Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd

2 - 3

🕒 Sat, 20 Dec 2025 15:00 Europe/London 📍 KDM Group East End Park 🧑‍⚖️ Calum Scott 🔁 Regular Season - 19 🏁 match finished

Season

2025-2026 Season

Stage

Regular Season - 19

Regular Season Table

Dunfermline 4 · Ayr Utd 7

Referee Stats

Calum Scott

11 matches · 4.91 yellow cards avg

Yellow cards avg	4.91
Reds avg	0.36
Penalties avg	0.09
Over 4.5 cards	55%
Home wins	36%
Draws	36%
Away wins	27%

Team Overview

Dunfermline (Home stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 7-5-6

Goals For / Against

24 / 19

Avg: 1.33 / 1.06

Points

Avg: 1.44

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Ayr Utd (Away stats)

Games / Record

W-D-L: 4-8-6

Goals For / Against

21 / 25

Avg: 1.17 / 1.39

Points

Avg: 1.11

Clean Sheets

Failed to Score

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.44

PPG

1.11

1.33

1.17

1.06

1.39

44%

O2.5

50%

33%

BTTS

67%

50%

Score 1st

56%

League-position context

Dunfermline rank4th

Ayr Utd rank7th

Dunfermline points51

Ayr Utd points39

Dunfermline: #4 · 51 pts · GD +11

15 pts off the top 2. 15 pts above the play-off edge. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.

Ayr Utd: #7 · 39 pts · GD -9

27 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 2 pts from safety.

12-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Dunfermline last 5 home

D L W W W

Points10/15

Weighted index51

Goals9-3

Record3-1-1

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Ayr Utd last 5 away

L L L D D

Points2/15

Weighted index7

Goals4-9

Record0-2-3

Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.

Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Dunfermline trend breakdown

Over 2.544%

BTTS33%

BTTS + O2.533%

1H Over 0.572%

Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 72% · Over 3.5 28% · 1H BTTS 6%

Ayr Utd trend breakdown

Over 2.550%

BTTS67%

BTTS + O2.544%

1H Over 0.567%

Also: Over 0.5 89% · Over 1.5 78% · Over 3.5 22% · 1H BTTS 17%

Scoring reliability

Dunfermline score at home67%

Dunfermline clean sheet at home44%

Ayr Utd score away83%

Ayr Utd clean sheet away28%

First-goal patterns

Dunfermline score first50%

Dunfermline win after scoring first67%

Ayr Utd score first56%

Ayr Utd win after scoring first40%

Comeback rate after conceding first: Dunfermline 29% · Ayr Utd 33%

Avg first goal minute: Dunfermline 26.0' · Ayr Utd 19.3'

Vs league average

Dunfermline score at home1.33 vs 1.34

Dunfermline concede at home1.06 vs 1.09

Ayr Utd score away1.17 vs 1.09

Ayr Utd concede away1.39 vs 1.34

Dunfermline score level with league average, while Ayr Utd score 7% above league average.

Defensive side: Dunfermline are 4% below league average at home, and Ayr Utd are 4% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5

Avg goals2.40

BTTS40%

Over 2.540%

At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Dunfermline goal timing (home)

1H scored: 42% 2H scored: 58% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 0-15

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

16-30 6

76-90+ 6

46-60 4

61-75 4

0-15 2

31-45 2

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

0-15 6

61-75 4

31-45 3

76-90+ 3

16-30 2

46-60 1

Ayr Utd goal timing (away)

1H scored: 71% 2H scored: 29% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 61-75

