Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd

0 - 1
πŸ•’ Tue, 23 Sep 2025 19:45 Europe/London πŸ“ KDM Group East End Park πŸ§‘β€βš–οΈ Dan McFarlane πŸ” Regular Season - 5 🏁 match finished
Season
2025-2026 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 5
Regular Season Table
Dunfermline 4 Β· Ayr Utd 7
Referee Stats
11 matches Β· 4.91 yellow cards avg
Yellow cards avg 4.91
Reds avg 0.18
Penalties avg 0.09
Over 4.5 cards 64%
Home wins 36%
Draws 18%
Away wins 45%
How the match was won
  • Physical contest: 8 yellows, 2 reds.

Team Overview

Dunfermline (Home stats)

Games / Record

18
W-D-L: 7-5-6

Goals For / Against

24 / 19
Avg: 1.33 / 1.06

Points

26
Avg: 1.44

Clean Sheets

8

Failed to Score

6
Ayr Utd (Away stats)

Games / Record

18
W-D-L: 4-8-6

Goals For / Against

21 / 25
Avg: 1.17 / 1.39

Points

20
Avg: 1.11

Clean Sheets

5

Failed to Score

3

Match Context & Trends

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context around this Championship fixture.

Quick comparison bars

1.44
PPG
1.11
1.33
GF
1.17
1.06
GA
1.39
44%
O2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
67%
50%
Score 1st
56%

League-position context

Dunfermline rank4th
Ayr Utd rank7th
Dunfermline points51
Ayr Utd points39
Dunfermline: #4 Β· 51 pts Β· GD +11
15 pts off the top 2. 15 pts above the play-off edge. 12 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Ayr Utd: #7 Β· 39 pts Β· GD -9
27 pts off the top 2. 3 pts above the play-off edge. 2 pts from safety.
12-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Dunfermline last 5 home

D L W W W
Points10/15
Weighted index51
Goals9-3
Record3-1-1
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Ayr Utd last 5 away

L L L D D
Points2/15
Weighted index7
Goals4-9
Record0-2-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Dunfermline trend breakdown

Over 2.544%
BTTS33%
BTTS + O2.533%
1H Over 0.572%
Also: Over 0.5 89% Β· Over 1.5 72% Β· Over 3.5 28% Β· 1H BTTS 6%

Ayr Utd trend breakdown

Over 2.550%
BTTS67%
BTTS + O2.544%
1H Over 0.567%
Also: Over 0.5 89% Β· Over 1.5 78% Β· Over 3.5 22% Β· 1H BTTS 17%

Scoring reliability

Dunfermline score at home67%
Dunfermline clean sheet at home44%
Ayr Utd score away83%
Ayr Utd clean sheet away28%

First-goal patterns

Dunfermline score first50%
Dunfermline win after scoring first67%
Ayr Utd score first56%
Ayr Utd win after scoring first40%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Dunfermline 29% Β· Ayr Utd 33%
Avg first goal minute: Dunfermline 26.0' Β· Ayr Utd 19.3'

Vs league average

Dunfermline score at home1.33 vs 1.34
Dunfermline concede at home1.06 vs 1.09
Ayr Utd score away1.17 vs 1.09
Ayr Utd concede away1.39 vs 1.34
Dunfermline score level with league average, while Ayr Utd score 7% above league average.
Defensive side: Dunfermline are 4% below league average at home, and Ayr Utd are 4% above league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.40
BTTS40%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 2.40 goals on average across the last 5.

