo Cordeiro replacing Paulo Moreira.

Nacional used 5 substitutions while Estrela used 5 substitutions. Nacional got 1 yellow card, while Estrela got 2 yellow cards.

How the match was won

  • Nacional outshot their opponent (19-12).
  • Nacional controlled possession (61%).

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games4
Home Wins1
Draws1
Away Wins2
Over 2.5 Goals0 (0.0%)
BTTS1 (25.0%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games2
Home Wins1
Draws0
Away Wins1
Over 2.5 Goals0 (0.0%)
BTTS0 (0.0%)

Nacional vs Estrela Head-to-Head History by Season

2025-2026 Season
04 Apr 2026 Nacional vs Estrela 2 - 0 09 Nov 2025 Estrela vs Nacional 1 - 1
2024-2025 Season
06 Apr 2025 Nacional vs Estrela 0 - 1 10 Nov 2024 Estrela vs Nacional 2 - 0