Goals scored by 15-minute interval

16-30 7

0-15 4

31-45 4

46-60 3

61-75 2

76-90+ 1

Goals conceded by 15-minute interval

61-75 6

0-15 5

46-60 5

76-90+ 4

31-45 3

16-30 2

Match Statistics

Shots on Goal

—

Total Shots

—

Shots off Goal

—

Blocked Shots

—

Shots Inside Box

—

Shots Outside Box

—

Ball Possession

—

Corner Kicks

—

Fouls

—

Offsides

—

Yellow Cards

—

Red Cards

—

Goalkeeper Saves

—

Total Passes

—

Passes Accurate

—

Passes %

—

Events

Yellow Cards

Home

Away

Red Cards

Home

Away

Substitutions

Home

Away

5' ⚽

⚽

5' ⚽ Goal · 0-1

M. McKenzie

Normal Goal · Assist: M. Rus

13' ↑↓

↑↓

13' ⇄ M. McKenzie

1st substitution · For: D. Watret

26' ⚽

⚽

26' ⚽ Goal · 0-2

A. Dowds

Normal Goal

30'

30' S. Bannigan

42'

42' Z. Rudden

45' ⚽

⚽

45' ⚽ Goal · 0-3

L. King

Normal Goal

46' ↑↓

↑↓

46' ⇄ J. Cooper

1st substitution · For: K. Benedictus

46' ↑↓

↑↓

46' ⇄ R. MacLeod

2nd substitution · For: B. Stewart

63' ⚽

⚽

63' ⚽ Goal · 1-3

K. Ngwenya

Normal Goal · Assist: R. Fraser

65' ⚽

⚽

65' ⚽ Goal · 2-3

K. Ngwenya

Normal Goal

71' ↑↓

↑↓

71' ⇄ L. Russell

2nd substitution · For: D. Mitchell

71' ↑↓

↑↓

71' ⇄ N. McAllister

3rd substitution · For: S. Want

80' ↑↓

↑↓

80' ⇄ C. Hamilton

3rd substitution · For: T. Oakley-Boothe

80' ↑↓

↑↓

80' ⇄ Z. Rudden

4th substitution · For: K. Bray

83'

83' C. Gilmour

85' ↑↓

↑↓

85' ⇄ M. Todd

5th substitution · For: K. Ritchie-Hosler

85' ↑↓

↑↓

85' ⇄ J. Murphy

4th substitution · For: C. Main

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd 2-3: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Ayr Utd beat Dunfermline 3-2 on Saturday, 20 December 2025 in Championship. The match was refereed by Calum Scott. It was played at KDM Group East End Park.

First half: Ayr Utd took an early lead at 5' when M. McKenzie scored, with the assist credited to M. Rus, making the score 0-1. Ayr Utd made their 1st substitution at 13', with M. McKenzie replacing D. Watret. Ayr Utd extended the lead at 26' when A. Dowds scored, making the score 0-2. S. Bannigan received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 30'. Z. Rudden received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 42'. Ayr Utd extended the lead at 45' when L. King scored, making the score 0-3.

Second half: Dunfermline made their 1st substitution at 46', with J. Cooper replacing K. Benedictus. Dunfermline made their 2nd substitution at 46', with R. MacLeod replacing B. Stewart. Dunfermline reduced the deficit at 63' when K. Ngwenya scored, with the assist credited to R. Fraser, making the score 1-3. Dunfermline reduced the deficit at 65' when K. Ngwenya scored, making the score 2-3. Ayr Utd made their 2nd substitution at 71', with L. Russell replacing D. Mitchell. Ayr Utd made their 3rd substitution at 71', with N. McAllister replacing S. Want. Dunfermline made their 3rd substitution at 80', with C. Hamilton replacing T. Oakley-Boothe. Dunfermline made their 4th substitution at 80', with Z. Rudden replacing K. Bray. C. Gilmour received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 83'. Dunfermline made their 5th substitution at 85', with M. Todd replacing K. Ritchie-Hosler. Ayr Utd made their 4th substitution at 85', with J. Murphy replacing C. Main.

Dunfermline used 5 substitutions while Ayr Utd used 4 substitutions. Dunfermline got 2 yellow cards, while Ayr Utd got 1 yellow card.