Dunfermline goal timing (home)

1H scored: 42% 2H scored: 58% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 0-15
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
16-30 6
76-90+ 6
46-60 4
61-75 4
0-15 2
31-45 2
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
0-15 6
61-75 4
31-45 3
76-90+ 3
16-30 2
46-60 1

Ayr Utd goal timing (away)

1H scored: 71% 2H scored: 29% Danger: 16-30 Vulnerable: 61-75
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
16-30 7
0-15 4
31-45 4
46-60 3
61-75 2
76-90+ 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
61-75 6
0-15 5
46-60 5
76-90+ 4
31-45 3
16-30 2

Match Statistics

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Events

Yellow Cards
Home
4
Away
4
Red Cards
Home
1
Away
1
Substitutions
Home
5
Away
4
9' ⚽
⚽
9' ⚽ Goal · 0-1
M. McKenzie
Normal Goal
31'
31' J. Chilokoa-Mullen
41'
41' L. Dick
46' ↑↓
↑↓
46' ⇄ E. Otoo
1st substitution Β· For: R. Fraser
47'
47' J. Chilokoa-Mullen
47'
47' J. Chilokoa-Mullen
52'
52' M. McKenzie
57'
57' C. Gilmour
58'
58' D. Watret
63' ↑↓
↑↓
63' ⇄ R. MacLeod
2nd substitution Β· For: K. Ritchie-Hosler
63' ↑↓
↑↓
63' ⇄ C. Gilmour
3rd substitution Β· For: A. Amade
65' ↑↓
↑↓
65' ⇄ J. Murphy
1st substitution Β· For: M. Rus
65' ↑↓
↑↓
65' ⇄ M. McKenzie
2nd substitution Β· For: G. Oakley
75' ↑↓
↑↓
75' ⇄ S. McMann
3rd substitution Β· For: A. Dowds
83' ↑↓
↑↓
83' ⇄ E. Walker
4th substitution Β· For: D. Thomas
84' ↑↓
↑↓
84' ⇄ J. CΓ‘ceres
4th substitution Β· For: M. Todd
84' ↑↓
↑↓
84' ⇄ J. Tod
5th substitution Β· For: C. Kane
86'
86' A. Amade
90+2'
90+2' D. Watret
90+2'
90+2' D. Watret

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd 0-1: match report, goals, cards and substitutions

Ayr Utd beat Dunfermline 1-0 on Tuesday, 23 September 2025 in Championship. The match was refereed by Dan McFarlane. It was played at KDM Group East End Park.

First half: Ayr Utd took an early lead at 9' when M. McKenzie scored, making the score 0-1. J. Chilokoa-Mullen received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 31'. L. Dick received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 41'.

Second half: No goals were scored in the second half. Dunfermline made their 1st substitution at 46', with E. Otoo replacing R. Fraser. J. Chilokoa-Mullen received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 47'. J. Chilokoa-Mullen received a red card for Dunfermline at 47'. M. McKenzie received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 52'. C. Gilmour received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 57'. D. Watret received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 58'. Dunfermline made their 2nd substitution at 63', with R. MacLeod replacing K. Ritchie-Hosler. Dunfermline made their 3rd substitution at 63', with C. Gilmour replacing A. Amade. Ayr Utd made their 1st substitution at 65', with J. Murphy replacing M. Rus. Ayr Utd made their 2nd substitution at 65', with M. McKenzie replacing G. Oakley. Ayr Utd made their 3rd substitution at 75', with S. McMann replacing A. Dowds. Ayr Utd made their 4th substitution at 83', with E. Walker replacing D. Thomas. Dunfermline made their 4th substitution at 84', with J. CΓ‘ceres replacing M. Todd. Dunfermline made their 5th substitution at 84', with J. Tod replacing C. Kane. A. Amade received a yellow card for Dunfermline at 86'. D. Watret received a yellow card for Ayr Utd at 90+2'. D. Watret received a red card for Ayr Utd at 90+2'.

Dunfermline used 5 substitutions while Ayr Utd used 4 substitutions. Dunfermline got 4 yellow cards and 1 red card, while Ayr Utd got 4 yellow cards and 1 red card.

How the match was won

  • Physical contest: 8 yellows, 2 reds.

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games29
Home Wins8
Draws11
Away Wins10
Over 2.5 Goals9 (31.0%)
BTTS11 (37.9%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games14
Home Wins3
Draws5
Away Wins6
Over 2.5 Goals3 (21.4%)
BTTS5 (35.7%)

Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd Head-to-Head History by Season